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Notre Dame vs Purdue Prediction, Odds & How to Watch

Brady Trettenero

By Brady Trettenero in College Football

Published:


Sep 19, 2026; South Bend, Indiana, USA; Notre Dame Fighting Irish quarterback CJ Carr (13) after beating the Michigan State Spartans half at Notre Dame Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Michael Caterina-Imagn Images
  • Notre Dame visits Purdue at 2 p.m. ET Saturday in the Shillelagh Trophy rivalry
  • Purdue’s productive passing attack faces an Irish defense coming off a strong second half
  • Read below for my Notre Dame vs Purdue prediction, updated odds and how to watch

Notre Dame is 3-0, but Saturday’s trip to Purdue comes with a big number attached. The Irish are being asked to win by four touchdowns against a team that has kept scoring even while losing its last two games.

The Boilermakers fell 52-38 at UCLA last week, while Notre Dame beat Michigan State 27-10. That sets up Purdue’s passing production against an Irish defense that has been much better after halftime.

My Notre Dame vs Purdue prediction starts with the spread. I’ll then compare the odds, explain how to watch Saturday’s game and put the recent head-to-head results in context.

Notre Dame vs Purdue Prediction

  • Pick: Notre Dame -27.5 (-114 at BetMGM)

I’m backing Notre Dame to cover, and the defense is the main reason. The Irish held Michigan State to 40 total yards and no rushing yards in the second half last week. A seven-point halftime lead turned into a 27-10 win because the Spartans could not move the ball after the break.

That followed a similar finish against Wisconsin. Notre Dame outscored the Badgers 28-3 in the second half of its 41-13 season-opening win. This spread needs the Irish to pull away late, and those finishes give me more confidence than the unbeaten record on its own.

Purdue can test that defense. Ryan Browne completed 19 of 30 passes for 378 yards and three touchdowns at UCLA, setting another career high. The bigger point is that the Boilermakers have enough passing to keep a big favorite uncomfortable.

The problem for Purdue is turning that offense into a complete game. It scored 36 points in a double-overtime loss to Wake Forest, then 38 at UCLA. Those losses show that scoring in the 30s does not help much when the defense cannot get stops.

CJ Carr does not need to force anything if Notre Dame keeps Purdue behind schedule. I expect the Irish to control the second half again and pull away as the game goes on. At -27.5, a 28-point win is enough to cover, and I would lose interest once the number moves past four touchdowns.

Notre Dame vs Purdue Odds

TeamSpreadMoneylineTotal
Notre Dame-27.5 (-114)-4000Over 58.5 (-105)
Purdue+27.5 (-105)+1900Under 58.5 (-115)

BetMGM prices checked September 25 for the September 26 game. American odds are rounded from the displayed decimal prices.

The college football odds make Notre Dame a heavy favorite outright, but the spread is the tougher call. Purdue does not have to threaten an upset to cover this number, and a late touchdown could matter even if the Irish have controlled most of the afternoon.

I’m keeping this to a spread pick rather than adding a total. Purdue’s passing attack and Notre Dame’s second-half defense pull that decision in different directions. Anyone opening an account can check the current BetMGM promo code before placing the bet.

How to Watch Notre Dame vs Purdue

  • Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
  • Kickoff: 2 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Ross-Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, Indiana
  • Streaming: Peacock

This game is exclusive to Peacock, so it is not on regular NBC television. Plan around the 2 p.m. ET start rather than the usual noon or 3:30 p.m. Saturday windows.

Notre Dame vs Purdue Head-to-Head

SeasonLocationResult
2025Notre DameNotre Dame 56-30
2024PurdueNotre Dame 66-7

Notre Dame has won 10 straight in the series and leads 61-26-2 overall. Those margins show why the Irish are such a big favorite, but they do not make this spread automatic. Last year’s 26-point win would fall short of covering today’s 27.5.

That is why I put more weight on Notre Dame’s current defensive form. Purdue’s passing game creates a real risk of a late cover, but I’m taking the Irish to get enough stops to win by four touchdowns.

Brady Trettenero
Brady Trettenero

Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor

Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.

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