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Texas Tech vs Kansas Odds, Picks & Props to Bet (March. 1)

Brady Trettenero

By Brady Trettenero in College Basketball

Published:


Texas Tech Red Raiders guard Chance McMillian reacts with guard Elijah Hawkins
Feb 4, 2025; Lubbock, Texas, USA; Texas Tech Red Raiders guard Chance McMillian (0) reacts with guard Elijah Hawkins (3) in the second half in the game against the Baylor Bears at United Supermarkets Arena. Mandatory Credit: Michael C. Johnson-Imagn Images
  • No. 10 Texas Tech visits unranked Kansas on Saturday in a Big 12 battle at Allen Fieldhouse
  • The Jayhawks are 3.5 to 4-point home favorites and -205 on the moneyline over the Red Raiders
  • See the Texas Tech vs Kansas odds, picks and best prop bets for March 1

The No. 10 Texas Tech Red Raiders (21-7, 12-5 Big 12) head to Lawrence to face the unranked Kansas Jayhawks (19-9, 10-7 Big 12) on Saturday afternoon. The Red Raiders are coming off a tough 69-61 home loss to Houston on Monday. Meanwhile, the Jayhawks won two straight after a disastrous stretch that saw them tumble out of the Top 25.

Kansas has dominated this matchup historically, winning 8 of the last 10 meetings overall and the last 5 at Allen Fieldhouse. But the Red Raiders took the most recent clash, 79-50, and enter this one as the higher-ranked squad. Tip-off is set for 2 p.m. ET on ESPN.

Texas Tech vs Kansas Odds

TEAMSPREADMONEYLINETOTAL
Texas Tech+4.5 (-112)+170O 144.5 (-115)
Kansas-4.5 (-108)-205U 144.5 (-105)

Kansas opened as a 3.5-point home favorite but the line has ticked up to 4 or 4.5 at most NCAAB sportsbooks. The Jayhawks are -205 on the moneyline, with Texas Tech coming back at +170. The total is set at 144.5 points, with the Over juiced to -115.

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Texas Tech vs Kansas Picks

This Big 12 battle pits strength against strength, as KenPom ranks Texas Tech 11th in adjusted offensive efficiency (123.8 points per 100 possessions) and Kansas 5th in adjusted defensive efficiency (91.8 points allowed per 100).

The Jayhawks play at a faster tempo than the Red Raiders but have struggled to score consistently, ranking just 60th in offensive efficiency (115.3). Meanwhile, Texas Tech boasts the more balanced profile, sitting 27th in defensive efficiency (96.7) to complement their electric offense.

The Red Raiders could be shorthanded, however, as starting guards Chance McMillian (15.1 PPG) and Darrion Williams (14.9 PPG) are both questionable with lower-body injuries. They played just six players in the loss to Houston.

I’m backing the UNDER 144.5 points as my best bet. Both defenses rank in the top 30 nationally, so points will be at a premium in this one. Texas Tech plays at a methodical pace, ranking in the bottom half of D-I in adjusted tempo, and they’ll try to slow it down to limit Kansas’ transition game. The Jayhawks aren’t the up-tempo juggernaut of years past either, as they rank just 110th in adjusted tempo themselves.

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Neither team is overly reliant on free throws for their offense, with both ranking outside the top 250 in free throw rate (FTA/FGA). Texas Tech’s injuries could also sap some of their offensive firepower if McMillian and/or Williams sit out or are limited.

I still lean with Kansas to get it done at home, but the sharp play here is on a lower-scoring defensive battle. Take advantage of -105 value on the Under and root for bricks.

Texas Tech vs Kansas Player Props

The status of McMillian and Williams will have a huge impact on minutes and usage for the rest of the Red Raiders. Check back closer to tip-off for updated props based on who’s active.

PLAYERPOINTSREBOUNDS
JT Toppin (TTU)17.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110)9.5 (Ov +100 | Un -120)
Hunter Dickinson (KAN)16.5 (Ov -115 | Un -105)9.5 (Ov -130 | Un +110)
Zeke Mayo (KAN)14.5 (Ov +100 | Un -120)5.5 (Ov +120 | Un -140)
Chance McMillian (TTU)14.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115)4.5 (Ov +110 | Un -130)
Brady Trettenero
Brady Trettenero

Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor

Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.

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