UFC Fight Night Odds, Picks & Predictions: Dern vs Ribas 2

By Nick Holz in Mixed Martial Arts News
Updated: March 28, 2025 at 4:31 pm EDTPublished:

- UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Ribas 2 odds have been released
- Women’s strawweights Mackenzie Dern and Amanda Ribas battle in the main event
- Find all the UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Ribas 2 odds and our best bets, below
Strawweights Mackenzie Dern and Amanda Ribas renew acquaintances in the octagon at UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Ribas 2. With each fighter losing three of their past five fights, Dern and Ribas will both be aiming to get back into the win column as UFC Fight Night kicks off from the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada on Saturday January, 11th.
Catch all on the action on ESPN+. Until then look for the UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Ribas 2 odds and our best bets, below.
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Ribas 2 Odds
Fighter | Odds | Over/Under Rounds |
---|---|---|
Mackenzie Dern | +160 | 04.5 -220 |
Amanda Ribas | -192 | U4.5 +170 |
Fighter | Odds | Over/Under Rounds |
Santiago Ponzinibbio | -142 | 02.5 +114 |
Carlston Harris | +120 | U2.5 -145 |
Fighter | Odds | Over/Under Rounds |
Cesar Almeida | -250 | 01.5 -166 |
Abdul Razak Alhassan | +205 | U1.5 +130 |
Fighter | Odds | Over/Under Rounds |
Chris Curtis | +200 | 02.5 -220 |
Roman Kapylov | -245 | U2.5 +170 |
Fighter | Odds | Over/Under Rounds |
Christian Rodriguez | +220 | 02.5 -250 |
Austin Bashi | -270 | U2.5 +190 |
Fighter | Odds | Over/Under Rounds |
Punahele Soriano | +180 | 01.5 -175 |
Uros Medic | -218 | U1.5 +135 |
The UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Ribas 2 odds have American featherweight Austin Bashi as a heavy -2700 favorite over Christian Rodriguez who comes back as a +220 underdog.
Odds as of January 9, at DraftKings Sportsbook. Look for a Draftkings promo code for all your MMA betting action.

Dern vs Ribas 2 Prediction
Amanda Ribas took home a unanimous decision victory way back in 2019 to hand Mackenzie Dern the first loss of her MMA career. The Minas Gerais native will be looking to repeat that performance when these two square off on Saturday night. Ribas has alternated wins and losses in each of her past six fights, with the latest coming as a decision loss to Rose Namajunas in March of 2024.
When Mackenzie Dern and Amanda Ribas first met in the Octagon…
Repeat or Revenge at #UFCVegas101 on Saturday?! pic.twitter.com/c458Rpbp2f
— UFC Europe (@UFCEurope) January 8, 2025
On the other side of the cage, Dern has gone just 3-3 in the cage since 2021. The Black House MMA product sports a 9-5 record in the UFC and defeated Lupita Godinez by decision in her last bout in August. Known for her world-class Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, Dern has improved her striking significantly in the past few years. Relying on her ability to close the distance and drag opponents into grappling exchanges is her best chance at victory.
Ribas’ utilized her crisp striking and effective takedown defense to neuralize Dern’s attacks in their first matchup. While the American has improved, it’s tough to see Dern overcoming Ribas’ diverse skill set. Her striking is far more polished and she’s shown the ability to handle grappling heavy opponents. Look for Ribas to stay on the outside and pick her shots en route to another decision win.
Pick: Amanda Ribas by decision (-105)
Ponzinibbio vs Harris Prediction
Veteran welterweights Santiago Ponzinibbio and Carlston Harris clash in a welterweight bout that is sure to provide fireworks. A seasoned striker, Ponzinibbio will aim to get back in the win column after losing four of his last five fights. Known for his aggressive striking and knockout power, the “Argentine Dagger” will look to keep this fight standing and pressure Harris with his technical striking.
🎨 Santiago Ponzinibbio hizo arte con su derecha, asegurando un TKO sobre Alex Morono! 🖼️ #UFCVegas101 pic.twitter.com/8Mnru5ftGN
— UFC Español (@UFCEspanol) January 7, 2025
Meanwhile, Carlston Harris is more of a ground specialist. He’s secured six victories via submission in his career, and will undoubtedly aim to get this scrap on the mat. Harris has won two of his last three fights but was ruthlessly knocked out by Khaos Williams in his last bout.
With 22 finishes in his career, Ponzinibbio will be looking for the knockout blow. Bet on him to find it in a UFC Fight Night co-main event that has Fight of the Night potential.
Pick: Santiago Ponzinibbio by knockout (+210)
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Sports Content Writer
A sports betting aficionado and graduate of Toronto Film School, Nick covers the NFL, NBA, Soccer, and MMA for SBD. He is also an avid NBA podcaster, and sports betting TikToker. Nick's work has been featured on Bleacher Report.