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Gervonta Davis vs Lamont Roach Predictions, Odds & How to Watch

Brady Trettenero

By Brady Trettenero in Boxing

Updated: March 1, 2025 at 7:09 pm EST

Published:


Gervonta Davis fights
Aug 26, 2017; Las Vegas, NV, USA; Gervonta Davis fights against Francisco Fonseca during a boxing match at T-Mobile Arena. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
  • Gervonta “Tank” Davis defends his WBA lightweight title against Lamont Roach Jr. on Saturday night
  • The latest boxing odds heavily favor the undefeated KO artist Davis
  • Read on for our Davis vs Roach prediction and tale of the tape

Boxing superstar Gervonta “Tank” Davis returns to action this Saturday, March 1st, as he puts his WBA lightweight title on the line against challenger Lamont Roach Jr. at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York.

This explosive matchup headlines a stacked card that will be broadcast live on Amazon Prime Pay-Per-View, with the main event expected to begin at around 11 p.m. ET. The current Davis vs Roach odds position Tank as a massive favorite to extend his unbeaten streak.

We’ve analyzed the fight, made our Davis vs Roach prediction, and will tell you how to tune in and catch all the action.

Davis vs Roach Odds

Fighter Odds
Gervonta Davis -1600
Lamont Roach +900

The Davis vs Roach odds at DraftKings have “Tank” as a heavy -1600 moneyline favorite, giving him an implied win probability of 94.1%. Roach comes in as a sizeable +900 underdog.

 

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Odds as of March 1, 2025, at DraftKings Sportsbook. Get the DraftKings promo code to bet on Davis vs Roach.

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Davis vs Roach Props

Beyond the moneyline odds, several props markets offer value for bettors looking to maximize their action on Saturday’s lightweight title clash.

PropOddsDescription
Davis to Win in Rounds 7–9+220 to +230Bet on Davis securing a stoppage victory specifically in rounds 7, 8, or 9
Davis to Win in Rounds 1–6+180 to +200Bet on an early Davis finish within the first six rounds
Davis to Win in Rounds 10–12+400 to +450Bet on Davis getting a late stoppage in championship rounds
Exact Round Stoppage (Davis)Varies by roundPredict the specific round Davis will win by KO/TKO (e.g., Round 7: +550)
Over/Under 8.5 RoundsOver: +104 / Under: -132Bet on whether the fight exceeds or falls short of 8.5 rounds
Fight Ends Before Round 7+150Bet on any result that ends the fight before round 7 begins
Fight to Go the DistanceYes: +333 to +340 / No: -500Bet on whether the fight will require judges’ scorecards

The mid-to-late rounds (7–9) offer the best value for a Davis stoppage, with odds around +220 to +230. That lines up with Tank’s usual approach—starting methodically before turning up the pressure as his opponents wear down.

The Under 8.5 rounds line (-132) also holds strong value, given Davis’ incredible 93% KO rate and Roach’s known struggles against body punchers. If you’re looking at exact-round KO bets, Rounds 7–8 stand out, matching Davis’ recent finishes—Round 8 against Frank Martin and Round 7 against Ryan Garcia.

As for the “Fight to Go the Distance – No” bet (-500), the heavy price tag shows that oddsmakers are pretty much convinced Davis’ power will eventually overwhelm Roach’s defense.

Davis vs Roach props from a variety of top-rated boxing sites.

Fight Details + How to Watch

DetailInformation
DateMarch 1, 2025
LocationBarclays Center, Brooklyn, New York
Start time8 p.m. ET (main card) / 11 p.m. ET (main event)
How to watchAmazon Prime Pay-Per-View
Price$79.95

Boxing fans can purchase the pay-per-view through Amazon Prime for $79.95 to watch this stacked card headlined by Davis vs Roach.

Davis Boxing Analysis & Prediction

Baltimore’s own Gervonta “Tank” Davis (30-0, 29 KOs) has established himself as one of boxing’s biggest stars with his highlight-reel knockouts and growing pay-per-view appeal. The 30-year-old southpaw’s blend of blinding hand speed, explosive power, and technical skills make him a dangerous opponent for anyone in the lightweight division.

After dominating Frank Martin in his previous outing, Davis appears primed to notch another impressive victory against mandatory challenger Roach. Tank has shown the ability to systematically break down opponents, withstanding their best shots before finding the opening to land his fight-ending power punches.

YouTube video

To take down a tough opponent like Roach, Davis will have to lean on his sharp boxing skills, counterpunching, and explosive athleticism. Roach’s slick movement and technical precision won’t make it easy, but Davis’s patience and ring IQ will be crucial in breaking through his defense as the fight goes on.

Roach Boxing Analysis

WBA super featherweight champion Lamont Roach (25-1-1, 10 KOs) steps up in weight to challenge Davis for lightweight gold. The 29-year-old from Washington, D.C., has won six straight since his only career loss to Jamel Herring in 2019.

Roach’s slick boxing skills, lateral movement, and counterpunching ability have carried him to a world title. Though lacking knockout power, his technical skills and ring generalship could potentially give Davis some early trouble.

However, Roach has struggled at times against aggressive pressure fighters, as evidenced in his bout with Hector Luis Garcia. He’ll need to maintain constant movement and avoid engaging in firefights to have a shot at dethroning the hard-hitting Davis.

YouTube video

While a crafty, experienced boxer, Roach has never faced an opponent with the speed, power, and skill of Tank Davis. To pull off the monumental upset, he’ll need to execute a near-flawless game plan while hoping Davis has an off night.

Davis vs Roach Tale of the Tape

Davis
VS
Roach
30-0 Record 25-1-1
29 Knockouts 10
5’5″ (166 cm) Height 5’8″ (173 cm)
67.5″ (172 cm) Reach 70″ (178 cm)
Southpaw Stance Orthodox

Gervonta Davis vs Lamont Roach Predictions

Roach is a solid challenger with the skill to give Davis some trouble early on, but it’s tough to see him lasting all 12 rounds against Tank’s sheer power. Davis’s athleticism, explosive combos, and fight-ending punch power make him the clear favorite over the WBA super featherweight champ.

Expect Davis to break Roach down bit by bit, landing his lightning-fast straight left and punishing body shots. As the fight drags into the later rounds, Roach will start to fade—giving Davis the perfect opening to trap him against the ropes and unleash a finishing flurry.

  • Davis vs Roach Pick: Davis to win by KO/TKO/DQ (-400 at DK)

Brady Trettenero
Brady Trettenero

Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor

Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.

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