Youngstown State vs Robert Morris Horizon League Tournament Finals Odds, Picks & Prediction (Mar. 11)
By Nick Holz in College Basketball
Published:
- Robert Morris takes on Youngstown State in the 2025 Horizon League Tournament Final on March 11
- Robert Morris is 9-0 SU in its last nine games
- Look for all the Youngstown State vs Robert Morris Horizon League Tournament Final odds, picks and predictions, below
Youngstown State and Robert Morris go to war in the Horizon League Tournament Final on Tuesday, March 11. Both teams are in form, as the Penguins enter having won seven of their last ten games, while the Colonials counter with nine consecutive victories. Robert Morris vs Youngstown State tips off from the Corteva Coliseum in Indianapolis at 7pm ET on ESPN. Until then, check out all the odds and profit with my prediction, below.
Youngstown State vs Robert Morris Prediction for Horizon League Tournament Final
Youngstown State and Robert Morris split their regular season series, with each team pulling out a victory away from home.
Crucially, Robert Morris are a phenomenal 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games. They’re 15-1 SU during that stretch, and have blow the competition out of the water over the final month of the season. The Colonials rank ahead of the Penguins in both offensive and defensive efficiency. Additionally, Robert Morris pulls away when looking deeper into the four factors of effective field goal, turnover and offensive rebounding percentage and find their way to the free throw line at a far higher rate. Back the Colonials to come out on top as 3.5-point favorites in the Youngstown State vs Robert Morris Horizon League Tournament Final.
Pick: Robert Morris -3.5 (-108)
Robert Morris Betting Trends
At 25-8 on the season, the Robert Morris have been the best team in the Horizon League all year long. The Colonials finished 15-5 in conference play, and a fantastic 16-2 on their home floor.
All-Horizon guard Kam Woods led the Colonials in a thrilling 13-point comeback over Oakland in the semifinals. Wood leads the lead with 14.8 points, 5.1 assists and 4.6 rebounds per game. Robert Morris boast the best three-man rotation in the conference as 6’9 sophomore Alvaro Folgueiras was named the Horizon League Player of the Year. Folgueiras is comfortable in the paint, or knocking down threes and scores 14.2 points per game while adding 9.3 rebounds. Finally, 6’7 guard Amarion Dickerson was named the Horizon League Defensive Player of the year, and scores 13.2 points and 5.4 rebounds per game while stifling the opponents’ best player.
Robert Morris ranks 147th in KenPom’s ratings. Although a deeper dive displays the Colonials are a team to watch. Andrew Toole’s team sits 159th in effective field goal percentage (51.2), but the Colonials crash the boards with reckless abandon, and are 36th in the Division 1 with a 35.2% offensive rebounding percentage. On top of that, powered by the skills of Woods and Folgueiras, Robert Morris understand how to get to the free-throw line and rank 45th in free throws attempted per field goals attempted.
Youngstown State Betting Trends
According to KenPom, Youngstown State is the 198th ranked team in efficiency. However, the Penguins have battled through the Horizon League Tournament for a shot at glory. Impressively, this run has come without their best player, EJ Farmer, who also leads the team with 15.1 points per game. Thankfully, senior guard Nico Gallette – a Second Team All-Horizon performer – and 6’6 forward Siem Uijtendaal have taken up the mantle. Gallette is central to everything the Penguins do and leads the squad with 12.7 points, 7.2 rebounds and 3 assists per night.
The Penguins’ defense is an average unit that ranks 126th on KenPom. Youngstown State do an excellent job of taking away midrange shots and rank a solid 32nd in the nation in block percentage. Unfortunately, the Penguins offense leaves a lot to be desired
Youngstown State loves to push the pace, unfortunately, they can’t shoot the basketball. The Penguins sit 243rd in KenPom’s adjusted effective field goal percentage, and 226th in turnover percentage at 17.9. All that speed means very little when the Penguins turn the ball over at a high rate, and miss a ton of shots. Worse still, Youngstown State ranks just 201st in offensive rebounding percentage.
Horizon League Tournament Final Odds: Youngstown State vs Robert Morris
Youngstown State meets Robert Morris as 3.5-point underdogs in the Horizon League Tournament final. The Colonials are -162 moneyline favorites over the Penguins who come back as +136 moneyline underdogs in the latest college basketball odds.
Odds as of March 11th, at DraftKings Sportsbook. Look for a Draftkings promo code for all your college basketball betting action.
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Sports Content Writer
A sports betting aficionado and graduate of Toronto Film School, Nick covers the NFL, NBA, Soccer, and MMA for SBD. He is also an avid NBA podcaster, and sports betting TikToker. Nick's work has been featured on Bleacher Report.
