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OKC Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Predictions, Player Props & Best Odds (Oct 24)

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in NBA Basketball

Published:


Oklahoma City Thunder guard Luguentz Dort drives around Denver Nuggets guard Jamal Murray
Jan 31, 2024; Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, USA; Oklahoma City Thunder guard Luguentz Dort (5) drives to the basket against Denver Nuggets guard Jamal Murray (27) during the second half at Paycom Center. Mandatory Credit: Alonzo Adams-USA TODAY Sports
  • The top-two seeds in the West last year square off on Thursday when the OKC Thunder visit the Denver Nuggets
  • Denver is a slight home favorite in the first game of the season for both teams
  • Below, see the OKC Thunder vs Denver Nuggets predictions, player props, and best available odds on Oct. 24

A heavyweight Western Conference tilt is on Thursday’s NBA schedule as Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets (57-25, 33-8 home, ATS) welcome Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Oklahoma City Thunder (57-25, 24-17 away, ATS) to Ball Arena at 8:10 pm MT/10:10 pm ET. In the first regular-season game for both teams, the Nuggets are listed as slight 1.5 to 2.5-point home favorites.

OKC Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Predictions

  • Thunder moneyline (+110) at ESPN Bet
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OKC took the West by storm last year, smashing their preseason win total of 44.5 by going 57-25 and tying Denver for the best record in the conference. With SGA emerging as a true MVP threat – he starts the season as the +402 second-favorite in the NBA MVP odds – the Thunder won’t be sneaking up on anyone this year. They are the +300 favorites to win the Western Conference and sit second only the reigning-champion Celtics in the NBA championship odds.

Denver was an absolute beast at home last year, going 33-8, but guess which team handed the Nuggets two of those eight losses at Ball Arena? If you said OKC, you’re right. The Thunder earned a 118-117 win at Denver on Dec. 16 and followed that up with a 119-93 stomping on Dec. 29, led by 40 from SGA.

Nikola Jokic was in the Denver lineup in both games.

YouTube video

There is some roster turnover on the OKC side but it should be for the better. Josh Giddey, a 33% three-point shooter, is now with the Bulls, replaced by two-guard Alex Caruso, a 40% assassin from beyond the arc. The Thunder, who led the NBA in 3P% last year, connecting at a 38.9% clip, project to be even better this year, which is a scary thought.

OKC vs DEN Player Props

Player Points Rebounds Assists Three-Pointers Made
Aaron Gordon (DEN) 14.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 6.5 (Ov +110 | Un -140) 3.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 0.5 (Ov -215 | Un +165)
Alex Caruso (OKC) 9.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 3.5 (Ov -160 | Un +124) 3.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105) 1.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105)
Chet Holmgren (OKC) 16.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 7.5 (Ov -130 | Un -100) 1.5 (Ov -140 | Un +110) 1.5 (Ov +140 | Un -180)
Christian Braun (DEN) 9.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 3.5 (Ov -154 | Un +120) 1.5 (Ov -188 | Un +145) 0.5 (Ov -238 | Un +180)
Jalen Williams (OKC) 18.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 4.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105) 4.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 1.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135)
Jamal Murray (DEN) 20.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 3.5 (Ov -130 | Un -100) 5.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 2.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Luguentz Dort (OKC) 10.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 3.5 (Ov -140 | Un +110) 1.5 (Ov -145 | Un +114) 1.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
Michael Porter Jr (DEN) 15.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 3.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105) 1.5 (Ov +140 | Un -180) 2.5 (Ov -160 | Un +124)
Nikola Jokic (DEN) 25.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 12.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 8.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105) 1.5 (Ov +135 | Un -175)
Russell Westbrook (DEN) 9.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 3.5 (Ov -140 | Un +110) 4.5 (Ov +130 | Un -166) 0.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) 30.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 5.5 (Ov -145 | Un +114) 6.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) 1.5 (Ov +124 | Un -160)

OKC vs DEN NBA player props come from DraftKings on Oct 24. Check out SBD’s DraftKings review to get the current sign-up promo. 

SGA leads the player point totals on Thursday at 30.5 with the over slightly favored at -120. Gilgeous-Alexander finished third in the NBA in scoring last year at 30.1 PPG.

Reigning and three-time NBA MVP Nikola Jokic has the highest point total on the board for the Nuggets at 25.6. Jokic also has the highest rebound (12.5) and assist (8.5) totals

Best Thunder vs Nuggets Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
OKC Thunder +2.5 (-110) at BetMGM +110 at bet365 Over 226.5 (-115) at BetMGM
Denver Nuggets -1.5 (-110) at Caesars -126 at FanDuel Under 227.5 (-110) at DraftKings

There is a full one-point range in the Thunder vs Nuggets spread in Thursday’s NBA odds. Caesars Sportsbook has the Nuggets -1.5 at -105 odds while BetMGM has the Thunder +2.5 at -115.

There isn’t much variation in the moneyline. All of BetMGM, bet365, Caesars, DraftKings, and ESPN Bet at the have the exact same moneyline at the moment, which is OKC +110/DEN -130. FanDuel is the only site with a different price, listing Denver at -126 and OKC at +108.

There is also a one-point range in the game total. BetMGM is on the low end at 226.5 (O -115/U -105). All other books have the total at 227.5. DraftKings has the best price on the under at -108.

Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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