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North Dakota State vs Montana State Props – Best Player Props for FCS National Championship

Chris Amberley

By Chris Amberley in College Football

Published:


Cam Miller throws a pass versus Colorado.
Aug 29, 2024; Boulder, Colorado, USA; North Dakota State Bison quarterback Cam Miller (7) scrambles in the second quarter against the Colorado Buffaloes at Folsom Field. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports
  • North Dakota State faces Montana State in the FCS National Championship Game
  • Cam Miller has thrown for over 3,000 yards, with 31 TD this season
  • Keep reading for the best North Dakota State vs Montana State player props bets

It’s incredibly rare for an FCS game to feature a future NFL quarterback. It’s nearly unheard of for one of those contests to feature two. That’s what makes tonight’s FCS National Championship Game so special.

Both North Dakota State and Montana State boast NFL QB prospects, which helps explain why they’re the top-two teams in the FCS. Cam Miller and Tommy Mellot are dual-threat unicorns, and are sure to be popular bets in tonight’s college football player props.

North Dakota State vs Montana State Player Props

Passer Passing Yards Passing TDs
Cam Miller (NDSU) 214.5 (O -115 | U -115) 1.5 (O +114 | U -152)
Tommy Mellott (MSU) 177.5 (O -115 | U -115) 1.5 (O +102 | U -136)
Rusher Rush Yards Rush + Rec Yds
CharMar Brown (NDSU) 48.5 (O -115 | U -115) OFF
Cam Miller (NDSU) 41.5 (O -115 | U -115) OFF
Tommy Mellot (MSU) 91.5 (O -115 | U -115) OFF
Scottre Humphrey (MSU) 66.5 (O -115 | U -115) OFF
Receiver Receptions Receiving Yards
Bryce Lance (NDSU) OFF 70.5 (O -115 | U -115)
Ty McCullouch (MSU) OFF 26.5 (O -115 | U -115)
Taco Dowler (MSU) OFF 30.5 (O -115 | U -115)
Rohan Jones (MSU) OFF 22.5 (O -115 | U -115)

Miller projects for more passing yards than Mellot, but is a slight underdog to the latter to throw 2 TD. Mellot actually boasts the highest rushing yards prop at 91.5, 25 yards more than any running back.

Receiver-wise, Bryce Lance and Taco Dowler boast their team’s highest over/under through the air, and we expect the Miller-Lance connection to be busy.

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North Dakota State vs Montana State Prop #1: Cam Miller Passing Yards

It’s not a stretch to suggest that Miller is on par with some of the qb’s that led their teams into the College Football Playoff bracket. Miller threw for over 3,000 yards and 31 TD this season, and is the reigning Missouri Valley offensive player of the year.

Monday will mark his 67th collegiate game, meaning there’s little he hasn’t seen before. The Bobcats are strong defensively on both sides of the ball, but are more likely to be beaten through the air than on the ground.

Montanta State yielded 795 yards and 5 TD to the top-three passing offenses they faced this season. None of those teams match the Bison’s efficiency, and none had a receiver like Lance.

Miller and Lance have hooked up for 16 receptions, 268 yards and 6 TD in the last three games alone. NDSU is currently a 3-point underdog, which means more passing volume than usual should be in store for Miller in catch-up mode.

  • Pick: Cam Miller Over 214.5 Passing Yards (-115)

North Dakota State vs Montana State Prop #2: Scottre Humphrey Rushing Yards

Shifting over to the Bobcats offense, where we like a fade of Scottre Humphrey. The sophomore has been losing carries to freshman Adam Jones over the last month, and we project Mellot to eat heavily into that workload as well in a championship game.

Humphrey has 11 or fewer carries in four straight outings. He’s totalled only 28 touches during that span, compared to 78 for Jones. Mellot meanwhile, only averaged eight rushes per game during the regular season, but that number has ballooned to 14 in the playoffs.

  • Pick: Scottre Humphrey Under 66.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

North Dakota State vs Montana State Touchdown Props

Player First TD Anytime TD
Tommy Mellot (MSU) +550 -170
Cam Miller (NDSU) +800 -130
CharMar Brown (NDSU) +700 -125
Scottre Humphrey (MSU) +850 +100
Bryce Lance (NDSU) +1100 +110
Adam Jones (MSU) +1000 +110
Ty McCullouch (MSU) +1200 +140
Taco Dowler (MSU) +1300 +150
Rohan Jones (MSU) +1400 +165
Barika Kpeenu (NDSU) +1400 +190

Switching to the touchdown props market, where we’ll happily lay -170 odds on Mellot to score. He’s done so three times already this postseason, and torched NDSU on the ground in last year’s playoffs.

North Dakota State vs Montana State Prop #3: Tommy Mellot Anytime TD

The senior pivot rushed for 151 yards and two scores in that contest, carrying the ball 18 times. He has five career 150+ rushing yard performances, including a 273-yard, 3 TD outing two seasons ago.

Mellot has already racked up 14 rushing scores this season, one off the team lead, finding the end zone with his legs in all but five games.

  • Pick: Tommy Mellot Anytime TD (-170), First TD (+550)
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Chris Amberley
Chris Amberley

Sports Writer

As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.

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