Skip to content

Ad Disclosure

Mets vs Dodgers Game 6 Predictions, Best Odds & Betting Splits (Oct. 20)

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in MLB Baseball

Published:


Los Angeles Dodgers right fielder Mookie Betts celebrates a home run
Oct 18, 2024; New York City, New York, USA; Los Angeles Dodgers right fielder Mookie Betts (50) celebrates his solo home run as he rounds the bases in front of New York Mets first baseman Pete Alonso (20) during the sixth inning of game five of the NLCS during the 2024 MLB playoffs at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-Imagn Images
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers try to close out the best-of-seven NLCS with the New York Mets on Sunday night
  • The Mets send Sean Manaea to the mound in a must-win Game 6 while the Dodgers will go with a bullpen game
  • See the Mets vs Dodgers Game 6 predictions, player props, and best available odds on Oct. 20

The New York Mets (89-73, 43-38 away) staved off elimination on Friday with a dominant 12-6 victory over the Los Angeles Dodgers (98-64, 52-29 home), narrowing the deficit to 3-2 in the best-of-seven series. Sunday, the NLCS shifts back to California for Game 6 at Dodger Stadium at 5:08 pm PT/8:08 pm ET. Sean Manaea toes the rubber for the Mets while the Dodgers will go with another bullpen game.

New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers Game 6 Predictions

  • Dodgers moneyline (-148) at FanDuel
  • Manaea under 4.5 strikeouts (+102) at FanDuel
FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK
Bet $5 & Get $250 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins
Must be 21+. T&C Apply. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
LOCK IN PROMO
SIGNUP PROMO
BET $5
GET $250

BET NOW
 Sean Manaea has been solid for the Mets in the postseason. In 17.0 innings over three starts, he’s posted a 2.65 ERA with 17 strikeouts and a 1.00 WHIP. But this will be the first time he’s faced the same team twice in the playoffs and, the way the Dodger bats have been mashing in this series, I expect significant regression from the 32-year-old righty.

In Game 2 against LAD, Manaea allowed three runs (two earned) on two hits and four walks with seven Ks. It was another showcase of LA’s patience at the plate. And facing Manaea for the second time in less than a week, I expect the results to only get better for the Dodgers.

Knowing he was going with a bullpen game on Sunday, LA manager Dave Roberts only used three pitchers in Friday’s 12-6 setback (starter Jack Flaherty was tagged for eight runs in three innings, while Brett Honeywell allowed four runs in 4.2 innings and Anthony Banda recorded one out). With a day of rest in between, his pen is almost at full strength for Game 6.

While the LAD relievers were knocked around some in Game 2 (seven runs on 11 hits), they’ve been solid on the whole this postseason (2.94 ERA) and recorded a shutout against the Padres in a must-win Game 4. Roberts won’t go with the same mix against the same hitters this time around, and I expect the results to be significantly better than in Game 2.

Best Mets vs Dodgers Game 6 Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
New York Mets +130 at Caesars +1.5 (-150) at bet365 O 8.5 (-105) at BetMGM
Los Angeles Dodgers -148 at FanDuel -1.5 (+145) at BetMGM U 8.5 (-105) at

The best moneyline available on the Dodgers in Sunday morning’s MLB odds is found at FanDuel, where LAD is -148 to win Game 6. The best moneyline price on the Mets is +130, which is available at Caesars, bet365. DraftKings, and ESPN Bet.

The runline shows some decent variety. Bettors can get LAD -1.5 at +145 at BetMGM, while the Mets +1.5 is as long as -150 at bet365.

All sportsbooks have the run total at 8.5, and most have the O/U at -110 odds both ways. But under bettors can get -105 odds on under 8.5 at ESPN Bet, while over bettors can get the same price on the over 8.5 at BetMGM.

After the Yankees (-110) punched their ticket to the Fall Classic last night, the Dodgers (+110) sit second to the Pinstripes in the updated 2024 World Series odds. Heading into Game 6, the Mets are +1000 to win their first World Series since 1986.

NYM vs LAD Public-Betting Splits

Team Moneyline ML Handle% ML Bet% Runline RL Handle% RL Bet% Run Total O/U Handle% O/U Bet%
NY Mets +130 8% 11% +1.5 8% 8% O 8.5 69% 78%
LA Dodgers -148 92% 89% -1.5 92% 92% U 8.5 31% 22%

Sunday’s MLB public betting splits show the public absolutely hammering the Dodgers at home in Game 6. As of 11:10 am ET, LAD was getting 92% of moneyline handle on 89% of moneyline wagers. The Dodgers were also getting 92% of runline handle as -1.5 home favorites.

The total splits were a little narrower but still heavily favored the over: 69% of run-total handle and 78% of tickets were on over 8.5. Only one game in the series to date has stayed under 8.5 (LAD’s 8-0 victory in Game 3) and, altogether, the teams are averaging 11.4 runs per game.

Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

NFL NBA MLB NHL NCAAF NCAAB Politics Tennis MMA Sportsbooks Gambling

Recommended Reading