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Xavier vs UConn Odds, Player Props & Predictions (Dec. 18)

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in College Basketball

Updated: January 2, 2025 at 6:05 pm EST

Published:


Connecticut Huskies guard Hassan Diarra driving to the hoop
Nov 30, 2024; Storrs, Connecticut, USA; Connecticut Huskies guard Hassan Diarra (10) drives to the basket during the second half against the Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks at XL Center. Mandatory Credit: Mark Smith-Imagn Images
  • Xavier and UConn open their Big East schedules in Storrs in Wednesday night
  • Riding an impressive four-game win streak, Dan Hurley’s Huskies are ten-point home favorites
  • See the Xavier vs UConn odds, player props, and predictions for Dec. 18

Since losing three straight games in late November, the two-time reigning national champion UConn Huskies (8-3, 6-0 home, 6-4-1 ATS) have been on an absolute tear, rattling off four straight wins overall and three in a row over top-50 opponents. On Wednesday night, they bring a perfect 6-0 home record into their Big East opener against the Xavier Musketeers (8-3, 0-2 away, 5-6 ATS) at the XL Center in Storrs. Tip-off is set for 4:00 pm ET and the hometown Huskies are big 13.5-point favorites.

Xavier vs UConn Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Xavier Musketeers +13.5 (-120) +750 O 146.5 (-115)
UConn Huskies -13.5 (-100) -1400 U 146.5 (-1105)

On the moneyline, the Huskies are a hyper-short -1400 to win straight-up with Xavier a +750 longshot to hand UConn its first home loss since January 25, 2023. The game total is sitting at 146.5 with the over slightly favored at -115.

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UConn was always going to be a sizable favorite tonight, but the odds wouldn’t have been quite this lopsided if not for a huge injury on the Xavier side. Leading scorer and rebounder Zach Freemantle (16.9 PPG, 7.7 RPG) is out indefinitely with a knee injury.

YouTube video

Freemantle suffered the injury late in Xavier’s “Crosstown Shootout” loss to intracity rival Cincinnati (68-65) on Saturday. The 6’9 senior had 18 points, seven rebounds, four assists, and three steals in 35 minutes in the loss.

UConn, meanwhile, has rattled off four straight wins since a trio of losses to Memphis (99-97 OT), Colorado (73-72), and Dayton (85-67) at the Maui Invitational. The last three all came against quality competition: Baylor (76-72 home), Texas (76-65 away), and Gonzaga (77-71 neutral).

Player Props

Player Points Rebounds Assists
Alex Karaban (CON) 15.5 (Ov -102 | Un -128) 5.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) OFF
Dayvion McKnight (XAV) 10.5 (Ov -100 | Un -130) OFF OFF
Liam McNeeley (CON) 13.5 (Ov -125 | Un -104) 6.5 (Ov -100 | Un -130) OFF
Ryan Conwell (XAV) 15.5 (Ov -110 | Un -118) OFF OFF
Solo Ball (CON) 12.5 (Ov -120 | Un -108) OFF OFF

Player props as of Dec. 18 at FanDuel. Get the FanDuel promo code to bet on the Xavier vs UConn player props. 

The available player props aren’t extensive. Only five players are on the board, the top-three scorers from UConn – Alex Karaban (15.6 PPG), Liam McNeeley (13.6 PPG), and Solo Ball (12.5) – and the top-two remaining scorers from Xavier – Ryan Conwell (16.5 PPG) and Dayvion McKnight (10.3 PPG).

Xavier vs UConn Prediction

This is a tough ask for Xavier in their first game without their best player: going on the road to face the two-time defending champs, who also happen to be red-hot.

The Musketeers have been elite at defensive rebounding this season, grabbing 76.6 of available defensive rebounds (13th in DI) but that’s sure to take a hit without Freemantle. They are still stacked with good three-point shooters, but Storrs is an awfully difficult place to heat up from deep. The Huskies still have a ton of length on the perimeter. Their current defensive-efficiency ranking of 72nd in the nation is undoubtedly going to improve over the coming weeks.

I see UConn winning their Big East opener in a runaway.

  • Xavier vs UConn pick: UConn -13.5 (-100) at ESPN Bet

Sascha Paruk’s 2024-25 NCAAM betting record: 10-6 (+3.54 units). All wagers one unit unless expressly stated otherwise.

Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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