Karim Guerfi vs Lee McGregor Odds and Pick
By Dylan Bowker in Boxing
Published:
- Karim Guerfi vs Lee McGregor goes Friday, March 19th, 2021 at 3 PM EST
- Who will emerge with the EBU European bantamweight title?
- Check out the fight odds, analysis, and predictions below
Karim Guerfi and Lee McGregor will throw down at Bolton Whites Hotel in Bolton, England. Guerfi vs McGregor takes place in the UK, but you can catch the broadcast via ESPN+.
The EBU European bantamweight championship is on the line in this prizefight.
Karim Guerfi vs Lee McGregor Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Lee McGregor | -850 |
| Karim Guerfi | +550 |
Odds as of Mar. 16
There have been multiple date restructurings for this one, and this Friday fight night marks the fourth scheduled date for these two.
Lee McGregor’s Quest for European Gold
While Lee McGregor is in the contender role for this European belt, he enters this contest as the British and Commonwealth champion.
For him to capture the triple crown of European boxing hardware, in ten fights no less, would put McGregor in some elite company. Possibly for some big international fights later in 2021.
McGregor’s last outing saw him score a fifth-round TKO victory over Ryan Walker in their August bout.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h_l9LAkOIes
The only time Lee McGregor has really been in a competitive outing whereby some thought he lost was his narrow split decision win over Kash Farooq.
This is a quality fight here because it gives the hotshot prospect McGregor a chance to level up in terms of quality of opposition.
Also, Guerfi is a great litmus test who has proven himself as a spoiler in the past by halting some rising stars in their tracks.
Karim Guerfi’s Aim to Defend the Throne
Karim Guerfi enters this bout as the reigning as well as defending EBU European bantamweight champion.
He is a three-time European champion and is a savvy veteran who has picked up a lot of nuances in his game over the years.
Guerfi’s last bout saw him put away Georges Ory in the ninth round of their November 2019 championship bout.
McGregor enters this contest with a seventy-eight percent knockout rate, while Guerfi’s overall KO percentile is situated at 38 percent.
Guerfi has the experience edge here in terms of professional bouts, with over thirty prior contests heading into this McGregor bout.
Guerfi has gotten the jump on some young warriors who had their progression rushed a touch too soon. But McGregor seemingly relishes in those moments.
I mean this is a guy who fought for his first professional title in only his fourth pro bout.
Guerfi vs McGregor Tale of the Tape
| 29-4 | Record | 9-0 |
| 9 | Knockouts | 7 |
| 5’7.5 | Height | 5’7.5 |
| 64″ | Reach | Not Available |
| Ryan Farrag, Stephane Jamoye, Georges Ory | Significant Wins | Goodluck Mrema, Ryan Walker, Ukashir Farooq |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
Some parity in this showdown is even reflected in the over/under odds on total rounds this contest will go. There are even odds at -115 for the possibilities of this fight going over or under the eight and a half-round mark.
These 118 pounders match up quite well so it creates a complex landscape for finding good value on prop bets.
In summation, I can see this bout going the distance, and I see Lee McGregor emerging victorious.
He holds onto his spotless pro record and emerges as the new European champion when Guerfi vs McGregor goes down.
Pick: Lee McGregor (-850)
Sports Writer
A part-time writer and full-time broadcaster, Dylan has hosted MMA talk shows Lights Out and Pure Fight Radio with featured guests like Jens Pulver, Roy Nelson, Miesha Tate, and covered some of the biggest MMA promotions like Rumble in the Cage, Unified MMA, and King of the Cage.
