Closing Tennessee vs Houston Odds, Score Projections, Betting Trends & Line Movement

• The Tennessee vs Houston odds have moved significantly since they opened on Friday
• The Cougars opened as 5.5-point chalk but that the spread has moved multiple points towards the Vols
• Below, see the closing Tennessee vs Houston odds, line movement, score projections and betting trends

The #2 Tennessee Volunteers (30-7, 20-17 ATS, 16-21 O/U) and #1 Houston Cougars (33-4, 19-17-1 ATS, 15-21-1 O/U) will square off in the Midwest Region Elite Eight game on Sunday night () at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN. In just under 48 hours, the Tennessee vs Houston spread for the Elite Eight have moved a full three points, while the game total has moved four.

Tennessee vs Houston Odds

The closing Tennessee vs Houston odds list the Cougars as 2.5-point betting favorites and -154 on the moneyline. The Volunteers are +128 underdogs to win straight-up. The game total is now sitting at 124.5 with -110 odds each way.

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Houston heads into the Elite Eight as a +700 fourth-favorite in the odds to win March Madness. Tennessee is a +1500 longshot.

Tennessee vs Houston Line Movement

The Tennessee vs Houston betting lines have moved drastically over the last 48-ish hours. The Cougars opened as 4.5-point ATS favorites and -225 on the moneyline. That means their implied win probability has dropped from 69.23% at the outset to just 60.63% roughly two hours from tip-off.

Conversely, the Volunteers, who opened at +185 to advance and are now slight +128 underdogs, have seen their implied win probability jump from 35.09% all the way to 43.86%.

There has also been huge line movement on the total. The Tennessee vs Houston O/U opened at a NCAA Tournament-low 120.5 and has now been bet up four full points to 124.5.

TENN vs HOU Score Projections

The three main college-basketball prediction sites all have Houston winning, but the margin ranges from just two points at KenPom to four points at Torvik and Halsam.

The one area where the sites all agree is that 124.5 is too high of a total. Torvik has the total the lowest at 120 while Haslam has it the highest at 123.5.

Houston vs Tennessee Public Betting Splits

Sunday’s March Madness public betting splits show the public loving the Vols against the spread but the Cougars on the moneyline. Tennessee is currently getting 70% of ATS handle as 2.5-point underdogs, while Houston is getting 55% of ML handle as -154 favorites to advance to the Final Four.

The game-total splits are the most-lopsided. The over is currently getting 84% of all O/U tickets and 80% of all O/U handle.