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Grizzlies vs Thunder Predictions, Player Props & Odds (March 27)

Eric Rosales

By Eric Rosales in NBA Basketball

Published:


Shai Gilgeous-Alexander dribbling vs defense
Mar 25, 2025; Sacramento, California, USA; Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (2) dribbles the ball against the Sacramento Kings in the third quarter at the Golden 1 Center. Mandatory Credit: Cary Edmondson-Imagn Images
  • The Memphis Grizzlies are hefty 10.5-point underdogs vs the OKC Thunder Thursday night
  • OKC has won eight straight head-to-head matchups
  • See my Grizzlies vs Thunder predictions, player props, and odds on March 27

The NBA-leading OKC Thunder (60-12, 30-5 home) look to make it 15 wins in their last 16 games when they visit the Memphis Grizzlies (44-28, 19-17 away) Thursday. Both teams currently sit in the Western Conference Top six, which brings with it an automatic berth into the playoffs.

Action gets underway from the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City beginning at 8pm ET. The Thunder’s consistently solid play as them the heavy betting favorite in Thursday’s NBA odds.

Grizzlies vs Thunder Odds

Bet TypeMemphis GrizzliesOklahoma City Thunder
Spread+10.5 (-110)-10.5 (-110)
Moneyline+360-460
TotalO 238 (-110)U 238 (-110)

OKC finds themselves as solid 10.5-point home favorites, including a distant -460 on the moneyline. The total checks in at 238 points, with -110 sides on either side.

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Odds as of March 26 at FanDuel. Be sure to check out the best FanDuel promo code before placing a bet on any NBA game on Thursday night.

Perhaps the biggest injury news is Memphis star Ja Morant (hamstring) has already been ruled out against the Thunder. He’ll join Zyon Pullin (knee) and Marvin Bagley III (concussion), while Cason Wallace (knee) and Lamar Stevens (shoulder) are considered questionable. Jaren Jackson Jr (face) is day-to-day, but should be a go against OKC.

The Thunder are a little dinged up as well, with all-star forward Jalen Williams (hip) and guard Cason Wallace (knee) listed as questionable, while Alex Ducas (quad), Ousmane Dieng (calf) and Aaron Wiggins (Achilles) have all been ruled out for Friday.

MEM vs OKC Player Props

PlayerPointsReboundsAssistsThree-Pointers Made
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC)33.5 (O -110 | U -120)4.5 (O -140 | U +110)7.5 (O +100 | U -130)1.5 (O -188 | U +145)
Jaren Jackson Jr (MEM)21.5 (O -125 | U -105)5.5 (O +100 | U -130)OFF1.5 (O -160 | U +124)
Demond Bane (MEM)20.5 (O -120 | U -110)5.5 (O -135 | U +105)5.5 (O -120 | U -110)2.5 (O +100 | U -130)
Chet Holmgren (OKC)17.5 (O -115 | U -115)8.5 (O +105 | U -135)OFF1.5 (O -130 | U +100)
Luguentz Dort (OKC)12.5 (O -110 | U -120)4.5 (O -135 | U +105)OFF2.5 (O -135 | U +105)
Isaiah Hartenstein (OKC)11.5 (O -105 | U -125)9.5 (O -135 | U +105)3.5 (O -125 | U -105)OFF
Scott Pippen Jr (MEM)10.5 (O -125 | U -105)3.5 (O -160 | U +124)5.5 (O -130 | U +100)1.5 (O +120 | U -154)
Jaylen Wells (MEM)7.5 (O -135 | U +105)3.5 (O +114 | U -145)OFF2.5 (O +120 | U -154)

NBA player props from DraftKings on March 26.

We’ll start with the NBA’s leading scorer Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. The 26-year-old leads the league in scoring at 32.8 points per game, and has been tabbed with a game-high 33.5-point scoring total.

Despite putting up 30+ in three of his last four, SGA has failed to clear his line in four straight contests. However, he has scored 34 or more in two of his last three against Memphis this season, missing another by a single bucket.

With Morant out of the lineup, it makes sense that Desmond Bane should work as a primary hub of this offense. His scoring line is a gettable 20.5 points, and he topped that total last game against the Utah Jazz, with 21 points on 8-for-16 shooting.

But Bane has only been able to hit the Over with his scoring prop in just three of his last eight games, and he has hit the 20-point plateau in three of those eight contests.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder Picks

  • Grizzlies vs Thunder pick: Thunder -10.5 (-110)
  • Grizzlies vs Thunder prop bet: Gilgeous-Alexander Under 33.5 points (-120)

The Thunder are the first team in the NBA to hit the 60-win plateau, and they’re well on their way to locking down the top seed in the West.

OKC is seeking a 4-game regular-season sweep of the Grizzlies, and they were given little resistance in the first three wins. The Thunder won each by at least 13 points, and limited Memphis to just 107 points in those contests.

YouTube video

There are very few flaws on a team that’s up there in the 2025 NBA Championship odds: OKC ranks fourth in scoring at 119.8 points per game, while allowing the second-fewest points, to the tune of 106.9 points.

Memphis has struggled a little bit of late, but they did snap a 3-game losing slide with a 140-103 win over the Utah Jazz.

Putting up points hasn’t been a problem for the Grizzlies, as they lead the league in scoring at 122.4 points per game. But keeping them out has been: currently, Memphis is a lowly 24th in points allowed, with teams putting up 116.8 points per contest.

YouTube video

Without Morant, I don’t like how the Grizzlies close out their opponents — the team is 2-3-0 ATS in the last five games without him in the lineup.

On the other end, the Thunder are cruising, ripping off seven straight wins, and covering each of those games as a betting favorite.

OKC is a sparkling 22-12-2 record ATS when playing as the road team, while Memphis is closer to the middle of the pack, posting a 19-17-0 ATS mark as a visiting team.

Look for the Thunder to dominate again in this battle of Western Conference playoff teams.

Eric Rosales
Eric Rosales

Sports Writer & Editor

Having worked in and around sports since 1997, Eric is truly a knowledgeable expert. The two-time journalism grad specializes in all things NBA and NFL. From TSN.ca to CTV's Olympic Broadcast Consortium, Eric's work has appeared in local and national publications alike.

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