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Justin Rose’s Odds Plummet at Masters: Bet or Fade Round 1 Champ?

Brady Trettenero

By Brady Trettenero in Golf

Updated: April 12, 2025 at 3:13 pm EDT

Published:


Apr 11, 2025; Augusta, Georgia, USA; Justin Rose prepares to putt on the 18th green during the second round of the Masters Tournament at Augusta National Golf Club. Mandatory Credit: Michael Madrid-Imagn Images
  • Rose leads the Masters at 8-under par, one shot clear of DeChambeau
  • However, Rose is now +850 to win, ranking third in odds behind Scheffler and DeChambeau
  • Read below for updated Justin Rose odds to win Masters, and my betting advice

Justin Rose finds himself in a familiar position atop the Masters leaderboard after 36 holes, but oddsmakers aren’t convinced the 44-year-old Englishman can finally slip on the elusive green jacket.

Despite carding rounds of 65-71 to take a one-shot lead over Bryson DeChambeau into the weekend, Rose is now a significant +850 underdog to win the 2025 Masters at DraftKings Sportsbook. That leaves him well behind defending champion Scottie Scheffler (+220) and DeChambeau (+330), and even puts him behind Rory McIlroy (+400), who trails Rose by five shots.

Let’s dive deeper into Justin Rose’s betting odds, and determine if he’s worth a bet or fade.

Latest 2025 Masters Odds

PlayerOdds
Scottie Scheffler+220
Bryson DeChambeau+330
Rory McIlroy+400
Justin Rose+850
Corey Conners+1800

Master Odds as of Apr. 11, 2025 at DraftKings Sportsbook.

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Rose’s Masters History Working Against Him

Rose’s odds are somewhat surprising considering his performance over the first two days, which included a tournament-best 7-under 65 on Thursday. However, a closer look at his history as a first-round leader at the Masters explains oddsmakers’ skepticism.

This is now the fifth time Rose has held at least a share of the 18-hole lead at Augusta National, the most of any player all-time. Yet in his previous four occasions, he’s never managed to convert that early advantage into a victory.

Year1st Round ScoreFinish
2004-5T-22
2007-3T-5
2008-4T-36
2021-77th

Rose’s propensity to start fast at Augusta but fail to finish the job is likely a major reason why sportsbooks are hesitant to buy into his chances, even with the lead.

Scheffler, DeChambeau Present More Appealing Betting Options

While Rose’s Masters demons are working against him in the betting market, Scheffler and DeChambeau’s strong track records at Augusta are having the opposite effect.

Scheffler, the defending champion, has been a dominant force at the Masters since 2022. In his last 12 rounds at Augusta, the 26-year-old boasts a scoring average of 69.58 and has two wins and a T-3 finish. At +220, he offers enticing odds to become the first player since Tiger Woods (2001-02) to win the Masters in consecutive years.

DeChambeau, meanwhile, captured the green jacket in 2020 and has proven his game is a perfect fit for Augusta’s long, demanding layout. The big-hitting American has feasted on the par-5s this week, playing them in 7-under through two rounds. That, coupled with his T-3 and T-4 finishes the last two years, makes DeChambeau’s +330 price an attractive play.

Even McIlroy at +400 is garnering more betting interest than Rose. The Northern Irishman has struggled with consistency this week but has a history of going low on Masters weekends. With the career Grand Slam still in his sights, McIlroy can’t be counted out.

Masters Betting Pick: Fade Rose, Take Scheffler at +220

With 36 holes to play, the smart money is on fading Justin Rose and backing Scottie Scheffler at +220. While Rose’s early lead is impressive, his inability to close out Masters tournaments when starting fast is impossible to ignore. Couple that with the incredible form and consistency Scheffler has shown at Augusta, and the defending champ is clearly the superior betting option.

Bettors seeking a bigger potential payout should also consider DeChambeau at +330. The 2020 Masters winner’s length off the tee is a massive advantage that could prove the difference over the final two rounds. However, Scheffler’s all-around excellence and steely demeanor under pressure gives him the edge. Trust the oddsmakers on this one and back Scheffler to make it two green jackets in a row.

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Brady Trettenero
Brady Trettenero

Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor

Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.

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