Warriors vs Rockets Odds & Series Schedule – Golden State a Heavy Favorite Over Houston
By Sascha Paruk in NBA Basketball
Published:
- The #7 Golden State Warriors will face the #2 Houston Rockets in the first round of the NBA playoffs
- Despite being the worse seed, the Dubs are heavy favorites to advance past Houston
- See the opening Warriors vs Rockets odds, series price, and game spread
The Golden State Warriors (48-34, 24-17 home, 24-17 away) finally got over the Play-In Tournament hump on Tuesday with a 121-116 win over Memphis, earning them the #7 seed in the West and setting up a best-of-seven clash with the #2 Houston Rockets (52-30, 29-12, 23-17) in the first round of the 2025 NBA playoffs.
With Steph Curry and Jimmy Butler – two of the most-proven postseason performers in NBA history – leading the charge, the Dubs have opened as big favorites in the Warriors vs Rockets series odds.
Warriors vs Rockets Series Odds
Golden State is a -250 favorite to advance to the second round, where they would face either the #3 Lakers and #6 Timberwolves. The Warriors are also -135 favorites to win the series by multiple games, while Houston is +110 to at least force a Game 7.
Ironically, the Warriors’ NBA Championship odds didn’t really budge after beating the Grizzlies in the 7-vs-8 Play-In Game on Tuesday night, still sitting at +1600. The Rockets are +8000 longshots to win their first NBA title since their back-to-back championships in 1994 and 1995.
Golden State vs Houston Regular-Season Results
Golden State won three of five matchups with Houston in the regular season and covered the spread in four of five. Ironically, two of those three wins came early in the season when Steph Curry was injured and Jimmy Butler was still on the Miami Heat.
The teams split their pair of meetings (Feb. 13 and Apr. 6) in which Curry and Butler both played for the Warriors.
Four of five regular-season meetings also stayed under the total. Only the first game of the season between Houston and Golden State (a 127-121 OT victory for the Warriors) went over the total. Though it had already blown past the total of 215.5 before heading to the the extra frame tied at 119-119.
GSW vs HOU Advanced Stats
While the Rockets wound up as the #2 seed in the West, the difference between Houston and Golden State, both in terms of traditional metrics and advanced stats, is slim. Houston wound up with four more victories and a +4.5 point differential compared to +3.3 for Golden State. Their point differential mirrors their respective Net Ratings (+4.5 vs +3.2).
Warriors vs Rockets Playoff Schedule
The NBA has only released the first two days of the round-one schedule (i.e. the Game 1 date for all eight series). Warriors vs Rockets will commence on Sunday, April 20, but the dates for the remaining six games in the series are still TBD.
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Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.
