Colorado vs Kansas State Predictions & Latest Odds (Saturday, Oct. 12)

• We’ve made our Colorado vs Kansas State prediction for Saturday night on FOX
• The latest CU vs Kansas State odds slightly favor the Wildcats on the road
• Read below for Colorado vs Kansas State odds, prediction and best bets

The Colorado Buffaloes (4-1) host the Kansas State Wildcats (3-1) on Saturday, October 12, 2024 at 8:00 p.m. ET in a Big 12 conference matchup at Folsom Field in Boulder, Colorado. The game will be televised on FOX.

Kansas State is now only a 3-point favorite with the over/under set at 56.5 points, according to the latest CFB odds. While many fans may be expecting Shedeur Sanders and the Buffaloes’ offense to put on a show, signs point to a more low-scoring affair dominated by Kansas State’s ground game.

Here’s a peek at the Colorado vs Kansas State odds, along with our betting prediction:

Colorado vs Kansas State Prediction

Despite notable line movement towards Colorado, the Kansas State moneyline (-165) and under 56.5 total points are my best bets for Saturday night football. Both teams are coming off a bye week, so I’m not concerned about fatigue for a traveling Wildcats team.

Kansas State’s rushing attack is the key factor in my prediction. The Wildcats rank seventh nationally in rushing yards per game at 252.2. Their ground game is spearheaded by running back DJ Giddens (604 yards, 7.3 YPC) and dual-threat QB Avery Johnson (321 rushing yards).

"Colorado is hot. Shedeur is unique. Avery Johnson's skillset makes the Buffs' chances bleak."

🗣️ @CoachNeuheisel is taking @KStateFB over Colorado in a Big 12 heavyweight showdown pic.twitter.com/0hIYd9Mqmb

— CBS Sports College Football 🏈 (@CBSSportsCFB) October 8, 2024

Colorado’s defense, meanwhile, has been vulnerable against the run, allowing 379.6 yards per game (fourth-worst in the Big 12). Kansas State should be able to control the clock and tempo with their punishing ground game.

The Wildcats’ defense is also stout, allowing just 19.6 points per game. They excel at limiting explosive plays and tightening up in the red zone. This bend-but-don’t-break approach should frustrate Colorado’s big-play offense.

While Colorado QB Shedeur Sanders has put up gaudy numbers, Kansas State’s pass rush (16.8% pressure rate) could disrupt his rhythm. The Buffaloes’ offensive line has struggled in pass protection, allowing pressure on 33.9% of dropbacks.

Moreover, Kansas State head coach Chris Klieman has an impressive 12-3-2 ATS record as a one-possession favorite. His teams are known for their physicality and disciplined play.

I’m also betting the Under given Kansas State’s ball-control style and Colorado’s potential offensive line issues. The Wildcats should be able to shorten the game with long, methodical drives.

While Colorado has generated plenty of buzz, Kansas State is the more complete and battle-tested team. Look for the Wildcats to grind out a close victory and keep the score under the total.

CU vs K-State Picks:

• Kansas State ML (-165)
• Under 55.5 Points (-110)

Updated Colorado vs Kansas State Odds

Odds as of Oct. 12 (5:30 pm ET) at ESPN Bet.

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The Colorado vs K-Satte betting line for this matchup has seen significant movement over the past week. Kansas State opened as six-point favorites at most sportsbooks on Sunday, October 6. However, that number has steadily dropped as the week progressed.

By Monday, October 7, the line had shifted to Kansas State -5, indicating growing support for Colorado. The movement continued throughout the week, with the spread narrowing to 3.5 points by Thursday, October 10.

pack the house tonight 😤 pic.twitter.com/H53SE7YHAn

— Colorado Buffaloes Football (@CUBuffsFootball) October 12, 2024

As of Saturday morning, just hours before kickoff, Kansas State is favored by only three points. This substantial line movement suggests a surge of betting action on Colorado, likely fueled by their impressive 4-1 start and the ongoing buzz surrounding Deion Sanders’ program.

The total for the game has also seen notable movement, albeit in the opposite direction. The over/under opened at 57.5 points early in the week but has gradually decreased. As of Saturday morning, the total sits at 55.5 points, a two-point drop from the opening line.

This downward shift in the total suggests that bettors and oddsmakers are anticipating a lower-scoring affair than initially projected. When a total drops at least three points from open, the under cashes well over 50% of the time.