2024-25 NFL Defensive Player of the Year Odds Tracker: Surtain Beats Out Watt

• Look back to the 2024 NFL Defensive Player of the Year odds
• Patrick Surtain II won the NFL DPOY for the 2024-25 NFL season, but he was not favored until the final week of the season
• Looking for current NFL DPOY odds?

In spite of TJ Watt being the 2024 NFL DPOY favorite for most of the 2024-25 NFL season, it was Patrick Surtain II who took home the Defensive Player of the Year award at the NFL Honors. I tracked the 2024 NFL DPOY odds from the time they opened until they closed. You can see how the 2024 Defensive Player of the Year odds changed throughout the season below.

2024 NFL DPOY Odds

Top 5 Top 10 Top 25 21 & Up 51 & Up

While Patrick Surtain II won 2024-25 NFL DPOY, he was a major longshot to start the season. When odds opened for the 2024-25 season, Surtain was given +15500 odds, meaning a $1 bet would have won $155. Those weren’t even the longest odds Surtain was given, though. After Week 3, the Broncos corner had +22750 odds. After Week 4, Surtain was never given longer than +3000 odds, and he started making his move into the top contenders in mid-December. He only spent one week as the favorite before odds closed.

Five players opened in a tier of their own when it came to the 2024-25 NFL DPOY odds: Myles Garrett, arguably the best athlete in the league and the previous year’s NFL DPOY; Micah Parsons, the NFL DROY three years prior and favorite for NFL DPOY most of the prior season; Nick Bosa, who was the NFL DPOY two years prior; TJ Watt, the NFL DPOY three seasons prior; and Maxx Crosby, who led the NFL in tackles for losses each of the two prior seasons.

Aidan Hutchinson got off to a great start and took over as the DPOY favorite after Week 4. However, his season ended in Week 6 with a gruesome leg injury. TJ Watt took back over and reigned atop the odds until after Week 18, when Patrick Surtain II became the new favorite.

Here are some notes on the NFL DPOY odds movement:

• [February 6] Patrick Surtain II won the NFL DPOY award for the 2024-25 NFL season at the NFL Honors show
• [January 6] After the Broncos clinched a playoff spot in Week 18, Patrick Surtain II took over as the favorite for the first time this season. His odds improved from +150 to -450.
• [December 31] Though Denver lost to the Bengals and gave up 30 points, Patrick Surtain II held Ja’Marr Chase to three catches for 27 yards on six targets, while lining up across from him on 43 coverage snaps, per NFL Next Gen Stats. The result was Surtain moving from +386 odds to win DPOY to +150, significantly narrowing the gap between him and TJ Watt, whose odds worsened to -115.
• [December 17] Patrick Surtain II saw his NFL DPOY odds improve from +950 to +341 after a strong Week 15 performance that included an interception.
• [November 26] Following Week 12, TJ Watt remained the DPOY favorite, but we saw the rest of the top five completely overhauled. Chris Jones, Nick Bosa, Trey Hendrickson, and Dexter Lawrence all dropped out of the top five, with Will Anderson, Xavier McKinney, Danielle Hunter, and Myles Garrett entering the picture. I can’t think of another time I have seen any team or player future see this type of change atop the board.
• [November 5] While on bye in Week 9, TJ Watt moved from the favorite to the odds-on favorite to win NFL DPOY. No other defenders have been able to rise up and challenge Watt after Hutchinson went down to injury.
• [October 15] After suffering a gruesome, season-ending leg injury in Week 6, Aidan Hutchinson was no longer the favorite to win NFL DPOY, as he didn’t even have odds anymore. TJ Watt took over as the favorite again. Will Anderson’s three-sack performance against the Patriots in Week 6 resulted in his odds shortening from +3500 to as short as +450, the second-best on the board.
• [October 1] Though Aidan Hutchinson had a pretty quiet performance on the stat sheet in Week 4, he still took over as the NFL DPOY favorite. Ahead of Week 5, Hutchinson was given +325 odds versus TJ Watt’s +350.
• [September 17] Aidan Hutchinson was dominant against the Buccaneers in Week 2, recording 4.5 sacks in the game, bringing his season total to 5.5 after just two games. At this moment (post-Week 2), Hutchinson has more sacks himself than 18 full teams. After such a big performance, BetMGM has moved Hutchinson to their NFL DPOY favorite. However, every other sportsbook still favored TJ Watt.
• [September 10] It is hard to find a player who single-handedly made a bigger difference on their team’s game in Week 1 than TJ Watt. The Steelers edge rusher was the epitome of a game-wrecker against the Falcons, tallying one sack but being in the backfield and around the ball all game. Watt’s NFL DPOY odds went from +700 to +420, making him the new favorite after Week 1.
• [March 15] Aaron Donald, who opened with +5000 odds to win NFL DPOY this season, has announced his retirement.
• [March 4] Micah Parsons has opened as the favorite to win NFL DPOY. The Cowboys utility defender will be playing his first season in the league without DC Dan Quinn, who is now the Commanders’ head coach. Mike Zimmer will run the defense in Dallas this year.

Top 2024 DPOY Contenders by Position

EDGE IDL ILB DB