TCU vs Texas Odds, Picks & Score Prediction for Elite Eight (March 31)

• It’s all chalk in Regional 3 as the #2 TCU Horned Frogs face the #1 Texas Longhorns on Monday night
• Texas won its only game against the Big 12 this year, while TCU lost its only game against the SEC
• See the TCU vs Texas odds, picks, and predictions for NCAAW Tournament’s Elite Eight

The #2 TCU Horned Frogs (34-3) will face the #1 Texas Longhorns (34-3) in the Elite Eight in Regional 3 on Monday night (7:00 pm ET) at Legacy Arena in Birmingham, AL. Both teams cruised through the first three rounds of the NCAA Tournament but Texas is a sizable favorite to advance to its Final Four since 2003.

TCU vs Texas Odds

As of 12:45 pm ET on Monday, Texas is laying 7.5 points and is a -355 favorite on the moneyline, giving the Longhorns a 78.02% implied win probability. The Frogs come back as +278 underdogs, a 26.46% implied win probability. The game total is sitting at 128.5 with the under slightly favored at -115.

CAESARS SPORTSBOOK

Bet $1 & Double Your Winnings On Your First 10 Bets!

LOCK IN PROMO

CODE: SBD2DYW

CODE: SBD2DYW

SIGNUP PROMO

DOUBLE YOUR
WINNINGS

ON YOUR FIRST 10 BETS!

CLAIM OFFER

There aren’t a lot of common opponents and interconference results for TCU and Texas. The Longhorns won their only regular-season game against a Big 12 opponent, taking down West Virginia on a neutral court in Florida. Texas never trailed against the Mountaineers. TCU beat West Virginia twice (71-50 at home and 71-65 in Kansas City during the SEC Tournament).

The Frogs’ only game against an SEC opponent this year was an embarrassing 85-52 rout at the hands of reigning-champion South Carolina on a “neutral court” in Fort Worth. TCU trailed by 21 at halftime and 32 after three quarters. Texas went 1-2 against the Gamecocks in the regular season. The Longhorns fell 67-50 on the road but earned a 66-62 home win a month later. In the SEC Tournament final, South Carolina dusted Texas, 64-45.

Texas’ two lowest-scoring games of the season were its two losses to South Carolina (50 and 45 points). Only one other team held them under 50.

TCU vs Texas Ratings & Score Prediction

The score prediction from Torvik says bettors are getting good value on the Frogs at +7.5, and also over 128.5. The analytics site, which rates TCU eighth in the country and Texas third, projects a five-point Longhorn victory (68-63), which amounts to a 131 point total.

TCU faced a much stiffer test in the Sweet 16, matched up against fourth-rated Notre Dame in the Regional 3 semifinal. Projected to lose 72-68, the Frogs turned a two-point halftime deficit into a nine-point win (71-62) by the end of 40 minutes. Their second-rated offense took a backseat to their 29th-rated defense, which held the Irish to just 31.9% shooting from the field and 20% from three. TCU shot an electric 41.7% from beyond the arc, led by a 26-point, nine-rebound, four-assist performance from standout senior Hailey Van Lith (17.9 PPG, 4.5 RPG, 5.5 APG).

Texas faced 19th-rated Tennessee in the Sweet 16 and faced a stiff test in the first 30 minutes. The teams went to the fourth quarter tied at 50 but that’s when sophomore forward and leading scorer Madison Booker (16.4 PPG, 6.8 RPG, 2.8 APG) scored seven of her 17 points on the night, turning a tie game into an eight-point Texas win.

TCU vs Texas Picks

• TCU +7.5 (-110)
• Over 128.5 (-105)

The TCU vs Texas point spread has ballooned too much. It’s undeniably impressive that Texas was able to hand South Carolina one of its three losses on the season, but that was a true-home game. The Horned Frogs just beat – for the second time this season on a neutral court – a Notre Dame team that beat Texas (albeit in OT at home). .

TCU is riding a 13-game win streak and eight of those wins have come by double-digits. I will be stunned if the Frogs aren’t competitive throughout the full 40 minutes tonight