2024-25 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds Tracker: Jayden Daniels Runs Away from Pack

• Look back at the odds to win the NFL’s 2024-25 Offensive Rookie of the Year award
• Commanders QB Jayden Daniels won the OROY award for the 2024-25 NFL season
• Looking for current NFL OROY odds?

I tracked 2024-25 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds from the time they opened, all through the 2024-2025 NFL season, and right up until the award was handed out. Sports betting apps opened NFL OROY odds for the 2024-25 season nearly a week before the NFL Draft.

While Caleb Williams, the highly-touted first-overall pick, opened as a pretty heavy favorite to win the 2024-25 Offensive Rookie of the Year award, his reign as the favorite did not last long once rookies took the field. Williams struggled in his rookie season, as did the entire Bears organization, opening the door for Jayden Daniels to completely run away with the award. You can see how the 2024 NFL OROY odds changed throughout the season below, along with notes on why big movements occurred.

Top 2024-25 NFL OROY Contenders

Top 5 Top 10 All 21 & Up

The NFL Draft odds were correct in predicting the Chicago Bears would take Caleb Williams with the first-overall pick, putting him in an offense surrounded by the talents of DJ Moore, Keenan Allen, D’Andre Swift, as well as the ninth-overall pick Rome Odunze. The new Bears quarterback opened as the favorite to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year for the 2024-25 NFL season, and his odds only got better after Chicago added another receiver to his arsenal. But then came time to take the field and prove it, which the Bears offense never did.

Williams was no longer the favorite to win the award pretty early in the season, as Jayden Daniels took over after a great game in Week 3 and remained the favorite from then on.

This rookie crop featured a great class of wide receivers, namely Marvin Harrison Jr, Malik Nabers, and Rome Odunze, who were the first three receivers off the board in the NFL Draft, and all had short odds to win the award prior to the draft. However, Xavier Worthy saw the biggest odds improvement based on which team drafted him, as he got to team up with Patrick Mahomes on the Chiefs.

None of that mattered, though, as Jayden Daniels became the heavy favorite. No sportsbook even opened odds following Week 17’s conclusion, and FanDuel was the only sportsbook to offer odds after Week 18, listing Daniels at -20000.

Jayden Daniels closed as the heavy favorite to win NFL OROY for the 2024-25 NFL season. Daniels was given -20000 odds to take home the award, and his probability to win it based on those odds was 99.5%.

Rounding out the top five OROY contenders the last time odds were available were: Brock Bowers (+2500), Bo Nix (+10000), Bucky Irving (+30000), and Malik Nabers (+30000).

Here are some more notes on odds movement for the 2024 OROY award:

