Opening SEC Title Game Odds for Tennessee vs Florida – Gators Favored Over Vols

By Sascha Paruk in Uncategorized
Published:

- The #8 Tennessee Volunteers meet the# 4 Florida Gators in the SEC Tournament final on Sunday
- Tennessee won the only regular-season meeting between the teams at home/ The teams split their two regular-season meetings, each dominating on their home court
- Below, see the opening Tennessee vs Florida odds plus my favorite early picks to target
The Tennessee Volunteers (27-6, 12-6 SEC, 17-15 ATS) will meet the Florida Gators (29-4, 14-4 SEC, 25-8 ATS) in the final of the 2025 SEC Tournament on Sunday afternoon (1pm ET) at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee. Both teams won by 20 or more points at home when they faced the other in the regular season, but oddsmakers give the Gators the advantage in the odds for the SEC Tournament title game.
Tennessee vs Florida Odds
Florida has opened as a 2.5-point favorite against the spread and -155 on the moneyline. The Volunteers come back as +130 underdogs, while the total has opened at 138.5.

Tennessee Takes Down Texas, Auburn
As the #4 seed, Tennessee got the last double-bye to the quarterfinals in the 2025 SEC Tournament. They wound up with a favorable draw in the quarterfinals, facing a tired Texas team playing its third game in as many days. Chaz Lanier (18.1 PPG, 3.8 RPG, 1.0 APG) scored a game-high 23 points to pace the Vols during an 83-72 win. Tennessee finished the game +6 on the glass and +4 in turnovers while shooting a solid 50% from the field.
In the semifinals, the Vols were matchup up with #1-seed Auburn. A huge 20-point, four-rebound, four-assist night from point guard Zakai Zeigler (13.3 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 7.4 APG) spearheaded an impressive 70-65 victory over the Tigers. Tennessee once again owned a big edge on the glass (+8) and in turnover margin (+4).
TENN vs FLA KenPom Ratings
Florida’s Path to the SEC Title Game
The Gators were one of the biggest surprises this season, going from 26th in the opening KenPom rankings all the way to 4th ahead of their semifinal win over Alabama. If Cooper Flagg and Johni Broome weren’t having such phenomenal seasons, Walter Clayton (17.3 PPG, 3.7 RPG, 4.4 APG) would be in the conversation in the Wooden Award odds.
Clayton had a team-high 18 points in Florida’s 95-81 rout of Missouri in the SEC quarterfinals, while Will Richard (14.6 PPG, 4.6 RPG, 2.4 APG) and Alijah Martin (14.6 PPG, 4.6 RPG, 2.4 APG) both added 17 for the high-scoring Gators. Florida easily covered as 8.5-point favorites.
Against Alabama in the semifinals, Clayton again led the way with 22 points, three rebounds, and six assists in a 104-82 Florida victory as 3.5-point favorites.
Tennessee vs Florida Picks & Early Lines to Target
This game is going to be a contrast in styles between the slow-paced, defense-first Volunteers and the run-and-gun Gators. I don’t dislike the makeup of the Volunteers; I could easily see them making a deep run in the NCAA Tournament, and they’re worthy of their status as sixth-favorite in the March Madness odds.
But I can’t get away from Florida here. The Gators might end up being my pick to win the national championship. They’ve won four of their last five games by 14 or more points.
TENN vs FLA pick: Florida moneyline (-)
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Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.