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Iona vs Mount St. Mary’s Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for MAAC Title Game

Darren Cooper

By Darren Cooper in College Basketball

Published:


Iona College basketball's Dejour Reaves during a practice at their Bronxville gym Nov. 22, 2024.
  • Fourth-seeded Iona (17-16) meets sixth-seeded Mount St. Mary (21-12) for the MAAC Tournament title Saturday at 7:30 p.m.
  • Iona is the favorite after beating the Mountainers in overtime in the regular season.
  • I am the MAAC daddy with a preview, prediction and look at best bets for the MAAC Tournament title game between Iona and Mount St. Mary’s.

Cinderella is knocking at the door as Iona (17-16, 20-13 ATS) takes on Mount St. Mary (21-12; 20-11-2) for an NCAA Tournament bid in the MAAC Tournament championship game in Atlantic City.

Mount St. Mary’s is seeking its first trip to the Big Dance since 2021, while Iona made it in 2023.

Check out our full preview and prediction of the MAAC Tournament title game with a look at the best odds.

Iona vs Mount St. Mary Prediction

The Mount is 10-3 since Jan. 31, the best record in the MAAC from that point. Their 21 wins is the most in school history since they moved to Division 1 in 1988.

The Mountaineers have four players averaging in double figures, led by Dola Adebayo (no relation to Bam) at 13.1. Sophomore guard Dallas Hobbs (hometown- Dallas) puts up 12.4.

Iona has won five games in row and has earned 14 conference titles in their history. They are led by senior guard Dejour Reaves. He’s the one who made the game-winner in the regular season meeting. He started his college career at Trinidad State, a school in Colorado, then transferred to Northern Colorado where he was an All-Big Sky pick. He scores 17.2 a game and is a career 35.3 percent shooter from deep.

Iona is 7-2 all-time against Mount, 5-1 since they became conference rivals.

The Gaels are coached by Tobin Anderson, who was at the helm of Fairleigh Dickinson back in 2023 when they beat No. 1 seed Purdue in the NCAA Tournament.

Iona has a statistical advantage, they are fourth in the nation in offensive rebounds and fifth in steals. However, the Mountaineers’ momentum has me predicting they will keep this very close, if not win outright.

Iona vs Mount St. Mary Best Bet

  • Mount St. Mary +4.5 at DraftKings
  • Under 133.5 at DraftKings
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These two teams are eerily similar. They both score 70 points a game, and they both give up 70 points a game. When they played back at the Mount, Iona won by three points on a Dejour Reaves three at the buzzer, 70-67 (yes, 70). It was the Gaels first buzzer beater victory in 27 years.

Both teams tied for fourth in the MAAC along with Manhattan at 12-8 in the conference. Iona took down top seed Quinnipiac in the semis. They never trailed. Mount St. Mary beat Marist.

When a match-up seems so even, take the points where you can get them. I like the under because of the pressure to win to get into the NCAAs. This is the one shot.

Iona vs Mount St. Mary Odds

Bet TypeIoniaMount St. Mary
Spread-4.5 (-105)+4.5 (-115)
Moneyline-192+160
TotalO 132.5 (-115)U 132.5 (-105)

Iona has won five in a row. They started 2-8 and this is their record 21st appearance in a MAAC title game.

Mount is new. They’ve only been in the league for three years. They used to be in the Northeast Conference.

Odds from DraftKings on March 15. Get ready for March Madness with our best DraftKings promo code.

The Gaels are 7-2-1 in their last 10 games against the spread and 6-4 over/under. The Mount is 7-2-1 against the spread, but just 3-7 over/under.

The spread has some differences. It’s 3.5-points at FanDuel, four points at Caesars and 4.5 at DraftKings. The total is 134.5 at FanDuel and 133.5 everywhere else.

I found the best moneyline bet on Mount is +160 at DraftKings, for Iona its -170 at FanDuel.

Darren Cooper

Darren has been covering the world of sports since 1998. His grandfather had a special 'system' to bet on the ponies, but the secrets of that system have been lost to time. He loves betting the under, thinks homefield advantage is worth more than 3 points nowadays and always stays within his means.

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