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Kansas vs Houston Prediction, Player Props & Best Odds (Mar. 3)

Darren Cooper

By Darren Cooper in College Basketball

Published:


Jan 25, 2025; Lawrence, Kansas, USA; Houston Cougars forward J'Wan Roberts (13) shoots over Kansas Jayhawks center Hunter Dickinson (1) in overtime at Allen Fieldhouse. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-Imagn Images
  • Kansas visits No. 4 Houston looking for revenge in a Big 12 battle on Monday at the Fertitta Center
  • The Cougars are 9.5-point favorites after beating the Jayhawks in double overtime earlier this season
  • Get my Kansas vs Houston predictions, plus player props and best available odds on March 3rd

If it’s anything like the first game, we’re in for a treat when the Kansas Jayhawks (19-10, 13-16 ATS) visit the No. 4 Houston Cougars (25-4, 16-13 ATS) on Monday night in a Big 12 clash at the Fertitta Center at 8:00 pm CT/9:00 pm ET. Houston has won eight in a row and already clinched the Big 12 regular-season title. The Cougars are among the favorites to in the March Madness odds. Below, find my Kansas vs Houston prediction, preview and best odds.

Kansas vs Houston Odds

Bet TypeKansas JayhawksHouston Cougars
Spread-9.5 (-110)+9.5 (-110)
Moneyline+375-500
TotalO 132.5 (-110)U 132.5 (-110)

Interesting how things change. A month ago, Kansas was one-point favorites over the Cougars at home, now Houston is almost 10 point favorites in the rematch.

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Kansas is just 2-5 in their last seven games against the spread. Houston has lost two of its last three against the spread, both times when they were double digit favorites. The margin of victory in Houston’s eight-game win streak is 9.3 points.

The total is locked in at 132.5 everywhere. Kansas is a woeful 9-20 on the total this season. Houston is 14-15. I smell a defensive game tonight.

I see the best moneyline value on Kansas is at Caesars at +430. You can get Houston -500 at BetMGM. That’s about as good as it gets.

Kansas vs Houston Player Props to Target

Hunter Dickinson Over 14.5 at FanDuel (-115)

The 7-1 center has become the Jayhawks primary offensive weapon. He comes into Monday night averaging 16.9 a game, which automatically makes me like the over. He’s also been over 14.5 in each of his last three games. Will Houston try to lock him up? Of course. I think they’ll have some success, but not enough to get him under 14.5.

LJ Cryer Under 15.5 at FanDuel (-100)

Cryer is among the best players in the country. He’s been over this total in three of his last four games, but he also can step back and be a facilitator for the Cougars. His numbers for the first game are skewed because of the double OT. I think Cryer is going to be more of a pass-first player tonight.

Jayhawks Season Took a Turn After Earlier Loss to Cougars

It’s pretty clear where the season pivoted for both teams. In the first game at Allen Fieldhouse, Kansas led 79-76 with 7.5 seconds left and just had to inbound the ball. Instead, they threw it away. Mylik Wilson sank a three for Houston to force double OT and the Cougars closed things out.

Since that game, Kansas is only 5-5. Houston is 8-1.

Kansas is pretty much locked into the sixth seed in the Big 12 tournament next week in Kansas City. Houston is the top cat.

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Kansas vs Houston Predictions

  • Houston -9.5 at FanDuel
  • Over 132.5 at FanDuel

It’s obvious Kansas just hasn’t been the same since the loss to Houston. They’re also coming off a 78-73 loss to Texas Tech when they were outscored 45-12 from three-point range. Kansas is a good team. They’re still in the NCAA Tournament, but they don’t have the inside-out balance that makes a team elite.

Houston does. The Cougars have great guard play from Cryer and Emanuel Sharp. The lead the Big 12 in three-point shooting and rebounding and give up just 59.7 points a game. I originally was feeling the over, but the spread makes it hard to believe, like can Houston beat Kansas 70-60? Because that’s what you would need to hit the parlay. I think this more looks like an 75-65 type of game for the Cougars.

Darren Cooper

Darren has been covering the world of sports since 1998. His grandfather had a special 'system' to bet on the ponies, but the secrets of that system have been lost to time. He loves betting the under, thinks homefield advantage is worth more than 3 points nowadays and always stays within his means.

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