• [January 6] FanDuel was the only sportsbook to reopen NFL OROY odds after Week 18, and they favored Jayden Daniels at -20000 odds.
• [December 31] Sportsbooks did not reopen NFL OROY odds following Week 17, which included another great performance from Jayden Daniels. It’s likely betting apps just believe Daniels has wrapped up the award.
• [December 23] Jayden Daniels’ impressive come-from-behind win over the Eagles in Week 16 has all-but locked up the NFL OROY for the Commanders QB. Daniels’ odds improved from -750 to -10000 after Week 16. Bo Nix, who was pressing Daniels for a couple weeks, saw his odds fade from +1200 to +10000 after an awful second-half collapse against the Chargers in Week 16.
• [December 17] Bo Nix’s struggles in Week 14 and 15, which included a combined five interceptions and just 130 passing yards against a bad Colts defense, Jayden Daniels took a commanding lead in the OROY odds again. Daniels’ odds improved from -274 to -1295 after Week 15.
• [November 26] Another strong performance from Bo Nix in Week 12 continued to tighten the gap between him and Jayden Daniels in NFL OROY odds. Nix’s odds improved from +388 to +150, while Daniels’ odds faded from -525 to -135 after his Commanders lost to the Cowboys at home in Week 12.
• [November 18] Jayden Daniels’ loss to the Eagles on TNF of Week 11, along with Bo Nix’s monster performance against the Falcons, has resulted in Daniels’ OROY odds going from -1200 to -400. He is still a heavy favorite, but not as favored as he was heading into the week. Nix’s odds, on the other hand, improved from +3000 to +300 after throwing for 307 yards and four touchdowns.
• [October 29] Daniels did not miss any games with his rib injury, and used a miraculous Hail Mary to take down Caleb Williams’ Bears in Week 8. The result in the OROY odds was Daniels moving from -115 to -400, while Williams faded from +108 to +1000.
• [October 22] In spite of being listed as week-to-week, and likely to miss at least one game, following Week 7, Jayden Daniels remained the NFL OROY favorite after suffering a rib injury against the Panthers. Daniels did see his odds worsen a little, though, as Caleb Williams shortens the gap between the two.
• [October 8] Caleb Williams’ NFL OROY odds have begun to bounce back after the first-overall pick seems to be putting it together. Williams’ odds improved from +662 to +300, the second-best odds following Week 5. Jayden Daniels’ odds continued to improve as well, though.
• [October 1] Jayden Daniels became the first odds-on favorite to win NFL OROY this season, following another great game from the QB in Week 4. Daniels’ OROY odds improved from +155 to -120.
• [September 23] Marvin Harrison Jr did not last as the OROY favorite for long, as Jayden Daniels took over after Week 3. Daniels was lethal with his arm and legs in a big win over the Bengals. His odds improved from +300 to +150. Bo Nix also saw significant odds movement after leading the Broncos to a win over the Bucs in Week 3. Nix went from +3500 to +1500, becoming a top five contender at this time.
• [September 16] For the first time this season, Caleb Williams is not the favorite to win NFL OROY. It only took two games in Chicago for Williams to fall from the top, allowing Cardinals wide receiver Marvin Harrison Jr to take over as the new favorite. Though Harrison exploded in Week 2 with 130 receiving yardd and two touchdowns, the change in OROY favorite is more about Williams’ struggles. The Bears signal-caller followed up an ugly 93-yard performance in Week 1 with 174 passing yards and two interceptions in Week 2.
• [September 10] Nearly every top rookie on the offensive side of the ball struggled in Week 1. Caleb Williams completed less than 50% of his passes and only managed 93 yards. Marvin Harrison Jr only had one catch for four yards. Bo Nix only tallied 138 yards on 42 pass attempts and threw two bad interceptions. Malik Nabers was held back by yet another awful game from Daniel Jones, but I wouldn’t say he struggled. This wasn’t the case for Jayden Daniels and Xavier Worthy, though. Daniels wasn’t exceptional, but did complete nearly 71% of his passes for 184 yards and added another 88 yards on the ground. Worthy racked up 68 yards from scrimmage and two touchdowns. Daniels’ OROY odds improved slightly after his performance, while Worthy went from +2050 to +1200.
• [August 29] Drake Maye’s NFL OROY odds fell from +1350 to +1700 after Jacoby Brissett was named the Week 1 starter for the Patriots.
• [August 27] After Bo Nix was named the Broncos starting quarterback for Week 1, his NFL OROY odds improved from +1400 to +1050.
• [August 14] The Vikings have announced that QB JJ McCarthy will miss the entire 2024 NFL season after surgery to repair his meniscus. McCarthy’s NFL OROY odds had faded as long as +4000 prior to the announcement, but he will now be out of the running for the award.
• [July 24] With Sam Darnold being all the talk out of Vikings camp, we are seeing JJ McCarthy’s NFL OROY odds plummet from as short as +900 after the draft to +1700 in late July. The move has seen McCarthy tumble from the third-best odds to the sixth-best, falling behind Malik Nabers and Bo Nix.
• [June 1] Money coming in on Jayden Daniels has resulted in his odds improving from an average of +775 to +617. The improvement, along with a slight dip in Marvin Harrison Jr’s odds, now has Daniels possessing the second-best odds to win the award.
• [April 26] The player selected on Day 2 of the NFL Draft who benefited most from their landing spot was Keon Coleman, who was selected by the Bills with the 33rd-overall pick (first pick of the second round). Coleman’s OROY odds improved from +5000 to as short as +2500, as he potentially becomes Josh Allen’s go-to wide receiver in Buffalo. Running backs were flying off the board on the second day of the draft as well, and Jonathon Brooks is the back who saw his odds improve the most. Brooks was the first RB selected and is expected to be the lead back in Carolina right away. His odds went from +5000 to +3400 after he was drafted. Blake Corum, on the other hand, saw his odds go from +5000 to +8000 after being selected by the Rams, where he will likely backup Kyren Williams to at least start the year.
• [April 25] The first round of the NFL Draft brought plenty of big OROY odds movement. Starting with quarterbacks, we saw JJ McCarthy drafted tenth-overall by the Vikings, resulting in his odds improving from as long as +1600 to as short as +800. Bo Nix, who was drafted 12th-overall by the Broncos, saw his OROY odds improve from +3500 to +1600, as he expects to walk in and start in Denver. Michael Penix Jr, on the other hand, is now an afterthought in NFL OROY odds, as he went from +1800 to +6000 since he’ll be backing up Kirk Cousins in Atlanta. Malik Nabers, who had the third-best odds prior to the draft, saw his odds fade from as short as +700 to as long as +1400 when he was selected by the Giants. Rome Odunze’s NFL OROY odds suffered a similar fate when he was drafted by the Bears, who now have an awful lot of mouths to feed. Odunze’s odds were as short as +1000 before the draft but are now as long as +2500. The receiver who benefitted the most from the team who drafted him is Xavier Worthy. The new Chiefs wide receiver was as long as +4000 to win OROY before the draft, but is now as short as +1600.
• [April 19] Sportsbooks, namely DraftKings, has opened the odds to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year for the 2024-25 NFL season, despite not knowing where any of these incoming rookies will be playing yet. Caleb Williams has opened as a pretty heavy favorite with +275 odds. Marvin Harrison Jr opened with the second-best odds at +550.

Top 2024 OROY Contenders at Each Position

QBs RBs WRs TEs

Caleb Williams (QB), Marvin Harrison Jr (WR), Brock Bowers (TE), and Jaylen Wright / Trey Benson (RB) opened as the favorites at their respective positions.

Top 2024 OROY Contenders by Draft Round

Round 1 Round 2