Best Yankees vs Dodgers Game 1 Player Props to Target
By Chris Amberley in MLB Baseball
Published:
- The Yankees and Dodgers clash in Game 1 of the World Series tonight
- Mookie Betts had seven hits, two home runs, and six RBI in the final three games of the NLCS
- Keep reading for the best Yankees vs Dodgers Game 1 player props to target
Major League Baseball could not have asked for a better World Series matchup. The Yankees and Dodgers will meet for baseball’s ultimate prize, in a battle of the league’s two most prominent franchises. Both New York and LA are littered with star power, with names like Shohei Ohtani, Aaron Judge, Juan Soto and Mookie Betts headlining their rosters. All four are going to garner plenty of action in tonight’s Game 1 player props market, with Betts standing out as an incredible target.
Best Yankees vs Dodgers Player Props
| Prop | Odds |
|---|---|
| Mookie Betts Over 1.5 Total Bases | +120 |
| Jack Flaherty Under 4.5 Strikeouts | +115 |
| Anthony Rizzo Over 0.5 Total Bases | -155 |
Betts is among the league leaders in both home runs (4) and RBI (12) this postseason, and finished the NLCS on an absolute tear.
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Yankees vs Dodgers Prop #1: Mookie Betts Total Bases
In the final three games versus the Mets, Betts produced seven hits in 14 at-bats. Two of those hits left the yard, and five went for extra bases. He’s slashing .295/.404/.659 during the playoffs, recording at least one hit in seven of the past nine games.
Shohei Ohtani, Mookie Betts, and Max Muncy have had 11 combined plate appearances in Game 4.
They've reached base in 10 of them.
Together, they have two home runs, five RBIs, and six walks.
This is absolutely insane stuff from the Dodgers stars.pic.twitter.com/1vXkNytRXL
— Noah Camras (@noahcamras) October 18, 2024
Also working in his favor is his position in the lineup. Betts bats second, directly behind Ohtani, the game’s most dangerous hitter. Pitchers are much more willing to pitch to him than Ohtani, and hitting in the two-hole can often lead to one more at-bat, and one more opportunity, than a player batting in the middle of the order.
The icing on the cake is that Betts owns Game 1 starter Gerrit Cole. Betts is 7-for-17 (.412) lifetime versus Cole, which is by far the best average of any Dodger.
- Yankees vs Dodgers Prop Picks: Mookie Betts Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120); risk 1 unit at Caesars
Yankees vs Dodgers Prop #2: Jack Flaherty Strikeouts
Per the MLB odds, the Game 1 total sits at 8.5. The latest data in the MLB public betting splits shows the over is drawing 80% of the tickets, as bettors believe these two lineups are simply too potent to contain.
Another reason the over is so popular is the struggles of Jack Flaherty. The 29-year-old has been hit hard in two of his three playoff starts, lasting just 3 innings in his most recent outing.
Jack Flaherty’s 2024 Playoff Starts
| Opponent | IP | Hits | Runs | K | BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets | 3.0 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 4 |
| New York Mets | 7.0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 |
| San Diego Padres | 5.1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
Flaherty’s strikeout prop sits at 4.5, a number he’s failed to clear twice already this postseason. His velocity fell to 91.4 mph on his fastball in his most recent start, down 2 mph from his season long average. He struck out only two of the final 36 Mets batters he faced in the NLCS, which amounts to a dismal 5.5% strikeout rate.
To make matters worse, the Yankees are patient at the plate. Only 10 teams fanned less than New York during the regular season, while the Yankees lead all of MLB in base on ball percentage during the playoffs.
- Yankees vs Dodgers Prop Picks: Jack Flaherty Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+115); risk 1 unit at Caesars
Yankees vs Dodgers Prop #3: Anthony Rizzo Total Bases
One of the New York batters who’s had the most success against Flaherty is Anthony Rizzo. The 37-year-old played through two broken fingers in the ALCS, but that didn’t stop him from hitting .429 over the five-game series.
Rizzo recorded a hit in all but one of the contests, and has had a full week to heal. He’s a lifetime .430 hitter versus Flaherty in 21 at-bats, with a sizzling 1.476 OPS.
If the Yankees are going to overtake the Dodgers in the World Series odds, they’ll need increased production from players other than Judge, Soto and Giancarlo Stanton. Rizzo is a likely candidate to step up, and a strong bet to exceed 0.5 total bases in Game 1.
- Yankees vs Dodgers Prop Picks: Anthony Rizzo Over 0.5 Total Bases (-155); risk 1 unit at Caesars
Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
