NASCAR Pennzoil 400 Predictions, Odds & Top Longshots

• NASCAR Pennzoil 400 takes the green flag this Sunday from Las Vegas Motor Speedway in Las Vegas, Nevada.
• Christopher Bell has come away with three straight wins. Can maybe a longshot or two stop him?
• Below, see our NASCAR Pennzoil 400 predictions, odds, and top longshots.

The NASCAR Cup Series goes north into the Las Vegas area for the fifth points event this Sunday, March 16th, with the NASCAR Pennzoil 400. The green flag drops just before 4:00 pm EDT, with live coverage again on FOX Network.

The 1.5-mile intermediate track races with a few twists. The tri-oval is unique with its 9-degree banking on the front and backstretch. Also, there are those 20-degree banks on the turns. Now, this track carries solid correlation with Kansas and track position becomes important more and more here.

Let us take a look at some NASCAR odds, favorites, and longshots, as we make our Pennzoil 400 predictions.

NASCAR Pennzoil 400 Odds

At +400 odds (4/1), the implied probability for Kyle Larson stands at 20%. William Byron rumbles in at 13.33%, with Tyler Reddick not far behind at 12.5%.

Do not worry about the longshots, check out the back end of this article, where Christopher Bell will be staring from.

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Odds as of Mar. 16 (post-qualifying at DraftKings Sportsbook. Register with the BetMGM promo code to wager on the Pennzoil 400. 

NASCAR Pennzoil 400 Predictions

Once again, the weather will not be an issue on Sunday afternoon. There will be some breezy conditions at times, with temperatures close to 75 degrees. Again, avoiding the windy conditions on Monday was definitely the luck of the Irish. The same cannot be said for every driver in this week’s field. Unfortunately, some bad luck really came some drivers’ way.

Qualifying tossed in several curves and a few bad ones. Ryan Blaney and Christopher Bell start from the rear end of the field. Blaney had a disaster qualifying, including a blown tire. So, what happened to Christopher Bell?

Simply, a mechanical issue caused a repair that meant heading to the back of the field. That will make Bell’s quest for four wins in a row daunting to say the least.

Chevy won again last year as Hendrick Motors found a way to get a fourth straight Spring win. Kyle Larson has won twice, with William Byron and Alex Bowman each winning once. Chase Elliott may not contend here, but Tyler Reddick might. He was last seen getting great odds to finish as the top Toyota. Do not let Denny Hamlin’s luck at casinos fool you; he is unlikely to contend compared to Reddick.

Now, do any of the top Ford cars have a chance? Ford qualified 1-2-3. Guys like Michael McDowell, Joey Logano, and Austin Cindric are not surprises here. However, Kyle Busch ended up fourth and has a chance on Sunday. He does not have a ton of laps lead at Las Vegas, but all it takes is one. Busch knows these cars and knows this sport.

Again, for those wondering if there is a time, this may be it for Busch. Kyle Busch at +1400 via BetMGM is worth a look. Do not forget that the Top 3, Top 5, and specials will be on sites by early in the morning. It’s time to head for the mountains of Busch for the win.

• NASCAR Pennzoil Prediction to Win: Kyle Busch (+1400 at DraftKings)

Top Pennzoil 400 Long Picks

Yes, this week allows us to take some different looks err shots when it comes to the Pennzoil 400. With drivers like Bell and Blaney fighting just to get to the front, that leaves what is left. Can any of the three Ford cars in the top three qualifying spots win on Sunday? The answer is likely no. Instead, our focus may just be on value longshots who have shown potential.

Always spread your bets around. Look for some specials that will often come out on race morning, like we mentioned above. Again, besides the usual favorites, there are always one or two guys that can come out of nowhere. Could it be Ryan Preece? Preece likes this track and does start 12th (+12000 via DraftKings). Chris Buescher (+2800 via DraftKings is again an option. Buescher will be plus money to finish in the Top 10.

Again, keep an eye out for those specials and props.

How about one more crazy bold shot? Erik Jones qualified 5th and is +10000. I can think of worse things to put my money on. Good luck this Sunday, and we will be right there with those engines revved and hoping for some good fortune.