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Cavaliers vs Heat Predictions, Player Props & Odds (Game 3)

Eric Rosales

By Eric Rosales in NBA Basketball

Published:


Donovan Mitchell hands up celebration
Apr 23, 2025; Cleveland, Ohio, USA; Cleveland Cavaliers guard Donovan Mitchell (45) reacts in the fourth quarter of game two of the first round of the 2025 NBA Playoffs against the Miami Heat at Rocket Arena. Mandatory Credit: David Richard-Imagn Images
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers are 5.5-point road favorites in Game 3 of their Round 1 NBA Playoff series vs the Miami Heat
  • Miami has lost four straight games to the Cavaliers
  • See my Cavaliers vs Heat Game 3 predictions, player props, and odds on April 25

The Miami Heat try to fight their way back into their Round 1 series when they take on the Cleveland Cavaliers in Game 3 Saturday. The books don’t exactly like their chances against the East’s top team, pegging them as 5.5-point home underdogs in the NBA odds. Game 3 tips off at 1pm ET from the Kaseya Center in Miami, with TNT carrying the broadcast.

Cavaliers vs Heat Odds

Bet TypeCavaliersHeat
Spread-5.5 (-110)+5.5 (-110)
Moneyline-220+184
TotalO 213 (-112)U 213 (-108)

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A few injuries to take note of in Game 3. For Cleveland, guard Darius Garland is listed as questionable as he deals with a toe strain.

Miami which enters the playoffs with the third-best NBA Championship odds at +600, doesn’t have anyone on its injured list.

As for Miami, Terry Rozier (ankle) has been ruled out, while Kevin Love (personal) remains out. He’s yet to play in this series.

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Picks

  • Heat vs Cavaliers pick: Cavaliers -5.5 (-110)

The highest scoring team in the regular season, the Cleveland Cavaliers, are keeping up the offensive pace in the post season, leading the league at 121 points through their two games.

The Cavaliers have been especially lethal from 3-point range, hitting at a crisp 45.5%. It was their main weapon of choice in Game 2’s 121-112 win, as Cleveland went 22-for-45 from downtown, a 49.9% clip.

YouTube video

The backcourt of Darius Garland and Donovan Mitchell was especially lethal, drilling 11-for-18 between the two of them. Mitchell has averaged 30 a game through the first two games of this series.

After scoring just 100 points in their Game 1 loss, Miami found better offensive flow and shot 51.9% from the field in Game 2. They lead the NBA in shooting through their two games, at 50.3%.

Cavaliers vs Heat Series Stats

HeatStatisticCavaliers
106.0 (8th)Scoring 121.0 (1st)
121.0 (15th)Points Allowed106 (8th)
50.3% (1st)FG%49.4% (3rd)
38.2% (7th)3PT%45.5% (1st)
14.0 (10th)Turnovers8.5 (2nd)

However, they’re getting beat around the margins. Cleveland converted their 14 turnovers into 19 points, while the Heat mustered just six fast break points to the Cavaliers’ 17.

Tyler Herro has averaged 27 points through two games, shooting 50% from the field and 40% from 3-point range, but both Andrew Wiggins and Bam Adebayo are each shooting under 42% for the series.

They’re hoping a change of venue can shake things up, but Miami is just 19-22 at home on the year, one of two East teams with a losing home record.

YouTube video

They also happen to be going up against a Cleveland side that went 30-11 away from home, one of only two teams that have touched the 30-win clip on the road.

The good news is Miami is 9-6-0 against the spread as a home underdog. I just don’t think they have the firepower on offense or the answers on defense to keep up with the Cavaliers.

Cavaliers vs Heat Player Props

PlayerPointsReboundsAssistsThrees Made
Donovan Mitchell CLE)25.5 (O -115 | U -115)4.5 (O -140 | U +110)4.5 (O -154 | U +120)3.5 (O +120 | U -154)
Tyler Herro (MIA)25.5 (O -120 | U -110)5.5 (O +110 | U -140)4.5 (O -125 | U -105)2.5 (O -175 | U +135)
Andrew Wiggins (MIA)16.5 (O -105 | U -125)4.5 (O -160 | U +124)2.5 (O -166 | U +130)1.5 (O -145 | U +114)
Bam Adebayo (MIA)19.5 (O -115 | U -115)11.5 (O +110 | U -140)3.5 (O -154 | U +120)0.5 (O -220 | U +170 )
Darius Garland (CLE)18.5 (O -115 | U -115)2.5 (O -166 | U +130)5.5 (O -145 | U +114)2.5 (O -105 | U -125)
Evan Mobley (CLE)16.5 (O -130 | U +100)9.5 (O -120 | U -110)2.5 (O -135 | U +105)1.5 (O +145 | U -188)
Jarrett Allen (CLE)11.5 (O -110 | U -120)10.5 (O +110 | U -140)OFFOFF
De’Andre Hunter (CLE)10.5 (O -105 | U -125)3.5 (O -115 | U -115)OFF1.5 (O -115 | U -115)
Davion Mitchell (MIA)11.5 (O -120 | U -110)2.5 (O -160 | U +124)6.5 (O +105 | U -135)1.5 (O +135 | U -175)
Ty Jerome (CLE)11.5 (O -115 | U -115)2.5 (O -154 | U +120)2.5 (O -154 | U +120)1.5 (O -115 | U -115)
Max Strus (CLE)7.5 (O -130 | U +100)3.5 (O -125 | U -105)2.5 (O -125 | U -105)1.5 (O -195 | U +150)
Kel’el Ware (MIA)6.5 (O -110 | U -120)6.5 (O -130 | U +100)OFFOFF

NBA props from DraftKings Sportsbook on April 20. Download the top NBA betting apps before the NBA playoffs.

Cavaliers vs Heat prop bet: Davion Mitchell Over 11.5 points (-120)

The books aren’t showing much love to Davion Mitchell, as they’ve given him just an 11.5 scoring line for Saturday — even though he’s been clearly Miami’s second-best player in the series behind Herro.

Mitchell has gone for 18 points in back-to-back games in this series, and is shooting at incredible 7.14% from the field, while also averaging 7.5 assists.

Donovan Mitchell has been getting all the headlines for his play (deserving too), but Davion, who also wears no. 45, continues to fly under the radar.

As their best perimeter defender and most confident offensive role player, Mitchell should be able to top that figure — he’s scored at least 12 points in eight of his last 11 games.

Eric Rosales
Eric Rosales

Sports Writer & Editor

Having worked in and around sports since 1997, Eric is truly a knowledgeable expert. The two-time journalism grad specializes in all things NBA and NFL. From TSN.ca to CTV's Olympic Broadcast Consortium, Eric's work has appeared in local and national publications alike.

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