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Opening 2022 Big 12 Championship Game Odds – TCU 2.5-Point Favorites Against Kansas State

Quinn Allen

By Quinn Allen in College Football

Updated: April 11, 2023 at 4:48 pm EDT

Published:


TCU Horned Frogs quarterback Max Duggan throwing a pass
Nov 26, 2022; Fort Worth, Texas, USA; TCU Horned Frogs quarterback Max Duggan (15) throws the ball against the Iowa State Cyclones during the second half at Amon G. Carter Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Raymond Carlin III-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Big 12 Championship game is set, with TCU facing Kansas State
  • The Horned Frogs have opened up as a 2.5-point favorite
  • Keep reading for the opening TCU vs Kansas State odds and projected line movement for the Big 12 Championship Game

After Kansas State took care of Kansas on Saturday, the Wildcats secured their spot in the Big 12 Championship next weekend against unbeaten TCU at AT&T Stadium in Arlington.

The Horned Frogs put their best foot forward against the Wildcats in Week 8, beating them 38-28 in a high-scoring affair. K-State had won three meetings in a row prior to that, however.

TCU has opened up as a very slim 2.5-point favorite with just under a week to go before kick-off, which is scheduled for 12:00 pm ET on Dec. 3.

Opening TCU vs Kansas State Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
TCU -2.5 (-115) -138 Ov 60.5 (-110)
Kansas State +2.5 (-105) +115 Un 60.5 (-110)

Odds as of November 27th at FanDuel. Claim the current FanDuel promos.

TCU Is on Fire

The TCU hype train is for real right now after a 12-0 campaign. This is one of the most exciting teams in the country with a top-notch quarterback in Max Duggan and a future NFL star out wide in Quentin Johnston. You can’t forget how well head coach Sonny Dykes has done with the program, either.

However, Johnston didn’t play in Week 13 because of an ankle injury. His status is something to keep an eye on as next Saturday draws closer because he is a key factor for this offense. This is just the Horned Frogs’ second Big 12 title game, last appearing in one back in 2017.

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If TCU loses here, they are likely out of the CFP. If Dykes’ group beats K-State, though, a date with Georgia or Michigan is almost certain in the CFP semifinal, which would be a serious feather in the cap for the Horned Frogs.

It took a valiant second half for TCU against the Wildcats in Week 8 after going into the half down 28-17, scoring 24 unanswered and keeping Kansas State scoreless in the final two periods. They need to bring their best and that comes down to Duggan setting the tone.

K-State Can Play Spoiler

The Wildcats might have just a 9-3 record, but this is a very good team. They force nearly two turnovers per contest and allow only 19.4 points per game. Quarterback Will Howard has been impressive in place of the injured Adrian Martinez, getting it done against Kansas Saturday. He completed 11 of 21 passes for two touchdowns.

The real weapon for the Kansas State offense however is running back Deuce Vaughn, who is a threat on the ground and downfield. He’s rushing for 5.3 yards per carry for seven touchdowns and also has three scores on 40 receptions and 348 yards as a pass-catcher.

Expected Line Movement

2.5 points is pretty slim and I think you could see some movement with the line. The last five meetings have been decided by an average of 8.8 points. I expect this to be a close one, too. As previously mentioned, Johnston’s status is very important. He’s such a crucial weapon for Duggan and a true game-changer downfield. Sportsbooks will be thinking the same.

 

Quinn Allen
Quinn Allen

Sports Writer

Quinn Allen is a sports journalist, with a background and education in broadcast journalism (BCIT '17). He is a full-time associate editor at ClutchPoints by day, where he writes about soccer, baseball, basketball, football, and more. At night, Quinn is a frequent contributor at SBD.

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