Navy vs SMU Odds, Lines and Best Bet

• Navy and SMU clash this Friday night in Week 7 on October 14th
• The Mustangs are currently a 12.5-point betting favorite against the Midshipmen in the CFB odds
• Read below for Navy vs SMU odds, spread and best bet for Week 7

This All-American Conference college football game has SMU at home to take on Navy this Friday, October 14. Kickoff is set for just after 7:30 PM ET at Gerald R. Ford Stadium, and the game will be live on ESPN. Both teams will be trying to get to .500 with a win. SMU won last year’s meeting by a score of 31-24.

SMU remains a 12.5-point betting favorite and the total is set at 57.5 for this contest. The Mustangs are spotting double-digit points to the Midshipmen.

Let’s head into the Navy vs SMU odds and offer you our best bets and predictions.

Navy vs SMU Odds

Odds as of October 11th at BetMGM. 

SMU is -550 on the moneyline in the college football odds, giving them a 84.6% implied probability to win.

SMU Needs To Be Ship Shape

After taking a 41-19 drubbing at the hands of UCF last week, SMU needs to bounce back and get in ship shape. Navy is also 2-3 and desperately looked to get back to .500 themselves. They did surprise East Carolina and have two conference wins. The Midshipmen will not be a pushover.

However, the Mustangs have lost three straight games after dropping two winnable contests. Projections have SMU lower in the conference mix now.

Midseason AAC Predictions
1. Cincinnati 10-2 7-1
2. Tulane 9-3 6-2
3. UCF 9-3 6-2
4. Houston 8-4 6-2
5. East Carolina 6-6 4-4
6. Memphis 7-5 4-4
7. Tulsa 6-6 4-4
8. SMU 5-7 3-5
9. Navy 3-8 3-5
10. USF 2-10 1-7
11. Temple 2-10 0-8

CCG: Cincinnati 27 Tulane 20

— College Football World (@CFBWorld1) October 10, 2022

The frustrating part for SMU is that they nearly knocked off TCU a few weeks back. They were one possession from doing the unthinkable. That was ironically the one game they beat the spread out of five games played. SMU does have some nice offensive numbers but untimely miscues on both sides of the ball have been their downfall the past three weeks.

Their passing attack does put some fear in most college teams. Tanner Mordecai is averaging more than 300 yards passing a game and does have a tidy 2-to-1 touchdown to interception ratio. That is a bit lower than one would like but that is respectable. Rashee Rice is the big-play wide receiver as he has racked up 681 yards and four touchdowns already. Navy may have problems with him as they do not have anyone to cover the rangy Senior.

Navy head coach Ken Niumatalolo said the sign of a great receiver is one that can come down with 50-50 balls. He sees that in SMU WR Rashee Rice.

"Those are the ones that keep you up at night."

— Joseph Hoyt (@JoeJHoyt) October 10, 2022

Further on the offense, head coach Rhett Lashlie has gotten ten rushing touchdowns from his running backs. Again, the balance has been pretty solid here. The problems boil down to miscues of the penalty and turnover kind. When the defense averages 9.6 penalties a game for almost 90 yards, that is a huge problem. The offense turns the ball over 2.4 times a contest. That is also not good.

The defense can force some turnovers against Navy but need to do more. SMU has seven turnovers on the season. The Mustangs must control the line of scrimmage early and limit those mistakes.

Navy Not Quite In Same Boat As SMU

Head coach Ken Niumatatolo is seeing his team in the same, boat but under different circumstances when compared to SMU. The Midshipmen come off a rousing “Homecoming” win over Tulane by 32 points. Yes, Navy is also 2-3 but they lost a close battle to Air Force and again surprised the Pirates a few weeks back.

Navy’s back half of the schedule is kindly considered difficult. They need a win. After SMU, they face teams like Notre Dame, Cincinnati, UCF, and Army. That will not be easy.

The weekend that was, on @WTOP. College Football Corner: Big wins for Navy & JMU; Cavaliers and Hokies lose big; Tough defeat for Terps.https://t.co/MMHwPfZXuv

— Dave Preston (@davpresto) October 10, 2022

Can Navy build off that big win against Tulane? After a poor start to the season, this is a big chance for them to get to .500 before the rails potentially fall off. If their running game comes close to 300 yards Friday night, they have a shot.

Navy’s projected NCAAF win total of 4.5 could be in jeopardy.

Navy vs SMU Prediction

Yes, SMU knows what is at stake here.

Navy is one of those teams that can control the clock and keep things close. That should scare the Mustangs at least a bit. However, SMU’s passing game is far more of a threat with Rice.

However, 12.5 points is a lot for SMU here, take the points with Navy.

Pick: Navy +12.5 (-110)