2024 Kentucky Derby Odds Tracker

• Relive the odds movement for each horse ahead of the 2024 Kentucky Derby
• Despite odds set at 17-1, Mystik Dan was the winner of the 2024 Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs
• Looking for the latest Kentucky Derby odds tracker?

We tracked the Kentucky Derby odds for every fleet-footed thoroughbred as they became available. The main graph on this page has been generated by calculating the average from many of the most trusted horse racing sites.

The 150th running of the Kentucky Derby took place at historic Churchill Downs in Louisville on Saturday, May 4, 2024. With pre-race odds set at 17-1, Mystik Dan would go on to win the 2024 Kentucky Derby.

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2024 Kentucky Derby Odds

Kentucky Derby odds as of May 3rd at TwinSpires.

Notes on the Kentucky Derby odds movement ahead of raceday at Churchill Downs include:

• [May 3] No further scratches to note the day before the race. Odds for Sierra Leone are moving slightly throughout the day, trending back and forth between +300 and +450, while favorite Fierceness is holding steady at +250.
• [Apr 30] Word has come out this morning that Encino has been scratched from the Kentucky Derby, with no reason for the scratch immediately available. Drawn from the also-eligible list to replace Encino is Epic Ride (+7000).
• [Apr 29] The post positions have been set for the twenty horses entered into the 2024 Kentucky Derby. Pre-race favorite Fierceness (+250) is on the outside in post 17, while second-favorite Sierra Leone drew post 2. Historically, the post position that has produced the most Kentucky Derby wins is #5; that spot belongs to Catalytic (+3000).
• [Apr 26] Following the last of the 2024 derby prep races, Fierceness, Catching Freedom, and Forever Young are the early Kentucky Derby favorites.

Fierceness

With odds sitting at 3-1 just over a week before the Kentucky Derby, Fierceness has the pedigree to justify his placement at the front of the field. The three-year old colt boasts three wins in five races, including the Curlin Florida Derby at the end of March, the same race won by last year’s pre-race favorite Forte (albeit before Forte’s scratch the day of the derby).

The jockey and trainer of Fierceness, John R. Velazquez & Todd A. Pletcher, have already won one derby together, in 2017 on another pre-race favorite, Always Dreaming. The pair have a combined five prior wins at the derby since 2010, and that level of experience combined with Fierceness’ recent performances justifies their status as an early favorite.

Catching Freedom

With a pedigree similar to that of Fierceness, Catching Freedom is another three-year old who’s been winning since 2023. Currently sitting at 6-1, the bay-colored colt has already won twice in 2024, at the Smart Jones Stakes and the Twinspires.com Louisiana Derby. In fact, Catching Freedom has already won at Churchill Downs, at the 2023 Maiden Special Weight last October.

Forever Young

Coming in at 8-1 is Forever Young, the three-year bay-colored colt from Japan. To date, no Japanese-bred horse has ever won the Kentucky Derby, but that could all change that in 2024. Forever Young has won all five races he’s started, including last month’s UAE Derby in Dubai, and his career earning have already topped $2,000,000.

Sierra Leone

With three wins in four races, Sierra Leone could make some noise at the Kentucky Derby. The dark bay colt has won at the Aqueduct Maiden Special Weight, Risen Star Stakes, and Toyota Blue Grass Stakes, while also placing second at the Remsen Stakes. Currently listed at 8-1, Sierra Leone could be a good pick to continue his winning streak in 2024.