MLB Season Home Run Leader Odds & Best/Worst Value Bets

• FanDuel has released its odds on who will be Major League Baseball’s Home Run King in 2025.

• Last year, teams averaged 1.22 home runs per game, same as in 2023. Yankees captain/slugger Aaron Judge led MLB last season with 58. Judge belted 62 homers to lead MLB in 2022.

• I’ve got the latest FanDuel odds on the future home run king, plus a look at the best and worst value picks as the regular season takes flight.

The great Home Run race of 2025 has begun. The New York Yankees have unleashed their Torpedo bats on the rest of Major League baseball.

Odds are out on FanDuel for who will wallop the most ‘taters in 2025 (that’s old-school speak for hitting a home run). Reigning king Aaron Judge already has sent four over the wall in 2024 to lead the majors and has the most homers in MLB since 2019 with 236.

Home runs still rule and I’ve got the big numbers from FanDuel, plus an inside look at who has a legitimate shot at being the King in 2025 and who might surprise you.

MLB Season Home Run Leader Odds

Odds courtesy of FanDuel as of April 1. No fools. Get going with our best FanDuel Sportsbook review.

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The Worst Value Bets to Lead MLB in Homers

I have to start with Judge, after all, he’s been the biggest bat in the majors for a while now. Judge enters as the favorite (+130) with good reason. He plays in a hitter-friendly park. He has incredible power and he’s still reasonably young (he turns 33 in a few weeks) and strong.

The worry for Judge is that he has been injury prone in his career. He’s only play three full seasons in his 10 year career. Plus, I’m not sold on his super hot start right now. The Brewers pitching staff was atrocious, plus, Judge won’t have the same protection in the Yankees line-up without Juan Soto around. I like him, but I wouldn’t bet on him to win.

The Best Value Bets to Lead the MLB in Home Runs

I do like Kyle Schwarber at +950. The Phillies slugger has had three great seasons in a row. He led the NL in homers in 2022 at 46, and then hit 47 the next year and 38 the next. Unlike Judge, Schwarber does have protection in the line-up with Bryce Harper. He can win this title.

The other player I really like for the value is Diamondbacks slugger Eugenio Suarez at +3500. He is the other player tied with Judge currently at four homers. He hit 30 last year and he hit 49 for the Reds back in 2019. He’s a true, homer or strikeout player. He’s led the majors in strikeouts three times, but hey, this is what you have to do these days: swing for the fences.

Longshots with a Shot

I couldn’t help myself, when I see this list, I always think of ballparks. We have two new ones this season. Both are sort of crazy situations.

First, there’s Tampa Bay who has to play its home games this season at Steinbrenner Field after the Hurricane Milton destroyed delightful (sarcasm) Tropicana Field. Steinbrenner Field is the Yankees spring training home. The dimensions for Steinbrenner Field are the same as Yankee Stadium (naturally). The Rays don’t have anyone on this list though.

The other new ballpark is in Sacramento where the A’s are going to be for the next few years before (maybe) moving to Las Vegas. The A’s will play at Sutter Health Park. Left field is 330, right field is 325 and center is 403. A’s rising star Tyler Soderstrom (+6500) is just 23. He was a first-round pick in 2020 who had 72 homers in four years in the minors, including 29 when he was 20-years-old. He’d be a fun one to take a flier on here.