Diamondbacks vs Phillies Game 7 Odds – Philadelphia Opens as -162 Favorite
By Sascha Paruk in MLB Baseball
Published:
- Arizona forced a Game 7 in the NLCS with a 5-1 win in Philadelphia on Monday evening
- The Phillies will host the Diamondbacks in Game 7 on Tuesday, Oct. 24
- See the opening DBacks vs Phillies odds for Game 7, below
An outstanding start from Merrill Kelly plus some timely early hits sent the Arizona Diamondbacks to a 5-1 win on Monday, ending Philadelphia’s 11-game home win streak against NL opponents in the playoffs and forcing a decisive Game 7 in the 2023 NLCS in the process.
Oddsmakers give Philadelphia the slight edge heading into the series finale, setting the Phils as -162 home favorites.
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks | +136 | +1.5 (-152) | O 8.5 (-104) |
| Philadelphia Phillies | -162 | -1.5 (+126) | U 8.5 (-118) |
Arizona has opened as a +136 underdog to win a second straight game at Citizens Bank Park. The home team had won the first four games in the series but after Philadelphia took Game 5 in Arizona, the DBacks made it two straight for the road team in Game 6.
Odds as of Oct. 23 at FanDuel.
The game total for Game 7 has opened at 8.5 with early money going on the under, which is already a -118 favorite.
Arizona had faded to a +445 longshot (on average) in the NL Pennant odds after falling behind 3-2. Now just a +136 underdog to win the National League, Arizona also saw its World Series odds improve from +1300 to +450 after their decisive Game 6 victory.
The Diamondbacks strike first thanks to Tommy Pham! 🐍
(via @MLB)pic.twitter.com/BnJ70zFEvO
— FOX Sports: MLB (@MLBONFOX) October 23, 2023
ARI vs PHI Probable Pitchers for Game 7
The pitching matchup in Game 7 is likely to be a repeat of Game 3: Brandon Pfaadt for the DBacks against Ranger Suarez for the Phillies. Neither was particularly effective in the regular season (see stats table, below) but both have been integral in getting their teams to this stage of the proceedings.
Brandon Pfaadt vs Ranger Suarez
| 3-9 | Record | 4-6 |
| 5.72 | ERA | 4.18 |
| 4.61 | xERA | 4.39 |
| 1.41 | WHIP | 1.42 |
| 22.3% | SO% | 22.0% |
Suarez and Pfaadt were both exceptional in Game 3, which ended in a 2-1 DBacks victory. Suarez struck out seven over 5.1 shutout innings while scattering just three hits and a walk.
Pfaadt was even better, striking out a career-high nine over 5.2 shutout innings, allowing just two hits and no walks.
Monitor the MLB lineups page for confirmation on the Game 7 starters tomorrow.
Expected ARI vs PHI Game 7 Line Movement
With the shine coming off Philly’s home-field advantage, expect this line to move towards the Diamondbacks in the next 24 hours. There is very little to choose between the starting pitchers – Suarez has more playoff experience, but the rookie Pfaadt has a much higher upside.
While the Phillies have a more dangerous lineup, top to bottom, the Diamondbacks own a decided advantage when it comes to the bullpens. With Arizona sitting at significant plus-money to win Game 7, expect sharp money to come in on the DBacks early and the gap to narrow in the MLB odds before first pitch.
Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.
