Louisiana Tech vs Army Prediction, Odds & Pick for Saturday Night Football

• Louisiana Tech and #19 Army play in the 2024 Independence Bowl
• The Black Knights are two-touchdown favorites over the Bulldogs
• See below for the latest Louisiana Tech vs Army odds, picks, and prediction for Saturday, December 28

#19 Army and Louisiana Tech keep bowl season going on Saturday. Army put together their best season since 2018, while Louisiana Tech was not supposed to be here. The Bulldogs got the invite to the Independence Bowl after Marshall withdrew from the bowl due to many players and coaches leaving the program. The Black Knights and Bulldogs kick off Saturday, December 28 at 9:15 ET from Shreveport, LA.

These two programs have played each other twice, and Army has won both games. The last time these two teams played was back in 2013 when the Black Knights won 35-16. Keep reading to see the 2024 Independence Bowl odds, picks, and prediction.

Louisiana Tech vs Army Odds

The college football odds list Army as a 14-point favorite over the 5-7 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs. The Black Knights opened as 17.5-point favorites before moving to 14. The total has not moved much as the O/U has stayed around 43.5 and 44. With -575 odds on the moneyline, sportsbooks are giving Army a win probability of 85.19% in the Independence Bowl.

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Odds as of Saturday, December 28 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Make sure you claim the best DraftKings promo code before locking in your Independence Bowl bets.

Louisiana Tech Betting Trends

Louisiana Tech enters this game with a 5-7 record and is in this bowl because Marshall had too many transfers and opt-outs to play. The Bulldogs are 8-4 against the spread this season and have covered in five straight games.

They are also 5-0 against the spread as underdogs this season. They were double-digit underdogs in each of those games, so they are in familiar territory as 14-point underdogs against Army.

Redshirt freshman quarterback Evan Bullock has played well for the Bulldogs this season. He has 1,938 passing yards, 14 touchdowns, and just two interceptions on the campaign. Even though Bullock has been efficient, Louisiana Tech’s offense has been lackluster at times. They rank 131st in the country in offensive success rate.

On defense, Louisiana Tech has not been bad against the run, but that could also be a product of playing in Conference USA. They rank 50th in the country in Defensive EPA per rush, and they will need to come to play against Army’s triple-option rushing attack.

Army Betting Trends

Army is looking to cap off an incredible season with an Independence Bowl victory. The Black Knights won the AAC and went 11-2 this season. Their only losses on the season were to Notre Dame and Navy. They burst onto the scene this year by rattling off six straight ATS wins, but then finished the season 8-4-1 against the spread.

Bryson Daily could be in store for a big game vs Louisiana Tech. Daily finished sixth in Heisman voting and has over 1,500 rushing yards with 29 touchdowns. Through the air, Daily has 942 yards, nine touchdowns, and four interceptions. Three of those interceptions came against Navy. The offense is explosive and made big plays all season long, but the defense has also been impressive.

QB Bryson Daily through 11 games played.

• Tied for the nation's lead with 29 rushing TDs
• 10 games with 100+ rushing yds
• 9 straight games with multiple rushing TDs
• Scored 3+ rushing TDs in 5 games
• 4th in the nation in rushing YPG (134.5)
• Broke the @American_Conf… pic.twitter.com/rJ7hTbxEpB

— Army Football (@ArmyWP_Football) December 8, 2024

The Black Knights rank seventh in scoring defense thus do not give up a lot of points unless you are Notre Dame or Navy. In their 13 games this season, they allow an average of 16.23 points. They are especially strong against the run, and they are opportunistic in causing turnovers. They do a great job of making it difficult for the opposing team to move the ball on them.

Independence Bowl Prediction

Up until the Army-Navy game, the Black Knights looked unstoppable against the majority of their schedule. Bryson Daily and the offense had their way with opposing defenses, and they limited opposing offenses from having big plays. All the momentum from winning the AAC came to a halt when Navy won 31-13. I do not put much stock in that game as those two teams know each other very well, and perhaps no team is better at stopping the triple-option than Navy.

Fast forward to now, Army is hungry to put that loss to Navy behind them. I do not trust Louisiana Tech’s ability to stop the run, especially a triple-option attack that they have not faced this season. 10 of Army’s 11 wins have come by double-digits and this one should be no different. These two programs are on different levels right now, so I expect the Black Knights to roll and end their season on a high note.

Lousiana Tech vs Army Pick: Army -14 (-112)