Indiana vs Ohio State Props – Best Player Prop Bets for Big Ten Showdown

• #5 Indiana visits #2 Ohio State in the biggest game on the Week 13 College Football slate
• The Hoosiers defense ranks 4th nationally in pass rush productivity and 14th in coverage
• Keep reading for the best Indiana vs Ohio State player prop bets for this Big Ten showdown

The stakes are sky-high on Saturday for both #5 Indiana and #2 Ohio State. The undefeated Hoosiers can clinch a spot in the Big Ten Championship Game with a win over the Buckeyes, while OSU needs a victory to keep its conference title hopes alive.

By this late in the week, the spread and total markets are ultra-efficient, but there’s still value to be found in the college football player props. That’s where our attention is focused below, so keep reading for the best Indiana vs Ohio State player props to bet for this Big Ten showdown.

Indiana vs Ohio State Player Props

The Buckeyes sport an implied team total of 32.5, but don’t expect the bulk of the points to come from Will Howard’s arm. Howard has a passing yards prop of 245.5 yards, 20 yards more than Indiana’s Kurtis Rourke. We’re looking to fade Howard in this matchup, as the Hoosiers have the talent to make him very uncomfortable.

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Indiana vs Ohio State Prop #1: Will Howard Under 245.5 Passing Yards

Ohio State is the current favorite in the National Championship odds, and they are heavy chalk in this contest. Oddsmakers are expecting a Buckeyes blowout, which would naturally lend itself to a more run-heavy script when playing from ahead.

But even if the game is closer than most project, Howard is not set up for success. The Hoosiers boast the fourth-highest-graded pass rush per Pro Football Focus, and feature a top-14 coverage unit.

Howard has struggled under pressure this season, and his production drops off a cliff when moved off his spot. His completion percentage on throws 10+ yards downfield in those situations is just 59%, while his average yards per attempt is only 6.7 yards.

Will Howard:

pick six
missed deep ball TD
fumble for a touchback

Unbelievable.

— The Silver Bulletin (@tSilverBulletin) November 2, 2024

He’s failed to reach 250 passing yards in three of his last four outings, despite producing completions of at least 32 yards in three of those games. Explosive plays are tough to come by versus Indiana, who give up the sixth-fewest in the country.

• Pick: Will Howard Under 245.5 Passing Yards (-115 at BetMGM)

Indiana vs Ohio State Prop #2: Justice Ellison Over 38.5 Rushing Yards

On the other side of the ball, the Hoosiers best chance of staying competitive is to attack on the ground. Indiana deploys a heavy inside zone running scheme, exactly the type of rushing attack OSU struggles against.

The Buckeyes defense ranks 64th in line yards and 76th in stuff rate, and sees its success rate drop by nearly 10% versus inside zone runs as opposed to outside zone runs.

HOOSIERS ARE ON FIRE 🔥

Justice Ellison takes it 31 yards for ANOTHER @IndianaFootball TD 😤 pic.twitter.com/I99j7u3Fuj

— FOX College Football (@CFBONFOX) October 19, 2024

The Hoosiers have two quality backs in Justice Ellison and Ty Son Lawton, but this looks like an Ellison spot. He averages 5.7 yards per carry, including 3.8 yards after initial contact.

• Pick: Justice Ellison Over 38.5 Rushing Yards (-115 at BetMGM)

Indiana vs Ohio State Touchdown Props

Switching to the touchdown props market, where the Buckeyes Jeremiah Smith and Quinshon Judkins have the shortest odds to find the end zone. Judkins, in particular, is of interest, as he’s taken control of Ohio State’s backfield.

Indiana vs Ohio State Prop #3: Quinshon Judkins Anytime TD

Judkins has earned 14 more carries than backfield partner TreVeyon Smith over the last five games, scoring twice last time out.

The Hoosiers have the best rushing defense in the nation per the numbers, however, they’ve yet to face a top-70 rushing attack. Judkins averages 6.0 yards per carry, and given the troubles we expect Howard to face as outlined earlier, don’t be surprised if Ohio State’s lead back gets a heavy workload.

• Pick: Quinshon Judkins Anytime TD (-140 at BetMGM)

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