Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions Predictions & Best Odds for Thanksgiving Day

• Worst-meets-first in the NFC North when the Chicago Bears visit the Detroit Lions on Thanksgiving
• The Lions, who own the NFL’s longest win streak at nine in a row, are double-digit favorites
• See the Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions predictions and best available odds for Nov. 28

The hard-luck Chicago Bears (4-7, 0-4 away, 5-4-2 ATS) get no respite on Thanksgiving as they travel to the Motor City to face the NFC-best Detroit Lions (10-1, 4-1 home, 9-2 ATS) at Ford Field at 12:30 pm ET. The red-hot Lions range from 9.5 to 10.5-point home favorites, with most sportsbooks listing Detroit as ten-point chalk.

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions Predictions

• Bears +10.5 (-122) at FanDuel
  
  

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The Bears are on a brutal slide, losing five straight games after starting the season 4-2. But they’re not a brutal team by any stretch of the imagination. Chicago still has a +4 point differential despite sitting three games under .500. Their last two Ls – against good Minnesota and Green Bay teams – came by a combined margin of four points. They were also on the wrong end of Jayden Daniels’ game-winning Week 8 Hail Mary.

PFF ranks the Bears right in the middle of the league (17th with a 77.5 overall rating).

The Lions, of course, are an absolute freight train that rank first at PFF (93.4) and in DVOA (47.5%), which is better than any team in the last five years. But this is a fierce division rivalry against a quality opponents.

Detroit’s first two division games this season resulted in a two-point win over the Vikings (31-29) and a ten-point win over the Packers (24-14), a game in which Green Bay actually out-gained Detroit 411 yards to 261. The Lions benefited from a pick-six and ten Packer penalties.

The Lions are also in worse shape, injury-wise. David Montgomery, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Kalif Raymond, and Taylor Decker are all questionable on offense on a short week, while 11 different defensive players have already hit the IR for Detroit this season.

I don’t expect the Lions to run away with this as they tend to do against bad teams.

Best Bears vs Lions Odds

Most books have the Bears vs Lions point spread at Detroit -10 but there are two outliers. FanDuel has the spread half a point higher at 10.5 (albeit with -122 juice on the Bears to cover) while DraftKings has is it half a point lower at 9.5 (with -115 odds on the Lions to cover).

DraftKings also has the best moneyline price on the Lions by a pretty wide margin in the Week 13 NFL odds. Detroit it listed at -470 at DK and -520 or shorter everywhere else. The best moneyline price on the Bears is +400, which is available at BetMGM, Caesars, and FanDuel.

There isn’t any real variety in the game total; all books list the O/U at 48.5 with only minor differences in price. FanDuel has the best odds on the over at -105, while four books (bet365, BetMGM, Caesars, and ESPN Bet) have the best under odds at -110.

The Thanksgiving NFL public betting splits are all over the Lions. Detroit is currently getting 71% of ATS handle as 10-point chalk and 76% of moneyline handle.

Detroit has also emerged as the outright favorite in the Super Bowl 59 odds, as short as +250 at some books. The Bears, are on the other hand, have faded to +3000 longshots just to make the postseason in the latest NFL playoff odds.