Hawaii vs Arizona State Prediction, Best Bets & Late-Night CFB Odds
By Brady Trettenero in College Football
Published:
- Arizona State hosts Hawaii in Saturday’s late-night CFB matchup.
- The moneyline and total offer different ways to approach this matchup.
- Read below for my Hawaii vs Arizona State prediction, best bets and late-night CFB odds.
Coming off a 55-19 blowout loss to Baylor, the Arizona State Sun Devils (2-2) return home to host the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (1-4) at Mountain America Stadium. Kickoff is set for 10:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, October 10.
Hawaii is also reeling after a 20-16 loss to San Jose State, despite piling up 437 yards of total offense. Neither team is ranked, so this one comes down to which side can stop the slide.
The Hawaii vs Arizona State odds make the Sun Devils a clear home favorite against a Hawaii team making the long trip to the mainland. Here’s how these teams match up and where I see value.
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Hawaii vs Arizona State Prediction & Best Bets
Hawaii vs Arizona State Moneyline Prediction
- Pick: Arizona State Moneyline (92¢ on Kalshi)
My Hawaii vs Arizona State prediction is a Sun Devils win. Kalshi has Arizona State at 92¢, roughly -1150 before fees. ASU has won 12 of its 15 home games since the start of 2024, while Hawaii has lost 18 straight road games against power-conference opponents. Its last such win came at Washington State in 2009.
Hawaii is also built to play from behind. The Rainbow Warriors throw on 67.4% of their snaps, and quarterback Micah Alejado has 800 of his 1,360 passing yards and all four of his touchdown passes after halftime. That points to an offense that struggles to get going early.
Hawaii vs Arizona State Best Bet: Over 50.5
- Best Bet: Over 50.5 (52¢ on Kalshi)
Arizona State quarterback Cutter Boley has been a tale of two halves. He has 725 yards, eight touchdowns and zero interceptions in first halves, but just 315 yards, two touchdowns and three interceptions after the break. Add in ASU being outscored 44-10 in fourth quarters this season, and the likely script is an early Sun Devils lead with Hawaii chasing late.
That script should mean plenty of possessions. The Hawaii vs Arizona State total sits at 50.5 on Kalshi, with the Over priced at 52¢, roughly -108 before fees. Arizona State is allowing 31.8 points per game, and Hawaii’s late-game passing gives this Over a second path to cash.
Hawaii vs Arizona State Odds
Prices from Kalshi as of Oct. 10. American equivalents are approximate and exclude fees. Compare prediction market apps or see the Kalshi promo code for the current new-user offer.
The Hawaii vs Arizona State odds make the Sun Devils heavy favorites. A winning 92¢ Arizona State contract pays $1, an 8¢ profit before fees, while Hawaii costs just 9¢ to win outright. On the spread, buying No on Arizona State winning by more than 20.5 points is the same as backing Hawaii +20.5.
The moneyline and the total offer very different payouts. At 92¢, Arizona State is pricey, while the Over 50.5 costs 52¢ and returns 48¢ profit per winning contract before fees.
Hawaii vs Arizona State Stats Comparison
The Hawaii vs Arizona State matchup features very different scoring outputs. Hawaii moves the ball but hasn’t turned those yards into enough points, while Arizona State scores often but has struggled to close games.
Current-season stats entering Oct. 10. Hawaii has played five games and Arizona State four.
Hawaii’s 437 yards against San Jose State show this offense can still put up points despite last week’s 20-16 loss. Kaikai Carvalho leads the receivers with 249 yards, just ahead of Tama Uiliata’s 245. With Hawaii throwing on 67.4% of its plays, Alejado should get chances to push the ball downfield against a defense that just gave up 55 points.
Arizona State has its own big-play threat in Reed Harris, who has five catches of 35 yards or more. Boley’s eight first-half touchdown passes back the case for an early ASU lead, while Hawaii’s second-half passing and ASU’s fourth-quarter struggles give the Over another way to get there.
Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor
Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.
