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Michigan vs Texas A&M Prediction, Odds & Player Props to Bet (Mar. 22)

Brady Trettenero

By Brady Trettenero in College Basketball

Published:


Michigan Wolverines center Danny Wolf controls the ball
March 20, 2025; Denver, CO, USA; Michigan Wolverines center Danny Wolf (1) controls the ball against the UC San Diego Tritons during the first half at Ball Arena. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images
  • The No. 5 seed Michigan Wolverines are 2.5-point underdogs versus the No. 4 seed Texas A&M Aggies
  • Both teams barely survived first-round scares, with Michigan edging UC San Diego 68-65 and Texas A&M holding off Yale 80-71
  • See the Michigan vs Texas A&M prediction, odds and player props for this March 22 matchup below

March Madness is heating up as the No. 5 seed Michigan Wolverines (26-9) and No. 4 seed Texas A&M Aggies (23-10) clash in a much-anticipated second-round battle. Both teams narrowly escaped first-round upsets, with Michigan squeaking by UC San Diego 68-65 and Texas A&M fending off a feisty Yale squad 80-71.

Now they’ll face off on Saturday, March 22 at Ball Arena in Denver, with a trip to the Sweet 16 on the line. Tip-off is set for 5:15 p.m. ET with CBS providing the national broadcast. There’s no better time to sign up for Paramount+.

I’ve made my Michigan vs Texas A&M prediction, plus identified the best player props on the board.

Michigan vs Texas A&M Prediction

For my best Michigan vs Texas A&M bet, I’m targeting under 143.5 points. This line has come up two points, and I don’t agree with the move. Several factors point towards a low-scoring, defensive battle in this matchup.

First, both teams have been involved in low-scoring games lately. The Wolverines have gone under the total in four of their last six contests, while the Aggies have hit the under in 13 of their previous 18 Saturday home games.

Secondly, Michigan and Texas A&M boast elite defenses. The Wolverines rank 12th in defensive efficiency, while the Aggies come in at 9th. Points will be at a premium in this one.

The contrasting tempos of these squads could also contribute to a lower-scoring affair. Michigan likes to push the pace, averaging 69.5 possessions per 40 minutes. On the other hand, Texas A&M prefers a slower, more physical style, with just 66.4 possessions per 40 minutes. This clash of styles may lead to fewer possessions and scoring chances for both teams.

We also need to factor in the impact of the high altitude in Denver. The thinner air can affect shooting touch and endurance, especially for players not used to it. Don’t be surprised if both teams struggle with their shooting efficiency.

Finally, Texas A&M’s glaring weakness plays right into Michigan’s strengths. The Aggies are one of the worst three-point shooting teams in the nation, ranking 325th at just 30.8%. The Wolverines’ stingy perimeter defense should be able to exploit this and keep the score down.

  • Michigan vs Texas A&M Pick: Under 143.5 (-110)
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Michigan vs Texas A&M Odds

Bet TypeMichigan WolverinesTexas A&M Aggies
Moneyline+130-155
Spread+2.5 (-105)-2.5 (-115)
TotalO 143.5 (-115)U 143.5 (-105)

Texas A&M enters as a 2.5-point favorite over Michigan, with the total set at 143.5 points. The Aggies are -155 on the moneyline, meaning you’d need to risk $155 to win $100. The Wolverines are +130 underdogs, so a $100 bet would return a profit of $130 if they pull off the upset.

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook as of March 22, 2025. See our FanDuel Review for exclusive sign-up offers.

The spread opened at Texas A&M -1.5 but has since moved to -2.5, indicating early action on the Aggies. Some books have even bumped this line up to 3.5, although FanDuel is still listing 2.5.

Meanwhile, the total has jumped up two points after opening at 141.5. The -115 juice on the new total means oddsmakers are convinced their original line was too low.

Michigan vs Texas A&M Props

PlayerPointsReboundsAssistsThree-Pointers Made
Tre Donaldson (MICH)11.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)3.5 (Ov +110 | Un -140)2.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105)2.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105)
Danny Wolf (MICH)12.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)10.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)OFFOFF
Henry Coleman III (TAMU)7.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)5.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100)OFFOFF
Pharrel Payne (TAMU)9.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)5.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135)OFFOFF

College basketball props from March Madness betting apps on March 22, 2025.

Michigan’s Danny Wolf has the highest point total on their board at 12.5, while also boasting the highest rebound over/under at 10.5. Wolf is among my top March Madness player prop bets for today’s game.

Here are the three Michigan vs Texas A&M prop bets I’ve locked in for Saturday:

  • Tre Donaldson 3+ Three-Pointers Made (+152 at FanDuel)

Donaldson has been Michigan’s top perimeter threat, hoisting up seven threes in their first-round win over UC San Diego and connecting on three of them. He should have plenty of opportunities to exceed this prop against a Texas A&M defense that struggles to defend the three-point line, allowing 8.6 made triples per game (306th nationally).

  • Danny Wolf 11+ Rebounds (-105 at DraftKings)

The Wolverines’ big man has been a force on the glass, surpassing this rebounding total in three of his last four postseason contests. With Texas A&M relying heavily on offensive rebounds, Wolf should have ample chances to clean the defensive glass and push this prop over.

  • Pharrel Payne Under 9.5 Points (-125 at FD)

Despite Payne’s strong showing against Yale, I expect him to come back down to earth against Michigan’s stout interior defense. The Wolverines’ twin towers of Wolf and Vladislav Goldin should make things difficult for Payne inside, limiting his scoring chances and keeping him under this points prop.

Brady Trettenero
Brady Trettenero

Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor

Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.

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