LSU Still 40-1 to Win March Madness After Will Wade Suspension

By Ryan Bolta in College Basketball
Updated: April 8, 2020 at 6:12 pm EDTPublished:

- The LSU Tigers (25-5, 15-2) are tied for 1st in the SEC with one regular-season game remaining
- Coach Will Wade has been suspended indefinitely following an FBI wiretap report
- LSU is currently listed at +4000 odds to win NCAA Tournament
It’s only cheating if you get caught.
Well, Will Wade got caught and now he and the LSU Tigers are being punished. Wade has been suspended because of the comments he made on a wire tap of “an offer” made to recruit and current player Javonte Smart.
It’s a big blow for LSU, who will likely finish with a share of the SEC regular-season title, but it isn’t a death blow.
2019 NCAA Tournament Odds
Top-10 NCAA Tournament Favorites | Odds |
---|---|
Duke | +240 |
Gonzaga | +700 |
Virginia | +950 |
Kentucky | +1200 |
Tennessee | +1200 |
Michigan State | +1500 |
North Carolina | +1500 |
Michigan | +1600 |
Nevada | +3300 |
Purdue | +3300 |
Texas Tech | +3300 |
LSU | +4000 |
Logic says there’s a circus around the program, so you should fade the folks down in Baton Rouge, right?
Well, we don’t look for logic, we look for value and there’s a strong reason to believe, at +4000, the Tigers aren’t a good bet, they’re a great one.
Likely SEC Champs Deserve More Respect
This is a team that’s one win away from a regular-season conference title. Yes, it’s the SEC, and no, this isn’t football, but that level of success still deserves attention. They are 25-5 on the season and have lost only one game on the road all year.
One last chance to see the Tigers play in the PMAC this season on Saturday!
Who's coming?
🎟 https://t.co/arGcEY4RE2 pic.twitter.com/RNP6a1Kq9I
— LSU Basketball (@LSUBasketball) March 7, 2019
This doesn’t appear to be a suspension that will be short lived, but should LSU be +4000 because of it? Those odds are the same as the Kansas Jayhawks, a team that is 3-8 on the road, and the Kansas State Wildcats, a team that’s 106th in offensive efficiency.
LSU is a better team than anything the state of Kansas has to offer, with or without their bench boss.
LSU Playing For Fallen Teammate
Chalk up a coach being benched as a minor issue considering the other major event that rattled the program this year. LSU lost a member of its basketball team and its family when Wayde Sims was shot and killed in September of 2018.
LSU Basketball Player Wayde Simms Shot To Death https://t.co/owLcpUB6UG
— 97.1 The Ticket: (@971theticketxyt) September 28, 2018
I hesitate to use this story as a reason to bet on or bet against a team and that’s not the intention here.
I am including the info to showcase how this LSU team has stayed strong through tragedy and have been playing the season for their fallen teammate.
Surely having an assistant coach take over the clipboard won’t stunt the progress they’ve made with Sims in their hearts.
Betting Odds Don’t Match The Tigers Rank
The current March Madness betting odds don’t match where LSU sits nationally as a basketball team.
They sit 10th in the Associated Press poll and, as you can see from the odds listed above, they aren’t listed in the top ten.
Not only are they outside the top ten, but +4000 is incredibly long when you consider that Duke, which is spiraling out of control without Zion Williamson, is currently paying only +240.
Road Warriors‼️
🏀 Only LSU team to go 9-0 in SEC Road play
🏀 5 Overtime Victories
🏀 Tied atop SEC with one game left📄 https://t.co/brCo9uumYg pic.twitter.com/SmPxoMYvyc
— LSU Basketball (@LSUBasketball) March 7, 2019
When you’re laying a futures bet on a tournament that includes 68 teams, there is no sure answer, there are only teams that provide value and others that don’t.
Consider this Will Wade suspension a blessing in disguise and be thankful you can get an awesome price on a team deserving of a top seed once the tournament bracket is released.

Sports Writer
Ryan has been working at TSN for over eleven years, and is now a lead writer and content producer at That's Hockey. Over the years, he's launched and hosted TSN's first NCAAF podcast, The College Football Show, and been featured on the likes of TSN 1050, Sportscentre, and That's Hockey 2Nite.