Best Falcons vs Commanders Player Props to Bet for SNF in Week 17

By Michael Harrison in NFL Football
Published:

- The Falcons clash with the Commanders in NFL Week 17 action Sunday, December 29th, from Northwest Stadium
- Atlanta is in a battle to win the NFC South while Washington can clinch a playoff berth
- Take a look below for our top Falcons vs Commanders player prop bets
Through 16 weeks of the NFL campaign, Raheem Morris’ Falcons are 8-and-7 are leading the NFC South. They’re up against Dan Quinn’s Commanders (10-5), who will clinch a playoff spot for the first time since 2020 with a victory. As the Falcons meet the Commanders on Sunday, December 29th, at Northwest Stadium in Landover, Maryland, it’s the home squad that’s a 3.5-point favorite in the Week 17 NFL odds. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20 pm ET.
Falcons vs Commanders Player Props
Quarterbacks | Completions | Passing Yards | Passing TDs |
---|---|---|---|
Michael Penix Jr. (ATL) | 18.5 (Ov-105/Un-125) | 199.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) | 1.5 (Ov+145/Un-190) |
Jayden Daniels (WSH) | 20.5 (Ov-145/Un+110) | 220.5 (Ov-120/Un-110) | 1.5 (Ov-105/Un-125) |
Running Backs | Attempts | Rushing Yards | Longest Rush |
Bijan Robinson (ATL) | 18.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) | 85.5 (Ov-110/Un-120) | 16.5 (Ov-110/Un-120) |
Tyler Allgeier (ATL) | 6.5 (Ov-145/Un+110) | 30.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) | OTB |
Brian Robinson Jr. (WSH) | 15.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) | 65.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) | 14.5 (Ov-120/Un-110) |
Wide Receivers & Tight Ends | Receptions | Receiving Yards | Longest Reception |
Drake London (ATL) | 5.5 (Ov+110/Un-145) | 62.5 (Ov-110/Un-120) | 21.5 (Ov-110/Un-120) |
Darnell Mooney (ATL) | 3.5 (Ov-135/Un+105) | 48.5 (Ov-105/Un-125) | 20.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) |
Ray-Ray McCloud III (ATL) | 2.5 (Ov-150/Un+115) | 26.5 (Ov-110/Un-120) | 14.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) |
Kyle Pitts (ATL) | 2.5 (Ov+150/Un-200) | 20.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) | 12.5 (Ov-120/Un-110) |
Terry McLaurin (WSH) | 5.5 (Ov+125/Un-165) | 64.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) | 24.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) |
Zach Ertz (WSH) | 3.5 (Ov-155/Un+120) | 34.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) | 15.5 (Ov-105/Un-125) |
Olamide Zaccheaus (WSH) | 3.5 (Ov+125/Un-165) | 34.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) | 16.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) |
Jamison Crowder (WSH) | 2.5 (Ov+100/Un-130) | 21.5 (Ov-115/Un-115) | 13.5 (Ov-110/Un-120) |
Jayden Daniels’ passing yardage line is set at 220.5, while Michael Penix Jr’s is 199.5. For the running backs, Falcons’ Bijan Robinson is set at 85.5 yards and the Commanders Brian Robinson Jr. is at 65.5. Terry McLaurin has the highest receiving-yardage total in the NFL player props for SNF at 64.5 for Washington and Drake London 62.5 for Atlanta.

