Michigan State vs Auburn Expert Picks, Odds & Betting Trends for March 30

• The #1 Auburn Tigers are a 4.5-point favorite over the #2 Michigan State Spartans in Sunday’s Elite 8 game
• Both teams survived scares in the Sweet 16 with rallies to make the Elite 8
• See my Michigan State vs Auburn odds and predictions for the South Region Elite 8 contest, below

The #2 Michigan State Spartans (30-6, 24-11-1 ATS) rallied from being down ten in the first half and nine in the second stanza Friday to dethrone the Ole Miss Rebels. They’re in tough as they square off versus the #1 Auburn Tigers (31-5, 19-16-1 ATS), who advanced to the Elite 8 by defeating Michigan by 13 points in the Sweet 16.

Sunday’s college basketball odds have the Tigers as favorites in this tilt. Tip-off is scheduled for 5:05pm ET at the State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia with CBS providing the broadcast coverage in the United States and TSN in Canada.

Michigan State vs Auburn Odds

Auburn are currently favorites by 4.5-points and are -225 on the moneyline, while the total is sitting at 147.5. Per the March Madness public betting trends, the public likes the Tigers to hold serve with 84% of moneyline wagers on them.

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Michigan State vs Auburn Betting Trends

Oddsmakers are expecting this tilt to be relatively close, installing Auburn as a 4.5 point favorite. The -225 odds on the moneyline represents a win probability of 69.23%. Our SBD model believes it’ll be a close battle, with Michigan State vs Auburn shaping up to be a 76.7-74.8 tilt, won by Auburn, according to the formula. That obviously points to the Spartans covering the 4.5 spread, and it being over the listed 147.5 total.

The Tigers are 29-4 as the favorite on the moneyline, while Michigan State is 6-2 as the underdog.

How Is the Public Betting Michigan State vs Auburn?

Michigan State vs Auburn public betting splits as of 1:45 pm ET, March 29

The March Madness public betting splits show Auburn getting a substantial 84% of wagers on the moneyline and 56% of bets to cover the spread.

The public has another strong take on the game total, where 76% of O/U handle is on over 147.5.

Michigan State vs Auburn Prediction

• Michigan State +4.5 (-105)

After two relatively easy games in this tournament, where Michigan State won by 25 and eight points, respectively, their Sweet 16 matchup versus Ole Miss was stressful. They were down in the second half but rallied to defeat Ole Miss behind a team-high 20 points by Jase Richardson. He also grabbed six rebounds, all of which were defensive.

Senior guard Jaden Atkins leads the team with an average of 12.8 points per game, and he’s been consistent in the tournament, scoring 11, 16 and 13 points in the three contests.

Auburn also faced a stiff test in the Sweet 16, as they were down by eight in the second half, before going on an 18-3 tear to take control of the game, where they eventually won by 13.

Senior forward Johni Broome was a man possessed in that contest, putting up game-highs in points (22) and rebounds (16). This after putting up 22 points in the first two games of the tournament, though he did grab 23 boards in those duels. He’s the second favorite in the March Madness MVP odds race, behind only Cooper Flagg.

In the March Madness champion odds, Auburn is the +550 third choice to win it all on DraftKings, while Michigan State are +2500 longshots.

The winner gets a date in the Final Four, and just like the SBD model has this a close two-point affair, I too believe it’ll wind up very close. Michigan State is 6-1-1 as the underdog against the spread this season, while Auburn is just 17-15-1 ATS as the favorite.