Jake Paul vs Nate Diaz Odds, Predictions & How to Watch

By Dylan Bowker in Boxing
Updated: August 3, 2023 at 3:05 pm EDTPublished:

- Jake Paul vs Nate Diaz goes Saturday, August 5th at 8 PM EST
- Paul is a favorite in this weekend’s crossover clash
- Check out the Paul vs Diaz odds, analysis, and predictions, below
Jake Paul vs Nate Diaz goes down at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas, and broadcasts on DAZN pay-per-view. The former is favored over the latter in the Paul vs Diaz betting odds, priced at -390.
Let’s analyze the Jake Paul vs Nate Diaz odds as we provide our best bet for this bout.
Jake Paul vs Nate Diaz Odds
Fighter | Odds |
---|---|
Jake Paul | -390 |
Nate Diaz | +280 |
Paul is a favorite in the boxing odds at -390, meaning the boxer has a 79.6% implied win probability.
This cruiserweight contest matches up two of the more polarizing pugilists out there today.
Odds as of August 1st at DraftKings Sportsbook. Claim a DraftKings promo code to bet on Paul vs Diaz.
Jake Paul’s Betting Outlook vs Diaz
Paul aims to rebound from the first defeat in his combat sports endeavors.
‘The Problem Child’ is aiming to do what Conor McGregor couldn’t do and that’s knock out Nathan Diaz.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wJ5-bJbI1LU
Following that aforementioned loss, the YouTuber/ former Disney star continues his boxing efforts with a familiar matchup style with an undersized MMA fighter.
Paul steps into the ring for his ninth bout overall across amateur and pro seemingly more motivated than ever.
Jake Paul vs Nate Diaz Recent Fights
Tommy Fury, loss via SD | Fight 1 | Tony Ferguson, win via submission (MMA) |
Anderson Silva, win via UD | Fight 2 | Leon Edwards, loss via UD (MMA) |
Tyron Woodley, win via KO | Fight 3 | Jorge Masvidal, loss via doctor’s stoppage (MMA) |
Tyron Woodley, win via SD | Fight 4 | Anthony Pettis, win via UD (MMA) |
The boxing disruptor is also navigating an MMA debut under the PFL banner and it seems to be an intriguing time for Paul. The times are intriguing for Diaz as well, albeit for different reasons, as he is now navigating free agency following a 15-plus year UFC tenure.
Nate Diaz’s Betting Outlook vs Paul
Diaz readies to make his pro boxing debut here after a lengthy tenure with the Ultimate Fighting Championship.
The former UFC lightweight title challenger and TUF season 5 champion is known for training with decorated light heavyweight champion Andre Ward during his prime years and the Stockton native was praised for his abilities by the hall of famer.

Both have the same reach but the physiques are very different. Diaz normally fights at 170 or 155 lbs while Paul more normatively fights at 185 or 190 pounds.
The youth advantage is also in the favor of Paul who has far less mileage than Diaz. Although that can also be interpreted as an experience deficit by some.
Jake Paul vs Nate Diaz Tale of the Tape
6-1 | Record | 0-0 |
4 | Knockouts | 0 |
6’1 | Height | 6’0 |
76″ | Reach | 76″ |
Orthodox | Stance | Southpaw |
Paul vs Diaz Prediction
This prizefight is scheduled for ten rounds, and some gamesmanship led to things being charged here. After some attempted posturing from Paul, Diaz bit on changing this eight-rounder to ten frames and this will officially be the longest bout of Paul’s career.
Diaz’s infamous cardio in a longer bout is an intriguing prospect to any long-time combat sports fan, and I think plays a difference here. Nate Diaz has notched some significant upsets before, and I foresee him doing the same, especially showing out in the later rounds this Saturday night.
Pick: Nate Diaz (+280)
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Sports Writer
A part-time writer and full-time broadcaster, Dylan has hosted MMA talk shows Lights Out and Pure Fight Radio with featured guests like Jens Pulver, Roy Nelson, Miesha Tate, and covered some of the biggest MMA promotions like Rumble in the Cage, Unified MMA, and King of the Cage.