Sportsbooks List Antonio Brown & Tyreek Hill as Co-Favorites to Lead NFL in Receiving TDs

• Antonio Brown, Tyreek Hill favorites to win TD receiving title
• Can Eric Ebron spoil the party?
• Evaluating the best bet as the NFL regular season winds down

It’s the home stretch, and we’re talking majors – as in, who’s going to finish with the most receiving TDs this season.

Perhaps it’s no surprise that sportsbooks’ co-favorites Antonio Brown and Tyreek Hill lead the NFL in receiving scores, and operate on two of the best offenses in the league.

But as you’ll soon find out, there are other worthy contenders to this – as well as a sleeper hiding in plain sight.

Let’s get to it.

Odds to Lead the NFL in TD Receptions in 2018

Brown’s Remaining Slate Favorable to Hill’s

Coming home, four of the final five Steelers opponents rank in the bottom-10 of TD passes allowed.

The Raiders and the Bengals are tied for second worst, surrendering 25 strikes already, while the Patriots (9th – 22) and Saints (T-10th – 21) aren’t exactly shutting down the passing game.

Big Ben and Antonio Brown just combined for their 70th touchdown.

📺: CBS #PITvsJAX https://t.co/8MguI9TCpd

— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) November 18, 2018

Hill still has two matchups with those lowly Raiders, but the Ravens (T-2nd fewest), Seahawks (T-4th) and Chargers (T-3rd) all have formidable pass defenses and will be more of a challenge.

The @Cheetah is left WIDE OPEN and @PatrickMahomes5 launches it for the 73-yard TD! #ChiefsKingdom

📺: #KCvsLAR on ESPN https://t.co/CAVnnNwa3K

— NFL (@NFL) November 20, 2018

Rosters also matter: Hill is one cog in the mighty Chiefs machine. Running back Kareem Hunt and tight end Travis Kelce have seven receiving scores this season between them, showing the Chiefs’ offense is more equal opportunity.

Antonio Brown (804) joined Torry Holt (805) and Marvin Harrison (845) as the only players in NFL history with at least 800 receptions in a player's first nine seasons. pic.twitter.com/udFmpGLKgL

— Pittsburgh Steelers (@steelers) November 27, 2018

Brown is just two off his career high of 13 TDs in a season, and no one else on the roster has more than four.

What About Eric Ebron’s Chances?

The injury to fellow tight end Jack Doyle has opened the door to Ebron, who has finally seemed to match his prodigious talents that made him a Lions first-round pick.

https://twitter.com/sportingnews/status/1066845975438716928

He’s just a reception and target behind team leader TY Hilton, and has become a steady go-to guy for Andrew Luck.

Ebron’s 11 TDs match his entire previous four-year output, but his chances are entirely linked to the man-on-fire routine that Luck has put on over the last eight games.

While this streak doesn’t seem sustainable, should the QB stay hot, Ebron is as good a bet as any to win that crown.

Top NFL Wide Receiver Statistics 2018-19

Don’t Forget About Davante Adams

In terms of value, it seems amazing Davante Adams is getting +600 odds when he trails the leaders by one TD.

Perhaps even more amazing is that Adams is the Packers’ red zone threat (and not Jimmy Graham), tied for the league lead in targets with 23. He’s converted those chances into 11 catches and nine TDs.

https://twitter.com/_SteveFrederick/status/1066870817286483968

With Aaron Rodgers tossing, and the Packers desperate to run the table for a playoff berth, Adams is going to have ample opportunity to light it up.

Ebron has 10 catches on 18 targets for nine majors in the red zone. Brown (5rec, 3TD) and Hill (9 rec, 5TD) are further down the list, but to be fair, they do much of their damage with bigger plays.

Best Bet to Lead NFL in Receiving TDs

I think this is a race between Brown and Ebron, but the volume of work that Brown gets should give him more opportunities to take it.

If you’re going for value, Adams is the guy. While the other players on the list are enticing picks at +1600, it may be too far a gap to make up in the final five weeks to earn you that big payout.