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Best Falcons vs Commanders Player Props to Bet for SNF in Week 17

Michael Harrison

By Michael Harrison in NFL Football

Published:


Bijan Robinson looking for a hole
Dec 16, 2024; Paradise, Nevada, USA; Atlanta Falcons running back Bijan Robinson (7) carries the ball against the Las Vegas Raiders in the second half at Allegiant Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-Imagn Images
  • The Falcons clash with the Commanders in NFL Week 17 action Sunday, December 29th, from Northwest Stadium
  • Atlanta is in a battle to win the NFC South while Washington can clinch a playoff berth
  • Take a look below for our top Falcons vs Commanders player prop bets

Through 16 weeks of the NFL campaign, Raheem Morris’ Falcons are 8-and-7 are leading the NFC South. They’re up against Dan Quinn’s Commanders (10-5), who will clinch a playoff spot for the first time since 2020 with a victory. As the Falcons meet the Commanders on Sunday, December 29th, at Northwest Stadium in Landover, Maryland, it’s the home squad that’s a 3.5-point favorite in the Week 17 NFL odds. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20 pm ET.

Falcons vs Commanders Player Props

Quarterbacks Completions Passing Yards Passing TDs
Michael Penix Jr. (ATL) 18.5 (Ov-105/Un-125) 199.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) 1.5 (Ov+145/Un-190)
Jayden Daniels (WSH) 20.5 (Ov-145/Un+110) 220.5 (Ov-120/Un-110) 1.5 (Ov-105/Un-125)
Running Backs Attempts Rushing Yards Longest Rush
Bijan Robinson (ATL) 18.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) 85.5 (Ov-110/Un-120) 16.5 (Ov-110/Un-120)
Tyler Allgeier (ATL) 6.5 (Ov-145/Un+110) 30.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) OTB
Brian Robinson Jr. (WSH) 15.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) 65.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) 14.5 (Ov-120/Un-110)
Wide Receivers & Tight Ends Receptions Receiving Yards Longest Reception
Drake London (ATL) 5.5 (Ov+110/Un-145) 62.5 (Ov-110/Un-120) 21.5 (Ov-110/Un-120)
Darnell Mooney (ATL) 3.5 (Ov-135/Un+105) 48.5 (Ov-105/Un-125) 20.5 (Ov-115/Un-115)
Ray-Ray McCloud III (ATL) 2.5 (Ov-150/Un+115) 26.5 (Ov-110/Un-120) 14.5 (Ov-115/Un-115)
Kyle Pitts (ATL) 2.5 (Ov+150/Un-200) 20.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) 12.5 (Ov-120/Un-110)
Terry McLaurin (WSH) 5.5 (Ov+125/Un-165) 64.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) 24.5 (Ov-115/Un-115)
Zach Ertz (WSH) 3.5 (Ov-155/Un+120) 34.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) 15.5 (Ov-105/Un-125)
Olamide Zaccheaus (WSH) 3.5 (Ov+125/Un-165) 34.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) 16.5 (Ov-115/Un-115)
Jamison Crowder (WSH) 2.5 (Ov+100/Un-130) 21.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) 13.5 (Ov-110/Un-120)

Jayden Daniels’ passing yardage line is set at 220.5, while Michael Penix Jr’s is 199.5. For the running backs, Falcons’ Bijan Robinson is set at 85.5 yards and the Commanders Brian Robinson Jr. is at 65.5. Terry McLaurin has the highest receiving-yardage total in the NFL player props for SNF at 64.5 for Washington and Drake London 62.5 for Atlanta.

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Falcons vs Commanders Prop #1: Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards

Bijan Robinson has been fantastic in his sophomore season, rushing for 1,196 yards, which is fifth in the NFL. He’s also been on a heater, racking up at least 86 yards in eight of his last ten contests. He’s hit the 100 yard milestone on four occasions in that span and his line for this affair is set at 85.5 rushing yards.

Robinson is up against a Commanders defense that’s surrendered the fourth most yards on the ground per game (137.4). They’re also very stingy against the pass 185.5 yards, fourth best in the league, so expect Robinson to run often and meet his mark.

  • Falcons vs Commanders Prop Pick: Bijan Robinson over 85.5 rushing yards (-110); risk 1 unit at DraftKings

Falcons vs Commanders Prop #2: Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards

Terry McLaurin has paced the Commanders receivers on the campaign, picking up 1,029 receiving yards, 491 more than the next closest player (Zach Ertz). His line is set at 64.5 yards in this one, a milestone that he’s gone over in seven of his last eleven outings.

Atlanta has been far worse defending the pass on the road (256.6 passing yards per game compared to 194.4 at home), which bodes well for McLaurin to hit the over on this prop. John Hyslop’s Falcons vs Commanders same-game parlay is an intriguing one to consider.

  • Falcons vs Commanders Prop Pick: Terry McLaurin over 64.5 receiving yards (-115); risk 1 unit at DraftKings

Falcons vs Commanders Touchdown Scorer Props

Player Odds to Score 1st TD Odds to Score Anytime TD
Brian Robinson Jr. (WSH) +550 -115
Terry McLaurin (WSH) +600 -105
Bijan Robinson (ATL) +650 -120
Jayden Daniels (WSH) +850 +155
Drake London (ATL) +1200 +160
Darnell Mooney (ATL) +1600 +240
Tyler Allgeier (ATL) +1700 +275
Zach Ertz (WSH) +1800 +330
Olamide Zaccheaus (WSH) +1900 +370
Jamison Crowder (WSH) +2200 +450
Ray-Ray McCloud III (ATL) +2500 +380
Kyle Pitts (ATL) +2500 +400
Jeremy McNichols (WSH) +2500 +550

The Commanders’ Brian Robinson Jr. has the shortest odds to find the end zone first at +550 yet the Falcons’ Bijan Robinson has the smallest odds to record a TD at any time at -120.

Falcons vs Commanders Prop #3: Terry McLaurin Anytime Touchdown Scorer

I always like to pair up a player receiving (or rushing) prop for their yardage going over, with them also recording a touchdown. In this case, let’s go with Terry McLaurin to find pay dirt, something he’s done in four straight contests, with six total TD’s.

Not only has Atlanta been susceptible to a lot of passing yards on the road, they also entered Week 17 tied with Carolina for most passing TD’s allowed this season (28). McLaurin (12) is second to only Ja’Marr Chase (16) in receiving TD’s this year. His -105 odds to record a TD at any time is slightly longer than the top-two players on the board.

If you’re also looking for a standard bet, make sure to check out Brady Trettenero’s Falcons vs Commanders predictions.

  • Falcons vs Commanders Prop Pick: Terry McLaurin anytime touchdown scorer (-105); risk 1 unit at DraftKings Sportsbook
Michael Harrison
Michael Harrison

Sports & Entertainment Writer

Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 19 years, is the CEO of his "All Bets Par Off" weekly golf betting videos and his HDOG POD, along with several others.

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