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Aaron Judge Already the Odds-on Favorite in AL MVP Odds

Darren Cooper

By Darren Cooper in MLB Baseball

Published:


Mar 30, 2025; Bronx, New York, USA; New York Yankees right fielder Aaron Judge (99) watches his two run home run against the Milwaukee Brewers during the first inning at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-Imagn Images
  • Aaron Judge is the early favorite to win his third American League MVP award this year at the end of the season
  • Through five games, the big Yankees slugger leads the AL in RBI, runs and homers while batting .400
  • See the latest AL Most Valuable Player odds from plus a breakdown of the favorites and potential surprises as the MLB season gets underway

The AL Most Valuable Player award is Aaron Judge’s to lose, right?

Judge is off to another hot start for the Yankees and his AL MVP odds have started to drop already. Is now the time to back the Judge? Or back off? Judge is a six-time All-Star, two-time MVP and plays in the biggest media market in the country. Those are all checks in his favor.

I think it’s time to look at Judge’s odds to be 2025 AL MVP and what other contenders could rise up and steal Judge’s throne.

AL MVP Odds

PlayerAL MVP Odds
Aaron Judge-115
Bobby Witt Jr. +450
Gunnar Henderson+1300
Corey Seager+1800
Yordan Alvarez+2000
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.+2000
Mike Trout+2000
Julio Rodriguez+2200
Jose Ramirez+2500
Adley Rutschman+3000
Jarren Duran+4500
Wyatt Langford+5000
Jordan Westburg+5000
Riley Greene+5000
Cody Bellinger+6000
Brent Rooker+6000
Lawrence Butler+6000
Junior Caminero+7000
Jose Altuve+8000
Cal Raleigh+8000
Alex Bregman+8000
Yandy Diaz+8000
Rafeal Devers+8000
Marcus Semien+8000

Odds entering play Wednesday April 2 from DraftKings. Claim the DraftKings promo code to bet on the 2025 MLB futures.

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AL MVP Race: Is it Judge Against the Field?

I’ve already seen the AL MVP odds drop on Aaron Judge and we’re not even a full week into the season. But the Yankees are always the lead topic in Major League Baseball and New York has started hot – helped by some new/controversial bat technology.

Judge doesn’t need a different bat to be the most feared slugger in the game. He’s belted 157 homers in the last three years and 350 RBI. The only thing that has stopped Judge has been injuries.

What remains to be seen is if Judge will have enough protection in the Yankees lineup to see enough pitches to hit. For now, Jazz Chisolm Jr. is batting fourth. He’s a singles, speed guy and he’s only batting .208 at the moment. One way that Judge doesn’t win MVP is if no one pitches to him.

Players to Watch in AL MVP Race

Bobby Witt Jr. is at +450 on the odds table and was second in the AL MVP voting last year behind Judge. Witt is only 25, younger than Judge, and led the league with 211 hits last year, but he’s suffers from playing for the (checks notes) Royals. There’s still a big market bias. He would need to have a monster season and the Royals would have to win 100 games for him to have a real shot.

Corey Seager (+1800) is the best value on the board in my opinion. Seager only got one vote last year after missing almost all of September with the Rangers with a sports hernia. Remember, Seager and the Rangers won the World Series two years ago. He’s started 3-19, but the Rangers are good. Seager can do it all.

Mike Trout is still on this list, but by this point, it’s name recognition only. He’s won three MVP awards, but it seems like a lifetime ago. He’s only 33, actually less than a year older than Judge.

AL MVP Longshots to Watch

Remember the name Junior Caminero (+7000), the Rays third baseman. He’s only 21 and he’s batting .389 already this season after playing 43 games last year. He’s dominated every level he’s been at in his career. The Guardians already regret trading him. Caminero has the power and athleticism to be an MVP. Maybe not this year, but in the future.

The last name I think deserves consideration is Alex Bregman (+8000). Bregman spent the last nine years with the Astros, banging his way to stardom. Bregman just turned 31 and is 5-18 in his last four games at the plate. Boston signed him to a three-year $120 million deal. He plays in a big market starving for good baseball and looks re-energized in a new uniform. He’s great value at these odds, because you know if Boston is playing big games in September, people will be paying attention.

Darren Cooper

Darren has been covering sports since 1998 and the sports betting industry since PASPA made it official. His goal is to make the activity fun and exciting with insights and perspective. Enjoy.

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