Updated UConn vs South Carolina Odds & Score Prediction for Women’s National Championship Game
By Sascha Paruk in College Basketball
Published:
- The UConn Huskies and South Carolina Gamecocks will meet in the 2025 national championship game on Sunday, April 6
- South Carolina is the defending champion but the Huskies are the betting favorites
- See the opening UConn vs South Carolina odds including spread, moneyline, and game total
After a pair of lopsided wins in the Final Four, the #2 UConn Huskies (36-3) and #1 South Carolina Gamecocks (35-3) will meet in the 2025 national championship game on April 6 as the Women’s 2025 NCAA Tournament comes to a close. Tip-off is set for 3:00 pm ET at Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida. The Huskies have opened as 5.5-point favorites to win their first national title since 2016, which would be their record-extending 12th championship.
UConn vs South Carolina Odds
On the moneyline, UConn opened as -238 favorite and has already been bet up to -258. The Gamecocks were a +195 underdog and are now stating dow+210 odds, giving them just a 32.26% implied win probability. The over/under opened at 131.5 and has been bet up to 132.5 with -110 odds each way.
UConn ran South Carolina out of the building when the teams met in Columbia on Feb. 16. The Huskies embarrassed the Gamecocks with an 87-58 true-road victory. That was South Carolina’s first loss at home since December 3rd … of 2020, snapping a 71-game streak.
Just like in the men’s March Madness bracket, the women’s bracket was almost entirely chalk in the Final Four. Four of the top-five pre-tournament favorites made the national semifinals. The only one that didn’t was fourth-favorite USC, which lost national player-of-the-year JuJu Watkins in the second round. South Carolina was the outright betting favorite directly after Selection Sunday at +275, followed closely by UConn at +280.
South Carolina reached its second consecutive title game with a 74-57 rout of Texas. The game was close up until halftime (38-35 SC), but the Gamecocks blew the doors off with a 20-9 third quarter.
As they usually have this season, the Gamecocks got contributions from up and down the lineup in the win over the Longhorns. Senior point guard Te-Hina Paopao (9.5 PPG, 2.7 RPG, 2.9 APG) had a team-high with just 14 points, while leading scorer Joyce Edwards (12.7 PPG, 4.8 RPG) added 13 off the bench, and Bree Hall (6.2 PPG, 3.1 RPG) also finished in double-figures with 11.
The comfortable win was a welcome sight for South Carolina fans, who had to sweat out four-point victories over #4 Maryland (71-67) and #2 Duke (54-50) in the Sweet 16 and Elite Eight, respectively. The Terps led with just over three minutes to play in the Sweet 16, while the Blue Devils tied their Elite Eight contest with the Gamecocks at 46-46 before SC took the lead for good in the final five minutes.
South Carolina enters Sunday on a 12-game win streak, winning every game since the blowout loss to UConn.
UConn vs South Carolina Ratings Comparison
UConn, the top team in both of Torvik’s offensive and defensive ratings, has absolutely cruised through the first five rounds of March Madness.
Paige Bueckers and company have won each of their five games by at least 14 points, which extends their overall win streak to 15 games (all by double-digits). In the Final Four, UConn blew out Lauren Betts and the #1 UCLA Bruins 85-51, led by a 22-point, eight-rebound performance from standout freshman Sarah Strong (16.1 PPG, 8.8 RPG, 3.6 APG).
The Huskies came out guns blazing, winning the first quarter 23-13 and extending their lead to twenty by halftime (42-22). Their top-ranked defense had eight steals and forced 12 UCLA turnovers in the first 20 minutes.
UConn vs South Carolina Score Prediction
Based on all the data compiled to date this season, Torvik projects UConn winning but South Carolina covering the current 5.5-point spread. Torvik also projects the game finishing half a point under the total of 132.5.
BETMGM SPORTSBOOKUSE CODE SBD1500 & GET $1,500 BACK IN BONUS BETS
BET365 SPORTSBOOKBET $5 & GET $150 IN BONUS BETS WITH CODE DIME365
FANATICS SPORTSBOOKBET & GET UP TO $1,000 IN BONUS BETS!
DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOKBET $5 & GET $200 IN BONUS BETS INSTANTLY!
FANDUEL SPORTSBOOKBET $5 & GET $250 IF YOUR BET WINS
CAESARS SPORTSBOOKUSE CODE SBD2DYW & BET $1 TO DOUBLE THE WINNINGS ON YOUR FIRST 10 BETS!
Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (CO, IL, KS, KY, MD, MI, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, WY); (800) 327-5050 or gamblinghelplinema.org (MA); (877) 8-HOPENY (NY); 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ); (888) 789-7777 (CT); 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA); 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN); mdgamblinghelp.org (MD); morethanagame.nc.gov (NC); 1800gambler.net (WV)
Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.
