Updated UFC Kansas City Odds & Final Predictions for Saturday’s Main Card

• UFC Kansas City: Ian Machado Garry vs Carlos Prates gets underway this Saturday, April 26
• Garry now a -170 favorite over surging Brazilian finisher Prates (+142)
• See updated UFC Kansas City odds and final predictions for Saturday’s main card

UFC Kansas City: Ian Machado Garry vs Carlos Prates blasts off this Saturday, April 26 from the T-Mobile Center in Missouri. The main card is headlined by a pivotal welterweight clash between Irish star Ian Machado Garry and surging Brazilian finisher Carlos Prates.

The co-main event features Anthony Smith taking on rising Chinese prospect Zhang Mingyang at light heavyweight. Other intriguing fights include action featherweights Giga Chikadze vs David Onama and the always entertaining Michel Pereira taking on Abus Magomedov.

Let’s breakdown the latest UFC Kansas City odds, including how the lines have shifted and analyze some of the best bets for Saturday’s stacked main card.

Updated UFC Kansas City Odds – Main Card

The odds have shifted in favor of Ian Machado Garry, moving from -125 to -170 over Carlos Prates. Anthony Smith has seen his underdog odds improve from +375 to +285 against heavy favorite Zhang Mingyang. Meanwhile, Michel Pereira and David Onama have both seen their odds steepen slightly as favorites.

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Odds as of April 26, 2025, at DraftKings Sportsbook. Claim the DraftKings promo code to bet on UFC Kansas City tonight.

Final UFC KC Predictions

Now that we’ve checked out how the odds have changed and where the smart money might be heading, here’s my final UFC Kansas City predictions for the main card.

Best Bet: Carlos Prates +5.5 (-165)

Carlos Prates has become a slightly bigger underdog since opening at +105, now sitting at +142. However, the best value in this fight is taking Prates +5.5 at -165 on the point spread. In a tight fight like this between two great welterweights, getting almost 6 points with a powerful finisher like Prates is definitely a smart bet.

Prates has looked sensational in his UFC run, scoring brutal knockouts of Neil Magny, Li Jingliang, and Charles Radtke with laser-like precision.

Garry has slowed his pace in recent decision wins, and any slip in aggression could prove costly against the predatory striking of the Brazilian. Look for Prates to close the distance and do damage, capitalizing on his killer instinct to secure, at worst, a close decision.

Best Bet: Under 1.5 Rounds (-188) Zhang Mingyang vs Anthony Smith

Zhang Mingyang is a monstrous -550 favorite over Anthony Smith, who comes back at +375 in this light heavyweight co-main event. Those wide odds have actually narrowed a bit, with Zhang now -360 and Smith +285.

But rather than lay the heavy juice on Zhang’s moneyline, the under 1.5 rounds at -188 is the sharper play. The undefeated Chinese prospect has stopped all 11 of his last opponents in the first round. Meanwhile, the 36-year-old Smith is coming off back-to-back losses and has been knocked out in 2 of his last 5 fights.

Zhang’s ferocious pace and finishing ability spell serious trouble for “Lionheart” at this stage of his career. Expect the explosive Zhang to swarm early and find the fight-ending shot within the first 7-8 minutes.

Value Play: Michel Pereira (-135) Beats Abus Magomedov

Michel Pereira’s line has shifted slightly from -125 to -135, but there’s still value on the flashy Brazilian against Abus Magomedov. Despite coming off a brutal TKO loss to Anthony Hernandez, Pereira’s athleticism, creativity, and explosive striking give him the edge here.

Magomedov is the lesser proven commodity, having lost to higher-level opposition in Sean Strickland and Joaquin Buckley. With a low striking output (2.65 per minute) and questionable cardio, Magomedov could struggle to match Pereira’s frenetic pace and unpredictability.

Look for the fight to start slow but for Pereira to turn up the heat as it progresses, staying just active and wild enough to sway the judges. The -125 for the fight to start Round 3 is an appealing prop as well if you expect Pereira’s gas tank to hold up better in a three-round affair.

Other UFC Kansas City Predictions & Bets:

• David Onama (-205) outlasts Giga Chikadze; go with over 2.5 rounds (-175)
• Randy Brown (-298) outpoints Nicolas Dalby; over 2.5 rounds (-345) the play

Enjoy the fights and best of luck with your UFC Kansas City wagers! Head over to DraftKings to lock in these latest odds and props for Saturday’s event.

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