Pittsburgh vs Notre Dame Picks, Prediction & Player Props for ACC Tournament

• The Pitt Panthers and Notre Dame Fighting Irish meet in the first round of the 2025 ACC Tournament on Tuesday afternoon
• The Irish won the only meeting during the regular season (76-72) but that came on their home court
• Below, see my best Pittsburgh vs Notre Dame picks and predictions, plus the available player props

The Pittsburgh Panthers (17-14, 8-12 ACC, 13-17-1 ATS) and Notre Dame Fighting Irish (14-17, 8-12 ACC, 13-17-1 ATS) meet in the first game of the 2025 ACC Tournament in Charlotte, NC, on Tuesday afternoon, tipping off at 2:00 pm ET from the Spectrum Center. Notre Dame won the only regular-season between the teams (76-72 as three-point home underdogs) on Feb. 22 but the Panthers head into the ACC Tournament as 3.5-point betting favorites in the Pittsburgh vs Notre Dame odds. The total is sitting at just 136.5 in Tuesday’s college basketball odds, despite both Haslametrics and KenPom projecting a score in the mid to low 140s.

Pittsburgh vs Notre Dame Prediction

Pittsburgh has been one of the more disappointing teams in the country over the last two months. The Panthers started the season 12-2 overall (3-0 ACC) including quality wins over West Virginia (86-62 home) and Ohio State (91-90 OT away). They rose as high as #24 in the KenPom ratings. But then the wheels fell off: Pitt is just 5-12 since Jan. 4 with three four-game losing streaks in that span.

Jeff Capel’s team was at least able to get back in the win column last time out, beating the brakes off Boston College, 93-67. Four of five starters scored between 14 and 16 points. Leading scorer Jaland Lowe (16.8 PPG, 4.2 RPG, 5.5 APG) had an impressive double-double with 15 points and 10 dimes.

They went 1-1 in neutral-site games, beating LSU (74-63) and losing a tight game with Wisconsin (81-75) both in White Sulphur Springs, WV.

Notre Dame heads into the ACC Tournament on a rare two-game win streak, earning a pair of razor-tight wins over Stanford (56-54) and Cal (112-110 4OT). But Micah Shrewsberry’s squad has been downright awful outside of South Bend all season. They are 3-9 in true road games and 0-3 in neutral-court games.

Notre Dame’s win over Pitt was a back-and-forth affair until the final five minutes, when the Irish went on a 13-2 run to build a 67-56 lead that was never seriously threatened thereafter. Tae Davis (15.4 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 1.8 APG) had a team-high 21 points while leading scorer Markus Burton (22.2 PPG, 3.5 RPG, 3.1 APG) added 20 points, six rebounds, and three assists. Ishmael Leggett (16.1 PPG, 5.9 RPG, 2.6 APG) had a team-high 21 points for the Panthers in the loss.

For all of Pitt’s struggles, they still rate considerably higher than Notre Dame at all reputable analytics sites. KenPom, Torvik, and Haslametrics all project a three to 4.5-point Panther victory. All three also project a total of 141 or higher. Tournament games tend to be a little lower scoring due to ramped-up defensive intensity, but the total of 136.5 is a big drop compared to the projections.

At the end of the day, I am going to back the better team and the over.

My Pittsburgh vs Notre Dame Picks

• Pittsburgh -3.5 (-110) at BetMGM
• Over 136.5 (-110) at bet365
  

  BETMGM SPORTSBOOK

  Offer

  T&Cs

  Get Up To $1,500 Paid Back in Bonus Bets
  
  

  21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (US); 1-800-327-5050 (MA); 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ); 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA); 1-800-981-0023 (PR), 877-718-5543 or visit morethanagame.nc.gov (NC). See BetMGM.com for T&C. US promotional offers not available in MS, NY, NV, ON, or PR.

  LOCK IN PROMO

  CODE: SBD1500

  CODE: SBD1500

  SIGNUP BONUS

  GET $1,500
  BACK

  BET NOW
  Odds as of 10:54 am ET, March 11. Download the top March Madness betting apps before the 2025 NCAA Tournament.

My two favorite picks for Pitt vs Notre Dame are the Panthers to cover the modest 3.5-point spread and the game to go over the curiously low total of 136.5.

Sascha Paruk’s 2024-25 NCAAM betting record: 39-24 (+11.25 units). All wagers 1 unit unless expressly stated otherwise.

PITT vs ND Player Props

Pitt vs Notre Dame player props from bet365 on March 11. Claim the current bet365 bonus code to bet on college basketball today.

To no one’s surprise, Burton – the third-leading scorer in all of Division I – has the highest point total of the night at 22.5. The 5’11 sophomore has gone over that number in four straight games, including a 43-point outburst in Notre Dame’s four-OT win over Cal.

Lowe and Leggett both have team-high point totals of 15.5 for the Panthers, with Lowe favored to go over (-130) and Leggett at -115 both ways.