Falcons vs Commanders Prop #1: Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards
Bijan Robinson has been fantastic in his sophomore season, rushing for 1,196 yards, which is fifth in the NFL. He’s also been on a heater, racking up at least 86 yards in eight of his last ten contests. He’s hit the 100 yard milestone on four occasions in that span and his line for this affair is set at 85.5 rushing yards.
Special: #Falcons RB Bijan Robinson has forced an NFL-best 92 MISSED TACKLES this season.
He is an ALIEN 👽
(via @willmcfadden) pic.twitter.com/NVzbEzfCKj
— Dov Kleiman (@NFL_DovKleiman) December 28, 2024
Robinson is up against a Commanders defense that’s surrendered the fourth most yards on the ground per game (137.4). They’re also very stingy against the pass 185.5 yards, fourth best in the league, so expect Robinson to run often and meet his mark.
- Falcons vs Commanders Prop Pick: Bijan Robinson over 85.5 rushing yards (-110); risk 1 unit at DraftKings
Falcons vs Commanders Prop #2: Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards
Terry McLaurin has paced the Commanders receivers on the campaign, picking up 1,029 receiving yards, 491 more than the next closest player (Zach Ertz). His line is set at 64.5 yards in this one, a milestone that he’s gone over in seven of his last eleven outings.
Wild stat.
Jayden Daniels & Terry McLaurin (140.0) have the highest passer rating among QB-pass catcher duos in a single season since Brady-Gronkowski in 2012 (140.1), among duos with at least 75 targets, per NGS.
Historic year in DC.
— Ryan Fowler (@_RyanFowler_) December 27, 2024
Atlanta has been far worse defending the pass on the road (256.6 passing yards per game compared to 194.4 at home), which bodes well for McLaurin to hit the over on this prop. John Hyslop’s Falcons vs Commanders same-game parlay is an intriguing one to consider.
- Falcons vs Commanders Prop Pick: Terry McLaurin over 64.5 receiving yards (-115); risk 1 unit at DraftKings
Falcons vs Commanders Touchdown Scorer Props
Player | Odds to Score 1st TD | Odds to Score Anytime TD |
---|---|---|
Brian Robinson Jr. (WSH) | +550 | -115 |
Terry McLaurin (WSH) | +600 | -105 |
Bijan Robinson (ATL) | +650 | -120 |
Jayden Daniels (WSH) | +850 | +155 |
Drake London (ATL) | +1200 | +160 |
Darnell Mooney (ATL) | +1600 | +240 |
Tyler Allgeier (ATL) | +1700 | +275 |
Zach Ertz (WSH) | +1800 | +330 |
Olamide Zaccheaus (WSH) | +1900 | +370 |
Jamison Crowder (WSH) | +2200 | +450 |
Ray-Ray McCloud III (ATL) | +2500 | +380 |
Kyle Pitts (ATL) | +2500 | +400 |
Jeremy McNichols (WSH) | +2500 | +550 |
The Commanders’ Brian Robinson Jr. has the shortest odds to find the end zone first at +550 yet the Falcons’ Bijan Robinson has the smallest odds to record a TD at any time at -120.
Falcons vs Commanders Prop #3: Terry McLaurin Anytime Touchdown Scorer
I always like to pair up a player receiving (or rushing) prop for their yardage going over, with them also recording a touchdown. In this case, let’s go with Terry McLaurin to find pay dirt, something he’s done in four straight contests, with six total TD’s.
Will Terry McLaurin get lucky number 13 and make Commanders history Sunday night? 🏈 pic.twitter.com/HMEFSoo7tR
— Sunday Night Football on NBC (@SNFonNBC) December 27, 2024
Not only has Atlanta been susceptible to a lot of passing yards on the road, they also entered Week 17 tied with Carolina for most passing TD’s allowed this season (28). McLaurin (12) is second to only Ja’Marr Chase (16) in receiving TD’s this year. His -105 odds to record a TD at any time is slightly longer than the top-two players on the board.
If you’re also looking for a standard bet, make sure to check out Brady Trettenero’s Falcons vs Commanders predictions.
- Falcons vs Commanders Prop Pick: Terry McLaurin anytime touchdown scorer (-105); risk 1 unit at DraftKings Sportsbook
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Sports & Entertainment Writer
Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 19 years, is the CEO of his "All Bets Par Off" weekly golf betting videos and his HDOG POD, along with several others.