Keith Thurman vs Mario Barrios Odds, Pick, and Prediction

By Dylan Bowker in Boxing
Published:

- Keith Thurman vs Mario Barrios goes Saturday, February 5th at 9 PM EST
- Thurman is almost a two to one favorite in this weekend’s welterweight war
- Check out the Keith Thurman vs Mario Barrios odds, analysis, and predictions, below
Keith Thurman vs Mario Barrios transpires at Michelob Ultra Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, and broadcasts on FOX Sports pay per view. Keith Thurman is the favorite priced at -182 in the Thurman vs Barrios boxing odds.
Let’s analyze the Keith Thurman vs Mario Barrios odds via Barstool Sportsbook as we provide our best bet for the bout.
Keith Thurman vs Mario Barrios Odds
Fighter | Odds |
---|---|
Keith Thurman | -182 |
Mario Barrios | +150 |
Odds as of February 2nd at Barstool Sportsbook
This fight has been dubbed a semi-final elimination match by the WBC. So the winner of this bout will punch their ticket to a WBC title eliminator fight.
Barstool Sportsbook isn’t available in New York currently, so bettors in the Empire State can look to Caesars Sportsbook NY or BetMGM New York for odds on this fight.
- BETMGM SPORTSBOOK
USE CODE SBD1500 & GET $1,500 BACK IN BONUS BETS
- BET365 SPORTSBOOK
BET $5 & GET $150 IN BONUS BETS WITH CODE DIME365
- FANATICS SPORTSBOOK
BET & GET UP TO $1,000 IN BONUS BETS!
- DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK
BET $5 & GET $200 IN BONUS BETS INSTANTLY!
- FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK
BET $5 & GET $250 IF YOUR BET WINS
- CAESARS SPORTSBOOK
USE CODE SBD2DYW & BET $1 TO DOUBLE THE WINNINGS ON YOUR FIRST 10 BETS!
Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (CO, IL, KS, KY, MD, MI, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, WY); (800) 327-5050 or gamblinghelplinema.org (MA); (877) 8-HOPENY (NY); 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ); (888) 789-7777 (CT); 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA); 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN); mdgamblinghelp.org (MD); morethanagame.nc.gov (NC); 1800gambler.net (WV)
Keith Thurman’s Boxing Odds & Betting Outlook vs Barrios
Thurman returns to competition for the first time since a July 2019 defeat to multi-division world champion Manny Pacquiao.
The former WBA and WBC welterweight world champion looks to rebound from that spit decision defeat and reintegrate himself into the top tier of the weight category.

One Time sees himself being in close proximity to a title opportunity, and Thurman thinks a win here can vault him into a championship bout thereafter.
Thurman vs Barrios Recent Fights
Manny Pacquiao, loss via SD | Fight 1 | Gervonta Davis, loss via TKO |
Josesito Lopez, win via MD | Fight 2 | Ryan Karl, win via KO |
Danny Garcia, win via SD | Fight 3 | Batyr Akhmedov, win via UD |
Shawn Porter, win via UD | Fight 4 | Juan Jose Velasco, win via KO |
Thurman looks to regain his place as one of the world’s elite welterweights by taking on a debutant in the weight class.
Mario Barrios’s Boxing Odds & Betting Outlook vs Thurman
Barrios is also looking for a return to the win column, but his defeat was more emphatic in many regards.
The former WBA world super-lightweight champion aims to return to form following that stoppage loss to Davis in June. Mario Barrios aims to get off to a good start to begin his 2022 campaign in a brand new weight category.

Several respected pundits and industry players within Boxing see value in Barrios as a good underdog pick here. The 147 pounders both come into this fight as warriors that have cemented themselves as defending world champions.
Also curiously, Barrios who has historically competed in the lower weight categories actually has a two-inch reach advantage.
Still though, Thurman’s high-level resume and razor-sharp fight IQ over full championship bouts cannot be overlooked.
Thurman vs Barrios Tale of the Tape
29-1 | Record | 26-1 |
22 | Knockouts | 17 |
5’9.5 | Height | 5’10 |
69″ | Reach | 71″ |
Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
Keith Thurman vs Mario Barrios Pick & Prediction
This prizefight is scheduled for twelve rounds, and the prop bet on this fight going the distance is positioned at -155.
Both pugilists are more favored to win via points than to finish the fight (Thurman via decision is +160 to Thurman via KO or TKO at +210. Conversely, Barrios via decision is +350 while Barrios via KO or TKO is +400). All these odds/props can be found at DraftKings Sportsbook.
So I think the prop bet on this fight going the distance (-155) does present good value. The same can be said for going with the prop bet on Thurman winning via decision at +160.
Pick: Keith Thurman (-182)
- BETMGM SPORTSBOOK
USE CODE SBD1500 & GET $1,500 BACK IN BONUS BETS
- BET365 SPORTSBOOK
BET $5 & GET $150 IN BONUS BETS WITH CODE DIME365
- FANATICS SPORTSBOOK
BET & GET UP TO $1,000 IN BONUS BETS!
- DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK
BET $5 & GET $200 IN BONUS BETS INSTANTLY!
- FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK
BET $5 & GET $250 IF YOUR BET WINS
- CAESARS SPORTSBOOK
USE CODE SBD2DYW & BET $1 TO DOUBLE THE WINNINGS ON YOUR FIRST 10 BETS!
Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (CO, IL, KS, KY, MD, MI, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, WY); (800) 327-5050 or gamblinghelplinema.org (MA); (877) 8-HOPENY (NY); 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ); (888) 789-7777 (CT); 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA); 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN); mdgamblinghelp.org (MD); morethanagame.nc.gov (NC); 1800gambler.net (WV)

Sports Writer
A part-time writer and full-time broadcaster, Dylan has hosted MMA talk shows Lights Out and Pure Fight Radio with featured guests like Jens Pulver, Roy Nelson, Miesha Tate, and covered some of the biggest MMA promotions like Rumble in the Cage, Unified MMA, and King of the Cage.