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Warriors vs Hornets Odds, Lines, Picks & Player Props on March 3

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in NBA Basketball

Published:


Golden State Warriors guard Stephen Curry dribbles between to Charlotte Hornets defenders
Feb 25, 2025; San Francisco, California, USA; Golden State Warriors guard Stephen Curry (30) is fouled by Charlotte Hornets forward Miles Bridges (0) in the second quarter at the Chase Center. Mandatory Credit: Cary Edmondson-Imagn Images
  • The Golden State Warriors are big road favorites over the Charlotte Hornets on Monday night
  • Golden State has won five of six, while Charlotte is riding an NBA-worst six-game losing streak
  • Below, see my Warriors vs Hornets picks, plus the player props and odds for March 3rd

Since acquiring Jimmy Butler from Miami, the Golden State Warriors (32-28, 15-15 away, 31-28-1 ATS) have rattled off eight wins in ten games (8-1 with Butler in the lineup) to climb back up to seventh in the West standings. Butler is officially listed as “probable” on Monday night, and that’s enough for sportsbooks to list the Dubs as big road favorites over the lowly Charlotte Hornets (14-45, 9-21 home, 30-27-2 ATS). Tip-off is scheduled for 7:10 pm ET at the Spectrum Center in Charlotte.

Warriors vs Hornets Odds & Betting Lines

Bet TypeGolden StateCharlotte
Spread-12.5 (-110)+12.5 (-110)
Moneyline-700+500
TotalO 228.5 (-115)U 228.5 (-105)

The Warriors are listed as 12.5-point road chalk in Monday’s NBA odds and are priced at a hyper-short -700 on the moneyline, though that has come down from -800 earlier in the day. The Hornets come back as +500 longshots (opened at +550) to snap their six-game skid, which amounts to just a 16.67% implied win probability. The game total is sitting at 228.5, which is the second-lowest of the seven games on today’s NBA slate.

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Jimmy Butler (16.4 PPG, 5.8 RPG, 5.6 APG), who missed Golden State’s 126-119 loss at Philadelphia on Saturday with a back issue, is listed as probable for Monday night’s game in Charlotte. But the Warriors will be without Jonathan Kuminga (16.8 PPG, 5.0 RPG, 2.2 APG) again. The 6’7 power forward has been out since early January due to an ankle injury.

No players are listed on the Charlotte injury report.

GSW vs CHA Player Props

PLAYERPOINTSREBOUNDSASSISTS
Steph Curry (GSW)26.5 (O -105 | U -125)4.5 (O -100 | U -130)5.5 (O -120 | U -110)
LaMelo Ball (CHA)23.5 (O -120 | U -110)4.5 (O -130 | U -100)6.5 (O -105 | U -125)
Miles Bridges (CHA)19.5 (O -125 | U -105)7.5 (O +105 | U -135)3.5 (O -145 | U +115)
Jimmy Butler (GSW)17.5 (O -125 | U -105)5.5 (O +105 | U -135)4.5 (O -160 | U +124)
Mark Williams (CHA)15.5 (O -115 | U -115)10.5 (O -140 | U +110)OFF
Moses Moody (GSW)12.5 (O -120 | U -110)3.5 (O +105 | U -135)OFF
Nick Smith Jr (CHA)12.5 (O -115 | U -115)OFF2.5 (O -160 | U +124)
Brandin Podziemski (GSW)12.5 (O -105 | U -122)5.5 (O -130 | U -100)3.5 (O -115 | U -115)
Draymond Green (GSW)10.5 (O -105 | U -125)6.5 (O +110 | U -140)5.5 (O -154 | U +120)

GSW vs CHA player props from DraftKings. See the full list of DraftKings legal states.

Steph Curry (24.1 PPG, 4.5 RPG, 6.2 APG), who’s led Golden State in scoring in nine of the last 11 games, has a game-high point total of 26.5, three higher than any other player on the board. LaMelo Ball (26.1 PPG, 5.1 RPG, 7.0 APG) has the highest total on the Charlotte side at 23.5.

Charlotte center Mark Williams (15.7 PPG, 9.8 RPG, 2.3 APG) has the highest rebound total by a wide margin at 10.5 O/U. The next-highest is teammate Miles Bridges (19.9 PPG, 7.7 RPG, 3.8 APG) at 7.5.

Warriors vs Hornets Picks

This is a big number for the Warriors to cover but it’s not hard to see why it’s been set to high. The Hornets have been an absolute trainwreck since a shocking 100-97 road win at the Lakers on Feb. 19 as 13-point underdogs. Not only have the lost six in a row straight-up, they’re also 1-4 ATS in their last five, losing five of their last six by at least 13 points with an average margin of defeat of 27.5 PPG in that span.

It’s not like Charlotte’s recent schedule has been all that gruelling, either. The Hornets lost by 53 points to Portland, a team that’s seven games under .500. They also fell by 42 at Sacramento two days later, and by 36 at the Warriors the next night. LaMelo Ball didn’t play in that loss in the Bay Area.

YouTube video

Most of the recent damage has taken place on the road, but in their first game back from a nine-game road trip that spanned the All-Star break, the Hornets lost by 13 to Washington, the only team that sits below them in the NBA standings.

Meanwhile, the Warriors are 8-2 in their last ten and five of those victories have come by at least 14 points.

Yet, I still believe there is too much recency bias built into this line. Despite their recent downward trajectory, the Hornets have still been one of the better ATS bets in the league this year. They are basically fully healthy, except for Brandon Miller who was lost for the season back January.

The first game back from a long road trip is always tough. Charlotte should find its footing at the Spectrum Center tonight and at least keep this score respectable.

GSW vs CHA picks:

  • Hornets +12.5 (-110)
  • Steph Curry under 4.5 rebounds (-130)

Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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