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Auburn vs Alabama Odds, Predictions & Expert Picks (Feb 15)

Zach Reger

By Zach Reger in College Basketball

Published:


Mark Sears reacts after making a three-pointer vs Texas
Feb 11, 2025; Austin, Texas, USA; Alabama Crimson Tide guard Mark Sears (1) reacts after scoring a three point basket during the first half against the Alabama Crimson Tide at Moody Center. Mandatory Credit: Scott Wachter-Imagn Images
  • Auburn and Alabama play in the first ever #1 vs #2 matchup in SEC history
  • Alabama is a slight home favorite over Auburn
  • See the latest Auburn vs Alabama predictions, player props, and best odds for this potential Final Four matchup on February 15

We are getting closer to March Madness, and Saturday gives us a little teaser of a potential Final Four matchup between #1 Auburn (22-2, 6-1 away, 14-9-1 ATS) and #2 Alabama (21-3, 10-1 home, 14-10 ATS). Tipoff for this SEC showdown is scheduled at 4 pm ET in Tuscaloosa.

The Crimson Tide are 1.5-point home favorites in the latest college basketball odds and are -135 on the moneyline. The O/U is all the way up to 172.5.

Auburn vs Alabama Odds

TEAMSPREADMONEYLINETOTAL
Auburn Tigers+1.5 (-105)-114O 172.5 (-110)
Alabama Crimson Tide-1.5 (-115)-135U 172.5 (-110)

With -135 odds on the moneyline, sportsbooks are giving Alabama a 57.35% chance of beating their rivals. Points are expected to be scored in this matchup with a high total of 172.5. Both Auburn and Alabama are in the top ten in scoring offense this season.

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With under a month left in the college basketball regular season, the Auburn Tigers are the favorites in the March Madness championship odds. They are currently +400 to win it all.

The Tigers have only lost twice this season, despite playing a difficult schedule. Their first defeat was back in early December when they lost to Duke, and then they lost against Florida two games ago. The Tigers were able to bounce back last game with a nice 80-68 victory over Vanderbilt on the road.

Auburn is led by potential Wooden Award winner, Johni Broome. Broome is +200 in the Wooden Award odds and is only behind Duke’s Cooper Flagg. The forward is averaging 18.1 points per game, and 10.7 rebounds per contest. Broome makes his presence known on the glass and has at least 11 boards in four of his last six games. He has also scored at least 15 points in each of his last six contests.

Broome is a major part of this team, but he is not everything. Auburn has a plethora of talented guards that can knock down shots at an efficient rate. The Tigers are ninth in scoring offense, but they are ranked first in adjusted offensive efficiency this season. Auburn will have a tough task in this game playing on the road, but they have not had a problem with that so far in conference play. The Tigers are a perfect 6-0 on the road vs SEC teams this year.

This Alabama team is similar to the teams we have seen over the past few years under Nate Oats. The Crimson Tide play fast and get shots up quickly, so points come early and often. They average over 90 points per game and are fresh off a 103-point outing on the road vs Texas. Their defense can be worrisome at times, but they are never truly out of a game with how quickly and efficiently they can put points on the board.

The Crimson Tide are second in adjusted offensive efficiency and are led by Mark Sears and Grant Nelson, both of whom played major roles in Alabama’s Final Four run last season. Sears is averaging a team-leading 17.8 points per game and has shot 42% from three over his last four games. Nelson is averaging 12.7 points and 8.1 rebounds per game.

Alabama is on a seven-game winning streak and has covered the spread in ten of their last 13 games. The Crimson Tide have only lost one game at Coleman Coliseum this season, and that was to Ole Miss on January 14. They have not lost a game since.

Auburn vs Alabama Predictions

Everyone talks about the Iron Bowl in college football, and Saturday’s action on the basketball court will give off a similar energy as these two rivals play each other as the #1 and #2 teams in the country. As the short spread suggests, this game should come down to the wire.

Both of these offenses can score. They are also #1 and #2 in adjusted offensive efficiency, so it will come down to who can get stops, force turnovers, and gather rebounds. Auburn has a big advantage on the defensive side of the ball. The Tigers are ranked 17th in adjusted defensive efficiency, while the Crimson Tide are 40th.

Still, I like Alabama at home in this spot. Auburn is going to try to slow this game down, but that will be hard to do at Alabama, who is second in adjusted tempo. Even if Auburn can force some stops and cause a scoring drought on Alabama, they can score so quickly that they can get back into any game. They also have the rebounding advantage, which is important in a game like this.

If Alabama’s offense gets second-chance opportunities, it will be tough for Auburn to get the win on the road. The Crimson Tide are second in the country in rebounds per game and 19th in offensive rebounds per game. Johni Broome will present a challenge on the glass, but I trust this Alabama team’s rebounding abilities to get the job done.

The Crimson Tide have won three of the last four meetings between these teams, and I believe they will get another win on Saturday with their high-powered offense on their home court.

Auburn vs Alabama Expert Pick: Alabama -1.5 (-115)

Zach Reger
Zach Reger

Social Media Manager; Sports Betting Personality & Handicapper

Zach has been involved in the sports betting industry for three years. After starting to bet on sports in college, Zach was interested in how it can make any game interesting. The trends, line movement, and finding unique angles to predict the outcomes of games captivated Zach to get more involved.

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