3 Early Super Bowl Bets to Make Before These Eagles/Chiefs Lines Move

• The Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs are set to square off in Super Bowl 59 on Feb. 9
• The total opened at 48.5 but is already on the way up
• See three early Super Bowl bets to make before the lines move

Fans will be treated to a rematch of Super Bowl 57 in two weeks’ time when the Philadelphia Eagles (17-3, 13-7 ATS) face the Kansas City Chiefs (17-2, 9-10 ATS) in the 2025 Super Bowl at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans. Though the Super Bowl odds have only been open for a little more than 12 hours, the early betting action has started to shift the lines. Below, I set out three wagers that prospective Eagles/Chiefs bettors should target early rather than later if they want to get the best number.

Early Super Bowl Bets for Chiefs vs Eagles

The odds in the table, above, are as of 1:54 pm ET on Monday, January 27, at the sportsbook noted in the final column.

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Early PHI/KC Bet to Target #1: Chiefs Moneyline

If there’s one thing we know about the betting public after decades upon decades of anecdotal evidence, it’s this: the public loves a favorite. Week after week, the NFL public betting splits show the vast majority of favorites getting the vast majority of moneyline handle.

I expect that to hold true in Super Bowl 59, where the Chiefs are modest -125 favorites in the latest NFL odds.

There is plenty to like about the Eagles and they have a huge fan base that will certainly put its share of money on its team to hoist the Lombardi Trophy. But the Chiefs are a nationally-back, dynastic steamroller.

The winners of the last two Super Bowls and three of the past five, Kansas City is going to become the public darling as kickoff draws nearer. They are riding a nine-game postseason win streak and Patrick Mahomes is becoming the NFL’s version of Michael Jordan; public perception is that he’s unbeatable.

I am not saying I, personally, like the Chiefs as -125 favorites. But I firmly believe that’s the best price bettors are going to see on Kansas City at any point between now and Feb. 9.

Early PHI/KC Bet to Target #2: Over 49.5 Points

The Eagles/Chiefs game total briefly opened at 48.5 but only remained there for a few minutes. Early money immediately pushed the over/under up to 49.5, and I expect that to go even higher before we see any downward movement.

Just as the public likes betting favorites, the average person would way rather bet an over than an under. The Super Bowl brings in millions of first-time and novice bettors every year, and they want to bet on something happening.

Secondly, the Eagles are coming off a ludicrously high-scoring win over the Commanders in the NFC title game (55-23), which soared over the 47.0 game total by 31 points. The Eagles hit the over by themselves.

Thirdly, when these teams met in the Super Bowl two years ago, it resulted in a back-and-forth, 38-35 thriller, which went way over the total of 50.0.

Again, I haven’t decided which way I’m betting this total, if I’m betting it at all. But if you want to bet the over, I strongly suggest you do it sooner rather than later, as I fully expect it to hit 50.0 O/U in the near future.

Early PHI/KC Bet to Target #3: Barkley Over 118.5 Rushing Yards

The last line I’m including here is Saquon Barkley’s rushing prop at 118.5. Regardless of the score, the run-happy Eagles are going to pound the rock, and bettors know it.

Barkley’s postseason game logs so far in 2025 show the following stat lines: 25 carries for 119 yards against the Packers (4.8 YPC), 26 carries for 205 yards against the Rams (7.9 YPC), 15 carries for 118 yards against the Commanders (7.9 YPC).

Those three defenses may be a step below what KC brings to the table, but they were all above-average units, and Barkley made them all look very subpar.

If there is a weak point in this Kansas City defense, it’s on the ground. Houston’s Joe Mixon put up 88 yards on just 18 carries (4.9 YPC) in the Divisional Round and Buffalo’s James Cook gashed the KC defense for 85 yards on just 13 carries (6.5 YPC) in the AFC Championship Game.

And those numbers came with both teams playing from behind.

Barkley’s rushing total opened at 117.5 (O -110 | U -111) in the NFL player props, and that number has already gone up a yard. He’s hit the over on 118.5 in every playoff game so far, and that’s without playing the final ten or so minutes against Washington.

The Eagles will run him ragged in the Super Bowl and this is another line that I definitely see going up in the coming days.

Check out SBD’s other early Super Bowl coverage:

• Early Super Bowl Touchdown Props – First TD & Anytime TD Scorer Bets for Eagles vs Chiefs
• Super Bowl MVP Odds 2025: Mahomes Favored to Win for Fourth Time
• Opening Super Bowl Player Props – Chiefs vs Eagles Over/Unders
• Super Bowl Betting Promos: 5 Early Sportsbook Offers for Eagles-Chiefs