Mavericks vs Timberwolves Predictions, Player Props & Best Odds (Oct 29)
By Sascha Paruk in NBA Basketball
Published:
- A rematch from the 2024 Western Conference finals is on the Tuesday NBA schedule as the Mavericks visit the Timberwolves
- Minnesota is a 5.5-point home favorite against Luka Doncic and Dallas
- See the Mavericks vs Timberwolves predictions, player props, and best odds on Oct. 29
After falling in five games in last year’s Western Conference final, the Minnesota Timberwolves (2-1, 1-0 home, 1-2 ATS) look for a measure of revenge against the Dallas Mavericks (2-1, 0-1 away, 1-2 ATS) on Tuesday night at the Target Center in Minneapolis (6:40 pm CT/7:40 pm ET). The T-wolves, who went 30-11 at home last season and cruised in their home-opener on Saturday (112-101 vs Toronto), are listed as 4.5 to 5.5-point favorites, depending on the sportsbook.
Mavericks vs Timberwolves Predictions
- Timberwolves -4.5 (-115) at BetMGM
- Julius Randle over 21.5 points (-110) at DraftKings
Sascha Paruk’s 2024-25 NBA betting record: 7-4 (+2.98 units). All wagers 1 unit unless stated otherwise.
The early returns on the Karl-Anthony Towns-for-Julius Randle deal are positive for the Wolves. After a relatively quiet 16-point night in the season-opener – Randle’s first game since January 2024 – the former Knick led Minnesota in scoring in each of the last two games, both wins. Randle dropped 33 points on 12-of-17 shooting in a 117-15 win at the Kings on Thursday, and followed that up with 24 points on 9-of-16 shooting in a 112-101 victory over the Raptors in Minny’s home-opener on Saturday.
The Mavericks played at the seventh-fastest pace last year (100.6) and had just the 18th-best Defensive Rating. While the addition of longtime Warrior Klay Thompson should certainly help with the team’s three-point shooting (which was ), Dallas really didn’t do anything to improve at the defensive end of the floor in the offseason.
Minnesota ran away with a pair of home victories against Dallas in the regular season last year (118-110 on Dec. 28 and 121-87 on Jan. 31) before losing all three home games in the West finals) and went 3-1 overall against the Mavs in the 2023-24 regular season, averaging 116.5 PPG, well above their 113.0 PPG average for the season as a whole.
With Dallas coming off a 110-102 win over Utah last night, a game in which Kyrie Irving, Luka Doncic, and PJ Washington all played 33 minutes or more, I expect Minnesota to maintain its regular-season dominance over the Mavs on Tuesday night.
DAL vs MIN Player Props
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Three-Pointers Made |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards (MIN) | 26.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 5.5 (Ov -145 | Un +114) | 5.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) | 3.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) |
| Daniel Gafford (DAL) | 7.5 (Ov -130 | Un -100) | 5.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105) | OFF | OFF |
| Jaden McDaniels (MIN) | 9.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 2.5 (Ov -154 | Un +120) | OFF | 1.5 (Ov +154 | Un -200) |
| Julius Randle (MIN) | 21.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) | 7.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) | 4.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) | 1.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) |
| Klay Thompson (DAL) | 15,5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 2.5 (Ov -130 | Un -100) | OFF | 3.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) |
| Kyrie Irving (DAL) | 21.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) | 3.5 (Ov -130 | Un -100) | 4.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) | 2.5 (Ov +124 | Un -160) |
| Luka Doncic (DAL) | 29.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) | 8.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) | 8.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) | 3.5 (Ov +120 | Un -154) |
| Mike Conley (MIN) | 8.5 (Ov -130 | Un -100) | 2.5 (Ov -100 | Un -130) | 4.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105) | 1.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) |
| PJ Washington (DAL) | 9.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) | 5.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) | OFF | 1.5 (Ov +110 | Un -140) |
| Rudy Gobert (MIN) | 11.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105) | 12.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) | OFF | OFF |
NBA player props from DraftKings on Oct. 29. Claim a DraftKings promo code for Tuesday’s NBA action.
Doncic, who’s averaging 27.7 PPG in the early going this season, has a game-high point total of 29.5 on Tuesday. Doncic had 40 in a 114-102 loss to the Suns on Saturday but has stayed under in both of Dallas’ wins: 15 points in a 110-102 victory over San Antonio on Thursday, and 28 points in a 120-109 win over Utah last night.
Anthony Edwards (26.5 O/U) has the highest total on the Minnesota side. ANT is averaging 27.7 PPG through three games after posting a career-high 25.9 PPG last year.
Doncic is currently the +385 favorite in the NBA MVP odds, while Edwards is the fifth-favorite at +1040 on average.
Best Mavericks vs Timberwolves Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Mavericks | +5.5 (-120) at ESPN Bet | +165 BetMGM | Over 221.5 (-105) at BetMGM |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | -4.5 (-115) at BetMGM | -180 at FanDuel | Under 222.0 (-110) at bet365 |
As mentioned at the top, there is a one-point range in the Mavericks vs Timberwolves spread in Tuesday’s NBA odds. ESPN Bet is currently the best option for Dallas backers, listing the Mavericks +5.5 at -120, while BetMGM has the best odds for Minnesota bettors, pricing the Timberwolves -4.5 at -115.
Counterintuitively, BetMGM also has the longest moneyline odds on Dallas to win straight-up at +165. FanDuel has the best moneyline price for the T-wolves at -180.
There is only a half-point range in the game total. The best over price as of noon ET is O 221.5 (-115) at BetMGM. The best under price is U 222.0 (-110) at bet365.
Tuesday’s NBA public betting splits show Minnesota getting 72% of moneyline handle, but Dallas getting 68% of ATS handle as medium-sized road underdogs. A massive 84% of game-total handle is currently on the over.
Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.
