NC State vs Georgia Tech Prediction, Props & Odds (Thursday, Nov. 21)

• We’ve made our NC State vs Georgia Tech prediction for Thursday Night CFB
• The Yellow Jackets are 9-point favorites at home against the bowl-hunting Wolfpack
• Read below for NC State vs Georgia Tech prediction, props and odds

The NC State Wolfpack (5-5, 2-4 ACC) travel to Bobby Dodd Stadium to battle the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (6-4, 4-3 ACC) on Thursday, November 21, 2024. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. EST on ESPN, with this ACC clash going head-to-head against the NFL for primetime viewers.

Bowl implications are huge in this one. NC State needs a win to punch their postseason ticket, while Georgia Tech looks to improve their bowl standing. The Wolfpack are fresh off a bye week after falling to Duke, while the Yellow Jackets are riding high from their stunning upset over then-No. 4 Miami.

Here is our NC State vs GA Tech prediction for Thursday night’s ACC college football showdown.

NC State vs Georgia Tech Odds

The Yellow Jackets are laying 9 points at home with a -345 moneyline, suggesting a 77.5% win probability. NC State sits at +270 to pull off the road upset.

The total has seen significant movement, dropping three points since opening to settle at 51.5. That kind of line movement is worth noting – historically, totals that drop by three or more points cover over 60% of the time.

Odds as of November 21, 2024, at BetMGM Sportsbook. Claim the BetMGM bonus code to bet on Thursday night CFB.

Wolfpack Betting Analysis

NC State’s offense runs through freshman QB CJ Bailey, who took the reins after Grayson McCall’s early retirement due to concussions. Bailey’s been a bright spot, throwing for 1,794 yards and 12 TDs against just five picks – the third-best freshman campaign in program history.

Bailey’s favorite targets have been Kevin Concepcion (47 catches, 395 yards, 5 TDs) and tight end Justin Joly (34 grabs, 565 yards, 3 TDs).

The Pack’s ground game remains a work in progress, averaging just 3.8 yards per carry. They’ve shown flashes, particularly in their 59-28 drubbing of Stanford, but consistency has been elusive.

The bye week should help Dave Doeren’s squad iron out some of their rushing woes, which could be crucial against a Georgia Tech defense that’s occasionally vulnerable against physical running attacks.

The Pack’s defense has been lights out on third down lately, with opponents converting just five of their last 32 tries. Linebacker Sean Brown is having a monster year with 73 tackles, three sacks and two forced fumbles.

NC State has managed to limit explosive plays, giving up 5.8 yards per play to offenses averaging 5.6. The secondary has been particularly stingy in recent weeks, though they’ll face a stern test against King’s dual-threat capabilities.

Yellow Jackets Betting Analysis

Georgia Tech’s offensive surge this season comes down to Texas A&M transfer Haynes King. The dual-threat QB has thrown for 1,600 yards and nine scores with just one pick, while adding 446 rushing yards and seven TDs on the ground.

The backfield combo of Jamal Haynes (681 yards, 9 TDs) and Chad Alexander has been equally impressive, helping the Jackets average a strong 6.2 yards per play. However, both Haynes and Alexander left the Miami game with injuries, and Haynes’ status for the NC State game is questionable.

If Haynes is unable to play or is limited, King may need to take on a larger role in the running game. What’s truly impressive about this Georgia Tech squad, though, is their ball security. They’ve given up just six turnovers all season – tied for second-best nationally.

Haynes King runs it in. Miami is in huge trouble. pic.twitter.com/OKmkamPUK6

— Mr Matthew CFB (@MrMatthew_CFB) November 9, 2024

The offense has shown particular potency at home, where they’re averaging 34.8 points per game and have yet to lose. Their up-tempo attack has given ACC defenses fits, particularly when King gets into a rhythm early.

The Jackets’ defense has been opportunistic all year, generating 21 takeaways. They’re 3-1-1 ATS at Bobby Dodd this season, though their pass defense remains a concern, allowing 7.4 yards per attempt.

The front seven has excelled against the run, which could spell trouble for NC State’s already-struggling ground game. Their ability to force teams into obvious passing situations has been key to their success in conference play.

NC State vs Georgia Tech Prediction

I’m backing Georgia Tech to cover -9 and playing the under 51.5. The Jackets have been dominant at home and should be fired up after shocking Miami.

With extra prep time and NC State’s road struggles, Georgia Tech’s balanced attack should control this one. That significant total drop is telling – when sharp money moves a number that much, it’s worth following. Both teams can grind clock with their run games, setting up a lower-scoring affair.

For a prop play, grab Haynes King anytime TD at -105. He’s scored in five of seven FBS games this year and could see even more designed runs with lead back Jamal Haynes questionable. King punched in the winner against Miami and should be heavily involved in the red zone gameplan.

Look for Georgia Tech to take care of business at home in a game that stays under the number. The extra rest and preparation time after their Miami upset should have the Jackets ready to roll in this critical ACC matchup.

Thursday Night CFB Pick:

• Under 51.5 (-110)