Oklahoma State vs Kansas State Prediction, Odds, Spread and Picks

• The Oklahoma State Cowboy are in Kansas State to take on the Wildcats in a battle of top-25 teams
• Oklahoma State beat Texas in a shootout, while KState blew a big 2nd-half lead to TCU
• See below for odds, analysis and our betting prediction

Two teams with legit hopes of showing up in the Big 12 Championship lock horns in Manhattan.

The 9th-ranked Oklahoma State Cowboys (6-1, 3-1 Big 12) will visit the no. 16 Kansas State Wildcats (5-2, 3-1 Big 12) in one of three head-to-head encounters between top-25 teams in Week 9.

Oklahoma State comes in hot after a shootout win over the Texas Longhorns. KState, meanwhile, watched the injuries mount and a lead vanish in a loss to the TCU Horned Frogs.

Both schools are currently looking up at TCU in the Big 12 Standings.

Despite the better record and ranked inside the top 10, the Cowboys are 2-point road underdogs.

Oklahoma State vs Kansas State Odds

Odds as of October 27 from Barstool Sporstbook. And don’t forget to check out the Barstool Sportsbook promo code 

It all gets underway Saturday (October 29) at 3:30pm ET from Bill Snyder Family Stadium in Kansas, in a game that can be seen live on FOX.

Weather shouldn’t be an issue, with mostly sunny skies and a brisk 59-degree temperature at kickoff.

Cowboys’ Betting Outlook

After dropping a tough 2OT decision to TCU, the Cowboys bounced back with a monster win over then 20th-ranked Texas in Week 8, 41-34.

Spencer Sanders was chucking it all over the field, going 34-for-57 for 391 yards and two TD’s with an interception.

Amazing individual effort by Bryson Green pic.twitter.com/sOYnJK6EhI

— Robert Griffin III (@RGIII) October 22, 2022

Bryson Green was one of four Cowboys to reach at least 60 yards receiving, hauling in five balls for 133 yards and a score. John Paul Richardson had a team-high seven grabs for 63 yards. On the year, the Cowboys are hauling in 305.9 yards per game, which ranks second in the conference.

Dominic Richardson scored three rushing TD’s, but the OK State rush attack was largely ineffective, with 40 carries for 142 yards, just a 3.6 yard per carry clip.

Dominic Richardson angry runs never get old 😡 pic.twitter.com/AxhqiseE9l

— Pistols Firing (@pistolsguys) October 22, 2022

While they rank fourth in the nation in scoring at 43.9 points per game, they are also surrendering 28.7, which ranks 87th out of 131 FBS programs. Over the last four games, Oklahoma State has allowed opponents to cross 30+ points three times, and are surrendering 33.3 points per game.

Wildcats’ Betting Outlook

If you’re thinking about a Wildcats upset, you have to look no further than Oklahoma State’s recent struggles against top rushing teams. The Cowboys allowed both TCU and Texas to churn out over 200 yards and hit paydirt five times overall.

Wide open spaces

pic.twitter.com/yOoSt0KRWP

— K-State Football (@KStateFB) October 23, 2022

That bodes well for a Kansas State team that loves to grind teams to a pulp. On the year, they’re the 11th-best run team in the nation — better than both TCU and Texas — putting up 232.1 yards per contest.

The big question for them in Week 9 is health.

While KState did blow an 18-point second half lead to the Horned Frogs to lose 38-28, many of their key players were dinged up. Most notable was quarterback Adrian Martinez. The Nebraska transfer suffered a leg injury after just two pass attempts and a 19-yard run.

Who What When Will Howard

pic.twitter.com/MxiPaMcRKO

— K-State Football (@KStateFB) October 23, 2022

If he can’t go, KState will turn to Will Howard. He filled in nicely for Martinez, going 13-for-20 for 225 yards and two TD passes and an interception, though he also left the TCU game with a shoulder injury.

The centrepiece of the Wildcats’ rush attack is Deuce Vaughan, who’s seen his workload lighten significantly in the last two weeks. After four straight games with at least 20 carries, he’s had 22 total carries across two games, including a 12-carry, 83-yard effort in Week 8, with one score.

He too isn’t 100%, as he’s been battling a leg injury since getting leg whipped in a Week 7 win over Iowa State.

Oklahoma State vs Kansas State Pick

It will be interesting to see if Kansas State can get the pass game going, because there are plays to be had.

Oklahoma State surrenders 303.6 yards passing per game, which ranks 5th-worst in the nation. However, Martinez and Howard haven’t even crossed 1,000 yards passing combined on the season.

https://twitter.com/GunslingerBuzz/status/1585233277840896000

The Wildcats should still have ample opportunities to puncture the OK State defense, but the Cowboys will be able to put up points themselves.

Look for Oklahoma State to outscore their problems, yet again, against a team that’s just a little too dinged up to give them a real run for second in the conference.

The Pick:

• Oklahoma State +2 (-112); 1 unit to win 0.89 units
• Week 8 NCAAF Record: 1-1: Overall: 4-4 ATS, 1-0 ML, 1-1 o/u; +0.55 units